Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
92.3%
Resolved
248
Trades
13,670
lifetime
Volume
$65.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$284
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-30 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
76% 91% +$60
Crypto
17% 96% +$21
Politics
4% 100% +$1
Sports
2% 71% $-10
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FURIA make a roster change before July? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 06-29 07:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-28 21:25
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-29 02:46
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 00:48
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 17:21
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-29 18:36
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-28 02:24
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-28 07:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 22:47
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 01:04
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 16:56
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 08:42
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 02:15
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 01:37
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 01:00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-30 04:20
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 01:32
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-28 01:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-29 14:31
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-28 01:14
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-29 03:07
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-28 20:18
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-16 12:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-28 19:08
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-28 02:02
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-28 09:07
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $-0 06-28 11:06
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-15 01:16
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-29 16:58
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-28 06:12