Frightened-Fill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

466

Trades

1,012

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-16 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

64% 27% -$72

Crypto

33% 47% -$45

Politics

2% 12% -$10

Sports

1% 17% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	3	$35	47	14	+33	Down	-$11	10-16 09:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	4	$15	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-03 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:05 UTC	4	$10	10	5	+5	Down	$0	03-30 18:10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 18?	3	$10	10	5	+5	Yes	-$4	05-17 11:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:30 UTC	4	$10	10	5	+5	Down	+$0	03-30 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$3	05-29 18:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	3	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$3	04-06 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 2?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-01 23:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	05-28 11:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 26?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-26 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-30 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-27 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 28?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-28 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 23?	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-23 18:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 24?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-24 04:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 28?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-28 15:00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 27?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	05-27 09:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-21 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	3	$9	6	6	-0	No	+$2	05-30 13:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 27?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-27 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 2?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	06-02 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 29?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-29 18:30
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 16?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 10:54
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-17 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-29 00:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	05-29 15:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-30 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-30 05:26
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 29?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-29 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-30 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xbf395e…
10-16 09:52:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0xae10d2…
10-16 09:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x991a67…
06-03 15:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x19e592…
06-03 12:00:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x76199d…
06-03 10:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4888a7…
06-03 10:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 3?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x0edb22…
06-03 09:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa77223…
06-03 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x909f19…
06-02 17:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x63222a…
06-02 11:56:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x60c2d6…
06-02 11:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0xa0b7a4…
06-02 10:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xa41d15…
06-02 09:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x6c00df…
06-02 09:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf11683…
06-02 08:59:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x627fdf…
06-02 07:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x812ea4…
06-02 07:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 3?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3204fc…
06-02 06:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc3de79…
06-02 06:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd8f934…
06-02 05:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xde5e58…
06-02 00:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x25b147…
06-02 00:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7a8b46…
06-02 00:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xfe7ec2…
06-02 00:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xce469a…
06-02 00:00:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdb54eb…
06-01 23:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9df28e…
06-01 22:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf9f60e…
06-01 22:29:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x621f82…
06-01 22:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x8d9665…
06-01 14:48:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x604ed6…
06-01 14:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4dbb03…
06-01 14:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1db8c5…
06-01 13:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x75e834…
06-01 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x893daa…
06-01 13:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xee7d63…
06-01 13:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdb00c9…
06-01 13:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0fc1be…
06-01 13:00:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x122b0e…
06-01 13:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcb5b4c…
06-01 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9497d8…
05-31 07:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 31?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x46f363…
05-31 07:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xace842…
05-30 22:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd08990…
05-30 13:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xbfb4ae…
05-30 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xced090…
05-30 09:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xbd4bdf…
05-30 09:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xbe0075…
05-30 09:50:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x76d598…
05-30 09:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 31?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe96256…
05-30 09:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x75d34e…
05-30 09:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0efe77…
05-30 09:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x16c9bb…
05-30 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xf1ecd7…
05-30 06:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x19f9e6…
05-30 06:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x67c8a0…
05-30 06:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xa9a5e2…
05-30 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x539376…
05-30 05:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xaad496…
05-30 05:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x386275…
05-30 05:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1fed67…
05-30 05:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x846a8b…
05-30 05:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xf2ffdf…
05-30 05:00:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x728797…
05-30 05:00:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd7021…
05-29 21:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xff7a71…
05-29 21:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x67884d…
05-29 20:04:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x18905c…
05-29 20:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 30?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x6f2fd8…
05-29 20:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xbee6a3…
05-29 18:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe0ace5…
05-29 18:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x0ce6e0…
05-29 18:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcd22bb…
05-29 18:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x47d8c1…
05-29 18:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5320a6…
05-29 18:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2ee423…
05-29 16:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x671549…
05-29 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x05a1e4…
05-29 15:53:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xf93d74…
05-29 11:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8ec1a1…
05-29 10:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x2053ee…
05-29 10:00:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd761f8…
05-29 10:00:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x98ef38…
05-29 07:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x041c92…
05-29 07:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x8096b8…
05-29 07:30:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbbeeed…
05-29 07:19:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x37852a…
05-29 07:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x89b3c1…
05-29 07:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe76dda…
05-29 07:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x4908ab…
05-29 07:14:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x34cb53…
05-29 05:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5323d9…
05-29 04:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xbd6b81…
05-29 03:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x287b92…
05-29 01:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xf915e9…
05-29 01:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x139ad5…
05-29 00:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0c37a9…
05-28 23:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x944697…
05-28 23:19:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 29?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xccd848…
05-28 21:30:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 29?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xb8de5f…