Realized P&L
+$224
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
61
Trades
21,652
lifetime
Volume
$207.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.52K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-04 20:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% $-26
Politics
26% 42% +$36
Sports
14% 68% +$214
Crypto
5% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No -319 $-315 100¢ $-319 $-4 06-04 12:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -230 $-227 100¢ $-230 $-3 06-04 12:30
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -205 $-203 100¢ $-205 $-1 06-04 12:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -190 $-184 100¢ $-190 $-6 06-04 12:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -125 $-106 92¢ $-114 $-8 06-04 12:32
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -105 $-104 100¢ $-105 $-1 06-04 12:31
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -95 $-94 100¢ $-95 $-1 06-04 12:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -87 $-83 100¢ $-87 $-4 06-04 12:30
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -56 $-55 100¢ $-56 $-1 06-04 12:31
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-0 06-04 12:31
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 06-04 12:31
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-04 12:32
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -18 $-18 100¢ $-18 $-0 06-04 12:33
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 12:32
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 12:32
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 11:00
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 12:33
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-04 11:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -5 $-4 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-04 12:33