Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$168
$1,223 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,953
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $55 | $72 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $33 | $53 | $20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $2 | $1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 3 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $6 | $27 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | +86 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-10 03:48 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +48 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 06:26 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-10 03:50 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:38 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 18:21 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 05:41 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:07 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:47 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:21 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:33:10 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x553cf5… |
| 05-10 08:18:21 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xd3e09c… |
| 05-10 08:04:35 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xf57ccb… |
| 05-10 07:47:54 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x3534d0… |
| 05-10 07:34:01 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd1007b… |
| 05-10 07:32:20 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x827500… |
| 05-10 06:26:49 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 25¢ | $12 | 0x07208b… |
| 05-10 06:01:48 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x870177… |
| 05-10 05:41:47 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x6b495c… |
| 05-10 05:41:31 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4ae6c0… |
| 05-10 05:07:13 | (anonymous) 0x3319…977a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x29cf9e… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xfea92b… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x3255e6… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x744fb9… |
| 05-10 04:47:23 | Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x747e97… |
| 05-10 03:50:31 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x1da08d… |
| 05-10 03:50:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xdc98a0… |
| 05-10 03:48:55 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 24¢ | $21 | 0x7a2ede… |
| 05-10 03:40:39 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x56496a… |
| 05-10 03:21:19 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xdf6b4d… |
| 05-10 03:21:17 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x0bfe13… |
| 05-10 03:07:23 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0xd56823… |
| 05-10 03:07:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x454cc1… |
| 05-10 01:51:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xe39627… |
| 05-10 01:51:48 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x4de800… |
| 05-10 01:51:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xe22c85… |
| 05-09 19:38:23 | (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x92d663… |
| 05-09 19:37:43 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x14b521… |
| 05-09 19:37:20 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xc73444… |
| 05-09 19:37:18 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 19 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x1224e0… |
| 05-09 18:21:28 | Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8f1177… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x4139c9… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x85c9f3… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0xe01c17… |
| 05-09 18:15:37 | Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xec59c9… |