Forceful-Buckwheat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

154

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$659

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-01 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

100% 28% -$82

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?	6	$19	39	34	+5	Yes	+$2	05-08 06:55
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	7	$15	38	38	+0	No	-$1	04-29 15:41
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	10	$15	26	26	+0	No	-$7	05-18 05:16
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	9	$14	57	57	+0	No	$0	05-13 20:11
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	4	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 16:57
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	9	$12	121	121	+0	open	—	05-06 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	5	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 03:11
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	10	$12	33	33	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 12:57
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	3	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?	4	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	6	$9	18	18	+0	No	-$2	05-09 10:01
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	4	$9	52	52	+0	No	-$1	05-02 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	04-29 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	5	$9	27	20	+7	Yes	-$2	05-07 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on April 29?	2	$9	11	11	+0	No	+$3	04-29 07:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 30?	4	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	6	$8	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	5	$8	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-09 03:20
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	4	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 22:28
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	4	$8	9	9	+0	No	-$1	05-13 20:11
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	5	$7	28	28	+0	open	—	05-02 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	05-11 09:25
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?	6	$7	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	04-30 06:10
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	3	$7	57	57	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	04-30 06:29
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	6	$7	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	5	$7	17	12	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 01:31
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	4	$7	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 22:30
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	3	$7	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	04-29 15:41
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:57:27	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xead981…
05-20 08:26:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 21?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x8face4…
05-20 07:35:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x37e33c…
05-19 00:42:15	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x306794…
05-18 23:00:13	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0867dc…
05-18 05:16:05	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa907db…
05-18 04:49:58	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0541b3…
05-18 01:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x92b173…
05-18 00:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa0bb95…
05-17 23:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xac6fb4…
05-17 20:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x950415…
05-17 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7668bc…
05-17 18:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc25057…
05-17 15:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 48°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x896714…
05-17 15:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbbea32…
05-17 14:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x5bf0ae…
05-17 13:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5274e2…
05-17 13:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xf74dd7…
05-17 13:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc850aa…
05-17 12:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x5bd7a7…
05-17 10:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x856b02…
05-17 10:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 48°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb1a27c…
05-17 10:46:14	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xee67b1…
05-17 10:35:14	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x4b48c9…
05-17 10:35:10	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xddfaf6…
05-17 10:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x7863eb…
05-16 13:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x8c4513…
05-16 13:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x6cdee1…
05-16 11:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x7f71a4…
05-16 09:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x098c8f…
05-16 09:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xf6a2f6…
05-16 09:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2fe630…
05-15 22:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x09f341…
05-15 22:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x561727…
05-15 22:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x147e85…
05-15 21:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x535a9f…
05-15 14:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xee7a9d…
05-15 13:17:55	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xf8b59f…
05-15 12:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xed5e48…
05-15 11:56:03	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x1ad30c…
05-15 11:52:57	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x0cf57f…
05-14 21:51:16	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x292525…
05-14 07:48:59	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfd72d7…
05-14 07:38:12	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa3cb5e…
05-14 07:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x3736a1…
05-14 00:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xfcbc36…
05-14 00:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x133bf8…
05-13 23:45:17	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x96bdb0…
05-13 21:21:56	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x3f2c8b…
05-13 20:53:00	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd0dbf1…
05-13 20:12:57	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x9cd6e2…
05-13 20:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xcf21e7…
05-13 20:11:33	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x45a3ab…
05-13 20:11:28	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x92564f…
05-13 20:11:23	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x351906…
05-13 20:11:18	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x29af27…
05-13 20:10:57	Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xbc5b9a…
05-13 09:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa37022…
05-13 08:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x96dc0b…
05-13 08:41:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd11d92…
05-13 07:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x98a3de…
05-13 07:09:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x98683c…
05-13 07:09:34	Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd862ba…
05-13 07:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x249894…
05-13 07:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2be060…
05-13 00:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xb22a38…
05-12 14:03:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfedea6…
05-12 11:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc39c0c…
05-12 11:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x9e4b2f…
05-12 11:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x78c347…
05-12 11:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8a05bf…
05-12 11:47:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x57c01e…
05-12 11:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x0b9518…
05-12 10:54:29	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x08430a…
05-12 10:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xeddb9b…
05-12 10:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb5ea0d…
05-12 10:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x42ea6b…
05-12 10:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x503bac…
05-12 10:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xe0f05b…
05-12 09:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8bdfa2…
05-12 08:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x7b713d…
05-12 08:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x432b2e…
05-12 08:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe3a82f…
05-12 08:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6dbb98…
05-12 08:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xa8a759…
05-12 02:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x3a0f1f…
05-12 02:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa4b34e…
05-11 20:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x9d6bae…
05-11 20:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x57b07c…
05-11 20:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7502a4…
05-11 18:30:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd951d1…
05-11 17:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x7fa532…
05-11 11:47:21	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x45306e…
05-11 11:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf7bccd…
05-11 11:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xc34b78…
05-11 11:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xb35290…
05-11 11:45:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 11?	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xea790c…
05-11 10:19:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xa1d1bd…
05-11 10:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xbfaba8…
05-11 09:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xd59ffb…