Stark-Lieutenant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

4,207

Trades

26,782

lifetime

Volume

$240.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-05 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

58% 68% -$1,895

Politics

24% 62% -$254

Sports

12% 54% -$857

Crypto

4% 48% +$24

Tech

1% 60% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 25% +$117

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	14	$840	600	600	+0	Yes	-$4	05-20 13:47
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	23	$794	719	793	-75	Yes	-$32	03-31 00:45
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	109	$762	781	781	+0	Yes	+$15	06-04 21:13
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	32	$671	388	398	-11	Yes	+$79	03-25 07:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$642	785	851	-66	No	-$177	04-01 03:29
Trump out as President by June 30?	58	$639	289	359	-70	No	-$1	06-04 12:33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	16	$639	445	705	-261	Yes	-$73	02-27 09:58
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	10	$633	800	800	+0	Yes	-$103	03-24 02:09
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	12	$586	339	381	-42	Yes	-$25	03-21 05:33
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	69	$565	478	477	+2	Yes	-$17	01-31 21:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	40	$560	363	453	-90	Yes	-$64	04-11 12:43
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	74	$539	514	514	+0	No	-$5	06-05 06:56
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	4	$529	400	400	+0	Yes	+$69	03-24 02:05
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	57	$507	255	260	-5	No	+$2	06-04 12:31
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$506	316	316	+0	No	+$114	02-03 19:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	53	$499	255	255	+0	No	+$4	06-04 12:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$468	600	600	+0	Yes	-$32	05-18 20:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	42	$454	1,136	1,199	-63	Yes	-$9	02-28 21:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	6	$449	259	259	+0	Yes	+$1	04-20 06:40
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	49	$440	389	389	+0	No	+$53	04-05 22:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	29	$430	413	413	+0	Yes	+$79	04-11 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	23	$425	357	282	+76	No	+$55	05-31 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$420	173	268	-95	No	+$2	05-25 22:34
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	27	$407	600	600	+0	No	-$76	03-24 02:09
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	8	$407	256	200	+56	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:12
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	12	$402	526	531	-5	No	+$1	03-23 06:34
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	24	$398	411	411	+0	Yes	-$6	05-02 00:04
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	27	$390	282	252	+29	Yes	-$1	04-18 18:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	23	$386	312	377	-65	No	+$31	04-10 06:46
will axiom be accused of insider trading	21	$381	737	784	-46	Yes	+$22	02-26 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 06:56:46	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xa45717…
06-04 23:40:58	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x833b96…
06-04 21:14:27	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	185	41¢	$77	0x2ad27a…
06-04 21:14:13	Will Fuego win LRN 2026 Split 1?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xd76caa…
06-04 21:13:57	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	380	41¢	$156	0x15898d…
06-04 21:13:37	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	401	58¢	$233	0xa8c67a…
06-04 21:13:34	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	310	59¢	$181	0x640ab5…
06-04 20:58:01	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4f2f5b…
06-04 12:34:51	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	98	7¢	$7	0xd87227…
06-04 12:34:30	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xf7de00…
06-04 12:34:22	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$7	0xf2256a…
06-04 12:34:18	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x7d02f7…
06-04 12:33:57	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x173687…
06-04 12:33:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xd0682d…
06-04 12:33:24	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc391e3…
06-04 12:33:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$246	0x4f61c6…
06-04 12:33:15	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcc35e4…
06-04 12:32:52	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6be38d…
06-04 12:32:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	125	85¢	$106	0x3189a6…
06-04 12:32:31	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x62e24a…
06-04 12:32:27	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5778c3…
06-04 12:31:48	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	195	97¢	$189	0x3ff141…
06-04 12:31:42	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x6f299b…
06-04 12:31:40	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x6a86b8…
06-04 12:31:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x905786…
06-04 12:31:13	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x955143…
06-04 12:31:07	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9c990f…
06-04 12:31:03	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0xbeb9e7…
06-04 12:30:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0x644e8c…
06-04 12:30:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	95¢	$83	0xd100d0…
06-04 11:00:58	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	74¢	$14	0xcc0046…
06-04 11:00:58	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcb60dc…
06-04 11:00:58	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	122	84¢	$103	0x891cc4…
06-04 11:00:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x3a78bb…
