Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
206
Trades
59,119
lifetime
Volume
$637.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.03K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-02 06:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
69%
Other
25% 97% $-7
Politics
4%
Sports
2% 90% $-106
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 767 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +832 $720 86¢ $719 $-1 07-01 10:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +561 $511 90¢ $508 $-3 06-20 02:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +227 $211 94¢ $214 +$3 06-28 09:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +161 $136 84¢ $136 +$0 06-28 17:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +108 $89 84¢ $90 +$1 06-30 20:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +69 $60 88¢ $61 +$1 06-24 15:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +62 $50 84¢ $52 +$2 07-01 12:14
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down -53 $-53 93¢ $-49 +$4 04-21 02:30
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +56 $44 84¢ $47 +$2 06-30 09:53
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +43 $37 84¢ $36 $-1 06-28 13:39
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +17 $17 96¢ $16 $-0 06-29 14:04
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 $-0 06-30 23:11
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$0 06-29 05:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +14 $12 84¢ $12 $-0 06-30 06:58
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +10 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-30 20:10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$1 06-28 16:07
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-23 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +21 $3 30¢ $6 +$4 06-28 13:31
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-23 19:55
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-23 02:36
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-18 18:06
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 06-18 18:06
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-18 18:06
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-20 02:36
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-16 16:09