Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$260
$1,242 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$398
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 19:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $245 | $14 | +$230 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 8 | $119 | $1 | +$118 |
| Below median | 5 | $73 | $4 | +$70 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proper-Divider-Abdomen 0x6be5…41af | No | +73 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 04:53 |
| Easy-Going-Directory 0xcac0…a0b8 | Yes | +73 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 05-11 04:47 |
| Biodegradable-Heart 0x51ee…2912 | Yes | +43 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-11 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 11:20 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | Yes | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-10 22:06 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-10 22:06 |
| Plaintive-Retouching 0x73ff…9ffa | Yes | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-11 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cf8…31bc | No | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x509b…65d0 | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:16 |
| Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb4e…f700 | Yes | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 19:38 |
| Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 10:20 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 19:04 |
| Cluttered-Mattress 0x9d01…bf99 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 11:48 |
| Plaintive-Transition-Airbag 0x44e5…1ddf | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Crisp-Pentagon 0xbfb4…8316 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 19:04 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Lasting-Obsession 0xb69f…f22d | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 19:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xeb4e…f700 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x100aa0… |
| 05-11 19:38:36 | Biodegradable-Heart 0x51ee…2912 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x4b94c6… |
| 05-11 19:04:35 | Crisp-Pentagon 0xbfb4…8316 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x79799c… |
| 05-11 16:00:19 | Plaintive-Transition-Airbag 0x44e5…1ddf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa0ddf7… |
| 05-11 15:37:39 | Plaintive-Retouching 0x73ff…9ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe7a5aa… |
| 05-11 15:24:14 | Plaintive-Transition-Airbag 0x44e5…1ddf | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x392be3… |
| 05-11 11:48:15 | Cluttered-Mattress 0x9d01…bf99 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4ecc6a… |
| 05-11 10:20:42 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2eb831… |
| 05-11 10:07:15 | Lasting-Obsession 0xb69f…f22d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4e2bef… |
| 05-11 04:53:55 | Proper-Divider-Abdomen 0x6be5…41af | No | BUY | 73 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xde4624… |
| 05-11 04:47:52 | Easy-Going-Directory 0xcac0…a0b8 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x3b9d7e… |
| 05-11 02:24:52 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | No | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x892474… |
| 05-10 22:06:25 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $21 | 0x0710ac… |
| 05-10 22:06:24 | Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $21 | 0x49a4b5… |
| 05-10 21:16:10 | (anonymous) 0x509b…65d0 | No | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbd73b8… |
| 05-10 19:04:24 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x7d920f… |
| 05-10 16:50:36 | Plaintive-Retouching 0x73ff…9ffa | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x75574b… |
| 05-10 12:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x2cf8…31bc | No | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd0e529… |
| 05-10 06:38:12 | Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xb0f6f8… |
| 05-10 06:33:07 | Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x61622c… |
| 05-10 01:35:11 | Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xccfb5f… |
| 05-09 23:59:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x80a6c8… |
| 05-09 11:40:22 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xa8f4bc… |
| 05-09 11:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd3e410… |
| 05-09 11:40:14 | Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x9a6e33… |
| 05-09 11:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xd28c50… |