06-04 11:00:42	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x88ea35…
06-04 11:00:42	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c171d…
06-04 11:00:42	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x688b15…
06-04 11:00:42	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x4575dc…
06-04 11:00:42	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x010301…
06-04 10:39:19	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x4f43c9…
06-04 10:39:06	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x881c09…
06-04 10:38:55	Will France win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xf4c2d8…
06-04 10:38:40	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0x9f551f…
06-04 10:38:30	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x97e73f…
06-04 05:55:00	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x99e198…
06-03 22:45:04	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x50822b…
06-03 22:43:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0x2952e9…
06-03 22:43:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfcc23b…
06-03 19:00:00	Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)	Atreides	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x94e1b1…
06-03 18:52:52	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc9a17e…
06-03 18:50:07	Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)	Heroic	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0xd51309…
06-03 18:22:21	Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	M80	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x565f5c…
06-03 17:53:27	Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)	Atreides	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe66495…
06-03 17:53:25	Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)	Atreides	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xb21d7c…
06-03 17:51:57	Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)	Atreides	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x07d13d…
06-03 16:23:45	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xb3eaf1…
06-03 16:23:45	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	SELL	179	51¢	$91	0x8b5622…
06-03 16:05:58	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x07389e…
06-03 16:02:55	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	BUY	114	25¢	$29	0xac1f00…
06-03 16:02:54	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xefd816…
06-03 16:02:46	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner	Sinners	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x75d9f7…
06-03 15:09:55	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb8ea09…
06-03 14:42:16	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0x5484f8…
06-03 14:41:52	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0xb89f1c…
06-03 14:41:24	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c9797…
06-03 14:40:55	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfcd475…
06-03 14:40:55	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x65425c…
06-03 14:33:31	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x1ab513…
06-03 14:30:42	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x9675cf…
06-03 13:54:11	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x89a73f…
06-03 13:52:31	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb3e5d1…
06-03 13:39:52	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5d1a48…
06-03 13:36:11	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x7de0fc…
06-03 13:36:11	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BIG	BUY	71	67¢	$48	0x7c6e2f…
06-03 13:20:37	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76ac78…
06-03 13:08:22	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x8d8508…
06-03 13:08:18	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0xfcfb36…
06-03 13:08:11	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb34b71…
06-03 12:13:54	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08eac7…
06-03 12:11:17	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x53d231…
06-03 12:04:34	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x335bbe…
06-03 11:57:08	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x785609…
06-03 11:39:05	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner	1WIN	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfd89e2…
06-03 11:23:36	cs2 1win lavked 2026 06 03 map handicap away 1pt5	1WIN	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x842587…
06-03 11:23:34	cs2 1win lavked 2026 06 03 map handicap away 1pt5	1WIN	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf04405…
06-03 11:22:45	cs2 1win lavked 2026 06 03 map handicap away 1pt5	1WIN	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x0e7342…
06-03 11:21:40	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x70b72c…
06-03 11:21:33	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2db11d…
06-03 11:09:11	Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)	Heroic	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x635d0b…
06-03 10:39:21	Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)	Heroic	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xb0db20…
06-03 09:09:36	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0x20f0ed…
06-03 09:09:26	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xf8af20…
06-03 06:03:49	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	49	90¢	$45	0xe0379d…
06-03 06:03:49	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x78c7b2…
06-03 05:48:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a2c1a…
06-03 05:19:18	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x598230…
06-03 05:03:30	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0x9a73ac…
06-03 04:33:24	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc464e0…
06-03 03:03:41	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x0f8f89…
06-03 01:35:18	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x6447dd…