Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$117
$3,142 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,477
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $26 | $70 | $43 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 7 | $6 | $51 | $45 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $29 | $26 |
| unranked | 5 | $13 | — | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | +93 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-06 17:33 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +63 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-06 20:25 |
| Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 16:05 |
| Short-Insurance 0x261c…8b76 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 16:13 |
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +36 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Bogus-Shorts 0xe306…9be0 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 01:58 |
| Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 15:07 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 01:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 02:13 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:44 |
| Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:27 |
| Polished-Oleo 0xd8ed…3242 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:31 |
| Early-Signup 0xa5b9…cf8b | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:10 |
| Feminine-Swanling 0x02c7…a28d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 16:32 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 01:58 |
| Academic-Solitaire 0x4abc…b10d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:33 |
| Sweet-Prior 0x73ee…2ac5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 13:31:44 | Polished-Oleo 0xd8ed…3242 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xdbed8c… |
| 05-07 11:33:09 | Academic-Solitaire 0x4abc…b10d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x2bde92… |
| 05-07 11:31:17 | Sweet-Prior 0x73ee…2ac5 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x92be01… |
| 05-07 11:16:02 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x3d9750… |
| 05-07 11:14:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x33cd38… |
| 05-07 10:37:40 | Early-Signup 0xa5b9…cf8b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x0734be… |
| 05-07 08:44:01 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x3911f1… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Bogus-Shorts 0xe306…9be0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x82079e… |
| 05-07 08:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x9f9880… |
| 05-07 08:09:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x041607… |
| 05-07 08:09:23 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x315698… |
| 05-07 08:09:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1d81ee… |
| 05-07 08:08:29 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb665b7… |
| 05-07 08:08:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb6f019… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa45dff… |
| 05-07 04:03:01 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb19db4… |
| 05-07 04:02:49 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x9fafe3… |
| 05-07 02:13:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5e10d9… |
| 05-07 01:58:30 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0xc0074e… |
| 05-07 01:58:13 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xebc4fe… |
| 05-07 01:58:13 | Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xbab4b5… |
| 05-07 01:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x4123c7… |
| 05-07 00:53:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaf8731… |
| 05-07 00:27:22 | Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf6bf90… |
| 05-06 20:25:55 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xedfcab… |
| 05-06 20:25:34 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5bc80a… |
| 05-06 17:33:10 | Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa00915… |
| 05-06 17:33:10 | Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7c0aaf… |
| 05-06 16:32:21 | Feminine-Swanling 0x02c7…a28d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3069b5… |
| 05-06 16:13:06 | Short-Insurance 0x261c…8b76 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0e4fef… |
| 05-06 16:05:45 | Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x54966a… |
| 05-06 15:07:46 | Crafty-Nondisclosure 0xe961…fc41 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7ccc2d… |
| 05-06 12:05:18 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8363a0… |