Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$752
$2,595 in 24h
Trades
64
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$1,732
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $203 | $203 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $12 | $390 | $378 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $243 | $243 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $6 | $126 | $121 |
| Median | 8 | $0 | $39 | $38 |
| Below median | 10 | $4 | $22 | $18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $111 | $111 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +214 | $195 | $195 | 4 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +69 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 00:26 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +68 | $62 | $62 | 3 | 05-10 03:21 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +39 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-09 19:03 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 00:01 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 18:30 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 08:54 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 08:52 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-10 09:28 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 08:52 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:51 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-10 09:16 |
| Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:31 |
| Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 00:26 |
| Double-Hug 0xa689…4253 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 08:53 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-10 09:03 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 08:36 |
| Concrete-Eyestrain 0x08e4…1780 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:28:37 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x4f5896… |
| 05-10 09:26:31 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xacabf4… |
| 05-10 09:16:36 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x906f70… |
| 05-10 09:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b54a8… |
| 05-10 09:03:23 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x704039… |
| 05-10 09:02:39 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8d2974… |
| 05-10 09:02:39 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xfc5b43… |
| 05-10 09:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd1544d… |
| 05-10 09:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x55d581… |
| 05-10 08:54:47 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xc9feba… |
| 05-10 08:53:14 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x050870… |
| 05-10 08:53:11 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1e3c3e… |
| 05-10 08:53:07 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x025fbe… |
| 05-10 08:53:05 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b8d3c… |
| 05-10 08:52:55 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbf3c77… |
| 05-10 08:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xb9dc2d… |
| 05-10 08:52:55 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d3ec4… |
| 05-10 08:52:55 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6aa078… |
| 05-10 08:52:53 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf1337a… |
| 05-10 08:52:53 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xa6206c… |
| 05-10 08:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xee1ac1… |
| 05-10 08:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5cf541… |
| 05-10 08:51:41 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd6bdbc… |
| 05-10 08:51:40 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x841a23… |
| 05-10 08:51:33 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x2c5024… |
| 05-10 08:36:52 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x24cb5f… |
| 05-10 08:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6cbf5f… |
| 05-10 08:36:44 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc286d9… |
| 05-10 08:36:38 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa0900c… |
| 05-10 07:28:57 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x114a1b… |
| 05-10 06:16:24 | Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x56ed25… |
| 05-10 05:47:09 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x626171… |
| 05-10 05:27:59 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 85 | 92¢ | $78 | 0xae07a7… |
| 05-10 05:27:51 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x29ca69… |
| 05-10 05:27:49 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 43 | 92¢ | $40 | 0x42f54f… |
| 05-10 04:35:47 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1529ff… |
| 05-10 04:02:07 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb42059… |
| 05-10 03:21:17 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x4725c6… |
| 05-10 03:21:16 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x77c740… |
| 05-10 02:31:42 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x99fc05… |
| 05-10 01:40:50 | (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x6d5d5b… |
| 05-10 01:40:47 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x91bdb6… |
| 05-10 01:40:47 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x10e06e… |
| 05-10 01:40:45 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $39 | 0xe3847d… |
| 05-10 00:26:14 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3c1df0… |
| 05-10 00:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x6d2302… |
| 05-10 00:26:09 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x9122d3… |
| 05-10 00:26:09 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xebdfcd… |
| 05-10 00:26:07 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 69 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x13e589… |
| 05-10 00:01:39 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xe314f8… |
| 05-09 20:42:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x972853… |
| 05-09 20:42:30 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x506e6c… |
| 05-09 19:03:18 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 39 | 86¢ | $34 | 0xf76fc5… |
| 05-09 19:03:18 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe0804d… |
| 05-09 19:03:18 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x622625… |
| 05-09 19:03:18 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x983253… |
| 05-09 18:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 27 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xd7bff2… |
| 05-09 18:19:26 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | SELL | 130 | 86¢ | $112 | 0x3e6043… |
| 05-09 18:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x4ef6e0… |
| 05-09 14:13:28 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 136 | 82¢ | $111 | 0x77ba03… |
| 05-09 14:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x5abe4f… |
| 05-09 10:15:26 | Double-Hug 0xa689…4253 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xddeddb… |
| 05-09 10:15:07 | Forceful-Buckwheat 0xd6fa…c61b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x96fab9… |
| 05-09 09:35:17 | Concrete-Eyestrain 0x08e4…1780 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf21ce0… |