Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$129
$296 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,151
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 19:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $19 | $102 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $28 | $23 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $30 | $29 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $4 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | $2 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +26 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 08:55 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +22 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 05-09 14:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 19:07 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:43 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:18 |
| Idle-Fourths 0x2acf…f9bb | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 21:56 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4c7…c6bd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f7b…bc29 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Remorseful-Pencil 0x3d09…6d08 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 17:59 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:12:10 | Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xaf3980… |
| 05-09 19:07:54 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | SELL | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xad47f5… |
| 05-09 19:07:33 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x234400… |
| 05-09 18:22:03 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xdcc3ba… |
| 05-09 17:59:38 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xfeb4c9… |
| 05-09 14:18:33 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5941bd… |
| 05-09 13:18:29 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x7acc2f… |
| 05-09 12:43:24 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xacf2f8… |
| 05-09 12:21:21 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5cc60a… |
| 05-09 12:18:24 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x2fb521… |
| 05-09 12:00:47 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 22 | 80¢ | $18 | 0xc5dbca… |
| 05-09 12:00:35 | Remorseful-Pencil 0x3d09…6d08 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xa2aaf4… |
| 05-09 12:00:28 | Pristine-Electrocardiogram 0x7430…fd36 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xd9ba08… |
| 05-09 12:00:21 | (anonymous) 0xb4c7…c6bd | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x109796… |
| 05-09 12:00:21 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x49bb7a… |
| 05-09 12:00:21 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x4c4a53… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 22 | 76¢ | $17 | 0x28a21c… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xd97f01… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xd49301… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xc4c5e0… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xbde8a3… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xa1227e… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x7f7b…bc29 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xb530d6… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xee04a1… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x3fb1b0… |
| 05-09 12:00:19 | Pristine-Electrocardiogram 0x7430…fd36 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xc35e2a… |
| 05-09 00:18:52 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb40c4a… |
| 05-09 00:02:16 | Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x604626… |
| 05-08 21:56:11 | Idle-Fourths 0x2acf…f9bb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xeed71a… |
| 05-08 08:55:57 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xb5889d… |