Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$522
$4,590 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$650
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 04:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $50 | $0 | +$49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $243 | — | +$243 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $62 | $0 | +$62 |
| Median | 6 | $202 | — | +$202 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accomplished-Sewer 0x8dec…46e0 | Yes | +201 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-10 02:06 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Anxious-Mobster 0x673f…db13 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:25 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +7 | $6 | $93 | 2 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 15:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Silky-Bait 0x7ffe…1bc9 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:20 |
| Growing-Area 0x0d12…31e0 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:21 |
| Ornate-Revitalisation 0x7b57…44ac | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 04:07:03 | (anonymous) 0xf13b…db8d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x14ac09… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc02510… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x614204… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf2db95… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd5b82c… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0dec1c… |
| 05-10 02:52:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3a0ff9… |
| 05-10 02:52:13 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x1781f7… |
| 05-10 02:35:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac272e… |
| 05-10 02:25:17 | Ornate-Revitalisation 0x7b57…44ac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb50bbf… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc79e75… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x098f3f… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x774581… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x980a29… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x78ebed… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xadd893… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb25be… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd950e4… |
| 05-10 02:10:58 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xdc8cc3… |
| 05-10 02:06:32 | Accomplished-Sewer 0x8dec…46e0 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x7d65d0… |
| 05-10 01:36:37 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa9d438… |
| 05-10 01:25:02 | Anxious-Mobster 0x673f…db13 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xabd4c7… |
| 05-10 01:21:13 | Growing-Area 0x0d12…31e0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x916076… |
| 05-10 01:20:01 | Silky-Bait 0x7ffe…1bc9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1131cf… |
| 05-10 01:00:56 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | SELL | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0xbe7d99… |
| 05-10 01:00:44 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xc9af0e… |
| 05-09 19:53:31 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 49¢ | $13 | 0x22501d… |
| 05-09 17:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xf13b…db8d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xd6833f… |
| 05-09 15:37:14 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x09a44f… |
| 05-09 15:37:14 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xa47533… |
| 05-09 15:31:26 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xe51376… |
| 05-09 04:06:39 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x89e8bf… |