Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
-$157
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
206
Trades
59,651
lifetime
Volume
$643.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.48K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-20 06:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
68%
Other
25% 97% $-7
Politics
4%
Sports
2% 90% $-106
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 393 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +793 $722 90¢ $710 $-12 07-02 15:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +832 $720 70¢ $578 $-142 07-01 10:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +161 $136 74¢ $118 $-17 06-28 17:23
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down -53 $-53 93¢ $-49 +$4 04-21 02:30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +17 $17 96¢ $16 $-0 06-29 14:04
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-18 18:06
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 85¢ $4 $-0 06-18 18:06
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $-1 85¢ $1 +$1 07-09 19:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1 $-1 94¢ $0 +$2 07-09 19:37
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +1 $-0 88¢ $0 +$1 07-17 19:00
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:37
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +0 $0 83¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $3 67¢ $0 $-2 07-10 06:08
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:38
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:37
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +0 $-0 86¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:37
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +0 $1 85¢ $0 $-0 07-09 23:45
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 07-09 19:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-2 86¢ $0 +$2 07-09 19:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +0 $-5 86¢ $0 +$5 07-11 21:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-2 22¢ $0 +$2 07-12 02:36