Vigilant-Homeland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$739

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

1,042

Trades

1,903

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$82

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-27 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

85% 37% -$612

Sports

9% 64% -$92

Politics

3% 29% -$9

Crypto

2% 6% -$20

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-3,846	-$46	2¢	$-77	-$31	05-07 23:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	-10	-$5	34¢	$-3	+$2	05-08 07:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-2	-$2	88¢	$-2	$0	05-09 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba orl phi 2026 04 15 total 220pt5	4	$172	176	174	+3	Under	-$1	04-15 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	10	$134	125	124	+1	Yes	+$115	05-10 05:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$97	74	74	+0	No	-$3	04-15 02:08
cs2 tl1 3dmax 2026 04 14 game1	2	$95	70	69	+1	3DMAX	+$43	04-14 18:04
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$68	43	42	+1	Chennai Super Kings	+$17	04-14 18:03
nba por phx 2026 04 14 total 216pt5	2	$56	96	95	+1	Over	-$44	04-15 03:16
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	1	$50	122	0	+122	No	-$50	04-14 18:28
nhl car nyi 2026 04 14	1	$50	82	0	+82	Hurricanes	-$50	04-14 18:22
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$46	0	3,846	-3,846	open	—	05-07 23:53
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?	7	$45	79	79	+0	Yes	+$29	05-09 21:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 19?	19	$37	115	115	+0	No	-$5	05-19 14:04
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$35	0	133	-133	No	+$17	05-08 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 10?	8	$29	32	31	+1	Yes	+$11	05-10 06:34
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	$0	05-08 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	8	$26	76	75	+1	No	-$2	05-10 05:34
atp navone rublev 2026 04 13	1	$25	46	0	+46	Andrey Rublev	+$21	04-14 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 10?	5	$24	149	116	+34	No	-$4	05-09 19:04
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-08 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 11?	4	$22	63	63	+0	No	+$5	05-10 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	3	$22	90	90	+0	No	+$10	05-09 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?	4	$21	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-15 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	4	$20	55	55	+0	No	+$2	05-10 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 10?	9	$19	47	47	-0	Yes	-$1	05-09 19:07
nhl nj bos 2026 04 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$18	28	0	+28	Bruins	-$18	04-14 19:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 10?	4	$18	111	111	+0	No	-$1	05-09 19:04
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	2	$18	157	150	+7	No	-$2	04-16 15:22
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-09 13:20
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:47
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-08 04:48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-08 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:05:10	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x50fb33…
05-27 22:05:05	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb2fc23…
05-27 17:51:52	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 30?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xadc695…
05-27 17:31:02	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb40ebb…
05-27 17:14:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 28?	No	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xbcf09e…
05-27 14:27:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x163436…
05-27 13:46:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 28?	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xb87498…
05-27 12:25:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa8e802…
05-27 10:51:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xc6a516…
05-27 08:49:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbb87b4…
05-27 05:22:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x32edf2…
05-27 04:51:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xbb1e7d…
05-27 04:33:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9e433f…
05-26 14:06:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x4de918…
05-26 12:28:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfd15a1…
05-26 12:26:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x85cd3d…
05-26 11:41:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x36e8b9…
05-26 03:02:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x3a7402…
05-26 03:02:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xedc1a8…
05-26 02:42:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 26?	No	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x6d7f7d…
05-26 02:42:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd2318b…
05-26 01:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4bc534…
05-26 00:59:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2df737…
05-25 17:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xbd7e07…
05-25 13:38:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8e6ab5…
05-25 12:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xb10563…
05-25 12:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xf61c96…
05-25 11:40:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xfcd4f6…
05-25 11:13:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6017a…
05-25 08:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc4a795…
05-25 08:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xcc712e…
05-25 05:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x429d2b…
05-25 05:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x7b9e8e…
05-25 04:04:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1c0a44…
05-25 03:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0fdcbd…
05-25 02:58:56	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x04ac26…
05-25 02:43:39	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf259b2…
05-25 02:29:22	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xb665cd…
05-25 02:12:11	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7bd189…
05-25 01:19:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb45e26…
05-25 01:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa9e32d…
05-24 23:44:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xacfa0f…
05-24 23:44:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xa2edd8…
05-24 23:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xb23e6b…
05-24 23:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xf3259b…
05-24 22:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9d5f74…
05-24 22:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc10a25…
05-24 22:20:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xddae2b…
05-24 22:19:35	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x48ecdc…
05-24 22:04:23	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1b6e8…
05-24 19:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xf73b9e…
05-24 19:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbda867…
05-24 19:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0f0bb2…
05-24 16:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x21146c…
05-24 15:35:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xae0304…
05-24 15:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x05f6f1…
05-24 14:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xbcf3c2…
05-24 14:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xbc3d2c…
05-24 14:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1a2f2d…
05-24 14:25:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdde7e7…
05-24 14:22:51	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x90e340…
05-24 14:22:51	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x764ca6…
05-24 14:22:51	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3ab7a6…
05-24 14:08:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe53f24…
05-24 13:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x24b32a…
05-24 12:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfd6b93…
05-24 11:44:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0xfe6c2d…
05-24 11:05:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x98210a…
05-24 10:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe3018a…
05-24 10:25:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x496830…
05-24 10:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa79679…
05-23 16:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x6427f3…
05-23 16:37:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xc5dcce…
05-23 15:30:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xcee862…
05-23 14:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0b852e…
05-23 14:02:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x80a41c…
05-23 14:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f395c…
05-23 13:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8ef9c0…
05-23 12:18:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2398af…
05-23 11:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7a2c87…
05-23 10:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3957d0…
05-23 08:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x17afaa…
05-23 07:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x7e7317…
05-23 07:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 23?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x9605e2…
05-23 07:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x85f6bd…
05-23 06:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xae5cfe…
05-23 06:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1130f5…
05-22 14:11:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x61ff85…
05-22 07:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xc188ac…
05-21 22:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x3bb157…
05-21 21:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x77bf77…
05-21 21:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x3b4d24…
05-21 19:51:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 24?	No	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x03d778…
05-21 19:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xe54b3f…
05-21 18:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x9241ed…
05-21 17:28:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xa13e60…
05-21 15:14:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 23?	No	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x6db011…
05-21 13:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x636835…
05-21 12:33:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 22?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x7b9157…
05-21 11:24:16	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xd68794…