Bogus-Shorts — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$430

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

642

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$5.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-02 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 25% -$112

Other

40% 31% -$213

Sports

12% 16% -$105

Politics

1% 12% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 16	3	$267	160	160	+0	Yes	+$7	02-16 16:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 15	2	$245	128	128	+0	Yes	+$5	02-15 16:25
bitcoin above 96k on january 19	2	$213	154	154	+0	No	+$13	01-18 23:08
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	3	$201	113	112	+0	Up	+$12	03-24 15:50
bitcoin above 94k on january 19	2	$177	111	111	+0	No	-$23	01-18 23:34
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	3	$145	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$105	02-17 13:11
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	4	$105	143	143	+0	Yes	+$38	08-23 15:29
bitcoin above 76k on february 17	3	$100	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$60	02-16 21:24
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	2	$100	91	91	+0	Yes	+$80	08-21 15:16
bitcoin above 56k on february 18	7	$95	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$55	02-17 17:53
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	2	$91	73	73	+0	Yes	+$53	08-22 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	2	$52	105	105	+0	No	+$32	05-07 11:23
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	1	$50	2,828	0	+2,828	Yes	-$50	08-19 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?	2	$44	35	35	+0	No	+$7	08-20 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	2	$43	83	83	+0	No	+$23	05-09 12:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 19	2	$40	92	92	+0	Yes	+$0	01-18 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	4	$40	51	51	+0	Up	+$10	04-30 11:51
bitcoin above 74k on february 21	5	$40	40,000	0	+40,000	No	-$40	02-20 20:02
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	7	$36	15,000	14,650	+350	No	+$6	04-30 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	3	$34	31	31	+0	Down	+$26	08-01 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	4	$32	60	60	+0	Yes	+$12	05-13 08:59
f1 japanese grand prix driver podium russell 2026 03 29	3	$32	71	71	+0	No	+$22	03-29 06:32
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 190 214	2	$31	1,061	1,061	+0	No	+$11	03-16 13:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 19	2	$31	129	0	+129	No	-$31	01-18 23:24
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	2	$31	71	71	+0	No	+$11	03-11 14:46
bitcoin above 76k on february 19	2	$30	10,000	2,088	+7,912	No	-$10	02-18 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	6	$30	41	41	+0	Yes	+$11	05-11 03:41
bitcoin above 74k on february 25	1	$30	2,618	0	+2,618	No	-$30	02-23 20:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 19	2	$30	27	27	+0	No	$0	01-18 23:17
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 20?	2	$29	53	53	+0	No	-$3	08-19 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 19:13:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1e7c2b…
10-02 19:12:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8f1030…
10-02 19:12:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe0dfc1…
10-02 01:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x86be5a…
09-30 15:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3c5d7a…
09-30 15:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9b9c2f…
09-30 15:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6874a6…
09-30 15:18:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x42efe3…
09-30 09:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x67fb3d…
09-30 09:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdeafeb…
09-30 09:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdb7da3…
09-30 09:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x917460…
09-30 08:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x978808…
09-29 17:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f2921…
09-29 17:22:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x792f13…
09-29 17:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa021c1…
09-29 17:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3d4fdd…
09-29 17:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x84a1af…
09-29 17:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x635881…
09-29 17:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xaad0a4…
09-29 17:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x40647f…
09-29 17:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x516541…
09-29 06:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda5c46…
09-28 15:30:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf9f608…
09-28 15:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb13a27…
09-28 15:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x012db9…
09-28 15:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa5192a…
09-28 15:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x868edf…
09-28 15:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc568dd…
09-28 15:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2154ee…
09-28 15:26:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xed8df6…
09-25 13:43:44	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0xecff4b…
09-25 10:04:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xbb4103…
09-24 20:23:47	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xb57413…
09-24 20:23:33	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9be77f…
09-24 20:12:45	Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x10e1db…
09-24 20:12:27	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x291d29…
09-24 20:11:47	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x47f136…
09-24 20:11:27	Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xc96d21…
09-24 15:25:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcfa72b…
09-24 15:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6c7e6c…
09-24 15:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x39ff86…
09-24 15:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x09a8b6…
09-24 15:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x4790f0…
09-24 15:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfb5aad…
09-24 15:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdccb18…
09-24 15:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x60b3c7…
09-24 14:29:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0x80f80d…
09-24 14:28:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x0bd9b1…
09-24 08:39:17	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0xd87a53…
09-24 08:39:00	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xfac3d9…
09-24 08:38:41	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x168327…
09-24 08:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x439936…
09-24 08:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd76670…
09-24 08:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4138c5…
09-24 08:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb7dcbf…
09-24 08:26:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x4b932a…
09-23 14:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3a2570…
09-23 14:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x619780…
09-22 15:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7bf40a…
09-22 15:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x9235fe…
09-22 15:44:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4a0964…
09-22 15:44:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xbf0add…
09-22 15:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcbd9fb…
09-22 15:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xad93cd…
09-22 15:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb2f472…
09-22 15:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6ab2cc…
09-22 15:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x13f356…
09-22 15:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xe065ed…
09-22 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x056c9c…
09-22 15:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x0d5f0e…
09-22 15:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2d0381…
09-22 15:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x957978…
09-22 15:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x0ff90a…
09-22 15:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x5ade48…
09-22 15:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0xd48a5c…
09-22 15:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xea0192…
09-22 15:35:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc8d933…
09-22 15:35:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x18143b…
09-21 06:01:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2c6272…
09-21 06:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4aad0f…
09-21 06:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x026d14…
09-21 05:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xec72c4…
09-21 04:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8a9c49…
09-21 04:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x79f9bb…
09-21 04:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x510dd2…
09-21 03:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3fde9d…
09-21 03:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x26df4c…
09-21 03:58:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa7ee99…
09-19 22:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x389285…
09-19 22:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6c2f1…
09-19 22:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb77af…
09-19 22:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4595c1…
09-19 22:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a20ef…
09-19 22:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x92ca5e…
09-19 22:31:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x557d29…
09-19 20:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcf9e91…
09-19 20:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xca3398…
09-18 17:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaba284…
09-18 17:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7815d0…