Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$250
$987 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,888
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 11:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $36 | $188 | $152 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $86 | $86 |
| Median | 7 | — | $61 | $61 |
| Below median | 3 | $11 | $22 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pessimistic-Survivor 0x8887…681b | Yes | +145 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-07 09:23 |
| Tight-Contractor 0x827d…b1f0 | Yes | +131 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:39 |
| Indolent-Tension 0xe2a8…3d79 | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 11:38 |
| Nervous-Illness 0x98cd…4478 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 06:59 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +43 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-07 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-07 09:21 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 16:30 |
| Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-07 04:18 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-07 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-07 00:00 |
| Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:30 |
| Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 11:54 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 01:28 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 00:00 |
| Fancy-Capability 0x33b2…b3c1 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 06:35 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 11:54:26 | Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x141d50… |
| 05-07 11:38:43 | Indolent-Tension 0xe2a8…3d79 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x49feab… |
| 05-07 11:26:12 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1b5959… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x53a775… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x959ec9… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa40941… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0adc75… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa0d803… |
| 05-07 10:54:25 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0xa3f772… |
| 05-07 09:23:48 | Pessimistic-Survivor 0x8887…681b | Yes | BUY | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x44d151… |
| 05-07 09:22:18 | Pessimistic-Survivor 0x8887…681b | Yes | BUY | 111 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x1223d4… |
| 05-07 09:21:17 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xc7ad33… |
| 05-07 09:20:54 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0xbb2a11… |
| 05-07 09:20:54 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x541e56… |
| 05-07 09:20:51 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x0a802c… |
| 05-07 09:16:13 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x7d2daa… |
| 05-07 08:39:52 | Tight-Contractor 0x827d…b1f0 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x3454b4… |
| 05-07 06:59:36 | Nervous-Illness 0x98cd…4478 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xecbbc3… |
| 05-07 04:18:41 | Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xab2c14… |
| 05-07 01:28:35 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x1155a2… |
| 05-07 01:28:35 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x00eb2b… |
| 05-07 00:00:39 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb5a805… |
| 05-07 00:00:37 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xe7bcdb… |
| 05-07 00:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x6aaffd… |
| 05-06 23:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb24061… |
| 05-06 23:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xcbab30… |
| 05-06 18:30:46 | Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1c239f… |
| 05-06 17:21:18 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa650ef… |
| 05-06 17:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xcd3146… |
| 05-06 17:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7a37ef… |
| 05-06 16:30:31 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0xc208ee… |
| 05-06 06:35:36 | Fancy-Capability 0x33b2…b3c1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x034fd0… |