Academic-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

2,781

Trades

9,720

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-05 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

94% 63% -$213

Crypto

4% 79% +$67

Sports

2% 53% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 7?	20	$216	118	118	+0	No	+$20	05-07 11:32
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 16c	4	$207	108	108	+0	No	+$9	04-22 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 30?	9	$207	107	107	+0	No	+$7	04-29 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 11?	10	$205	110	110	+0	No	-$3	05-10 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 26?	9	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$8	04-26 03:06
highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 12c	3	$161	85	84	+0	No	+$8	04-22 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 29?	5	$152	80	80	+0	No	+$7	04-29 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 14?	4	$150	136	136	+0	Yes	+$123	05-14 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	11	$138	108	108	+0	Yes	+$68	06-05 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?	12	$138	115	115	+0	Yes	+$60	05-12 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	8	$121	90	90	+0	Yes	-$43	05-11 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	13	$120	106	68	+38	No	-$25	05-11 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 25?	4	$116	61	61	+0	No	+$7	04-25 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 26?	9	$115	60	60	+0	No	+$5	04-26 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 29?	7	$108	64	49	+15	No	+$4	04-29 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 7?	7	$108	89	26	+63	No	+$6	05-07 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 1?	16	$102	78	37	+41	No	+$1	05-01 02:26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?	17	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$3	05-10 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 1?	7	$100	109	0	+109	No	+$9	04-29 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 8?	17	$99	54	49	+4	No	+$3	05-08 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 26?	4	$97	51	51	+0	No	+$3	04-25 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 27?	40	$95	52	52	+0	No	-$2	04-27 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 27?	10	$95	94	9	+86	No	+$9	04-27 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	11	$91	58	41	+17	No	+$8	05-09 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	39	$90	48	47	+1	No	+$4	04-26 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	13	$88	65	27	+38	No	+$4	04-26 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 8?	59	$87	54	38	+16	No	+$4	05-08 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 9?	55	$85	54	35	+18	No	+$4	05-09 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 25?	6	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$4	04-26 03:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?	7	$83	74	74	+0	Yes	+$62	05-12 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 19:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb74ade…
08-14 17:58:04	elc wol bbr 2026 08 14 spread home 1pt5	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbbd9b3…
08-12 23:43:10	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x332494…
08-12 23:42:46	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3726a2…
08-12 22:42:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf5c3e5…
08-12 22:42:30	usc psg av 2026 08 12 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xeefa86…
08-12 14:26:30	usc psg av 2026 08 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1e3f2b…
08-12 14:26:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xed77ad…
08-11 22:00:04	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe984e5…
08-11 15:33:57	ucl bog usg 2026 08 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3feda1…
08-11 15:18:18	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x876812…
08-08 22:27:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xcb5387…
08-08 22:27:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x4b4fcc…
08-08 16:25:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x503542…
08-08 15:23:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf28bd2…
08-07 15:24:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$7	0x4f05c0…
08-07 15:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0f7a8b…
08-02 18:23:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x84d981…
08-02 16:54:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xf1a885…
08-02 06:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9b0735…
08-02 01:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0xfffcab…
07-28 16:24:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x55d31a…
07-26 07:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x733b18…
07-26 03:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0xd4a7d7…
07-23 02:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	170	15¢	$25	0xfd22c1…
07-22 10:07:22	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22?	Yes	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x8f86a0…
07-22 08:07:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xf2b270…
07-22 01:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xea467c…
07-22 01:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x46ff3a…
07-22 01:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0xafe123…
07-19 18:27:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1056e8…
07-18 20:10:31	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x582e71…
07-18 08:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x3d0181…
07-18 08:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x19bfbf…
07-18 08:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x394fb3…
07-18 08:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x09dfeb…
07-18 06:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x53a18b…
07-17 23:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x66ba45…
07-15 17:42:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6a5767…
07-14 15:29:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5ea808…
07-10 20:48:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x52b7a1…
07-10 18:08:28	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x491989…
07-09 19:40:38	France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x12be23…
07-07 14:13:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x694634…
07-06 23:56:59	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x20d93d…
07-06 18:56:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3b7358…
07-06 00:03:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7dabb2…
07-05 10:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x1ab8d2…
07-05 10:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb8ad08…
07-05 10:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa2345c…
07-05 10:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd3baae…
07-05 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xfcecb2…
07-05 10:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x2d1b45…
07-05 09:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x70a6d1…
07-05 09:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x42ed43…
07-05 09:54:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xcf2583…
07-05 09:51:53	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xb014bc…
07-05 09:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$5	0x83304e…
07-05 08:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x3544a4…
07-05 08:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x1b607e…
07-05 08:38:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xb87d28…
07-05 08:36:43	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x12560a…
07-05 08:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe248df…
07-05 08:23:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xcbc429…
07-05 08:14:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x831574…
07-05 08:13:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xf89567…
07-05 08:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x7708c0…
07-05 07:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x392960…
07-05 07:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xf08666…
07-05 07:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x3caed7…
07-05 07:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x21c796…
07-05 07:32:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x985aad…
07-05 07:32:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x577b1b…
07-05 07:28:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x9bb992…
07-05 07:28:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaa9fe3…
07-05 07:24:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xd10ffa…
07-05 07:24:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x13f2df…
07-05 07:22:14	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xe29a5e…
07-05 07:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe42ff9…
07-05 06:51:47	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xcc9255…
07-05 06:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd7fa14…
07-05 06:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xfad8a9…
07-05 06:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x752c7c…
07-05 06:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0xe002b1…
07-05 06:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0x95f8fe…
07-05 06:26:07	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x0b003a…
07-05 06:26:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x50532b…
07-05 06:01:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x6974e9…
07-05 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x48fff6…
07-05 05:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x288d2b…
07-05 05:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf217cc…
07-05 05:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 7?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x65749e…
07-05 05:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xc1ccc5…
07-05 05:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x23ec76…
07-05 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x938eac…
07-05 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x750930…
07-05 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x25273b…
07-05 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x00cb57…
07-05 05:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x04d13b…
07-05 05:38:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xb5b4d9…