Fancy-Outset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

453

Trades

775

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-14 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

99% 38% -$79

Crypto

1% 56% $0

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	2	$140	72	72	+0	No	+$0	05-07 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 6?	3	$121	99	67	+32	No	-$27	05-06 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 4?	2	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$1	05-04 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 5?	2	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$2	05-05 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 5?	2	$119	61	61	+0	No	-$1	05-04 21:48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?	2	$118	61	61	+0	No	-$2	05-05 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	2	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$2	05-04 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?	4	$117	82	82	+0	Yes	+$34	05-06 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?	2	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-05 07:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?	2	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-05 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 3?	2	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$2	05-04 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on May 5?	4	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$2	05-06 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	2	$112	58	58	+0	No	-$2	05-05 18:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	2	$90	59	59	+0	No	-$18	05-06 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	2	$69	59	59	+0	Yes	+$49	05-07 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	3	$44	61	19	+42	No	-$18	04-28 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 04:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	4	$38	48	48	+0	Yes	+$11	05-12 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 12?	3	$38	26	26	+0	No	+$4	05-12 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 28?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	04-28 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 28?	2	$34	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 27?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-27 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 27?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$1	04-27 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 27?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	04-27 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 26?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	-$2	04-26 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	4	$19	22	22	+0	Yes	+$9	05-08 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?	3	$18	15	10	+6	No	-$2	04-26 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 09:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x48def2…
06-14 09:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x31aa36…
06-11 13:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x76a479…
06-11 13:32:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6225fe…
06-11 13:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x577057…
06-09 14:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa9aa03…
06-09 14:34:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x887fb0…
06-08 16:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33face…
06-07 17:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x74d69f…
06-07 17:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xedf009…
06-07 17:37:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1e608d…
06-04 13:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc99074…
06-03 12:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe6fe58…
06-03 10:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99eb22…
06-03 10:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1b459d…
06-03 10:19:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf07603…
06-02 12:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xde698d…
06-02 12:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd4e5e0…
06-02 12:24:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf4a0c2…
06-02 12:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x021945…
06-01 13:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0e6ee8…
05-30 13:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc2dad7…
05-30 13:05:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x336296…
05-30 13:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0afabf…
05-30 13:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c2779…
05-20 21:20:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x912d0f…
05-20 21:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x31ef9c…
05-20 21:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x068efa…
05-20 21:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd19973…
05-20 21:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa4c4a7…
05-20 21:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7cc8f7…
05-20 21:08:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0f698c…
05-20 20:52:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2eaad7…
05-17 21:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x89ff1b…
05-17 21:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x38061c…
05-17 21:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x196361…
05-17 21:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xcbe674…
05-17 21:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb76fb2…
05-17 21:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xa4acbf…
05-17 20:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x01fc2f…
05-17 20:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x194d35…
05-17 12:26:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa429fb…
05-17 12:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x96c659…
05-17 12:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3cdce…
05-17 12:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf2a96a…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x8572b1…
05-17 08:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd10132…
05-17 08:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xb878bf…
05-17 08:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3ee5bc…
05-17 08:12:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbbc140…
05-17 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xbbd1ae…
05-16 20:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdf6101…
05-16 20:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x77352a…
05-16 20:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x115460…
05-16 20:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7cf1cc…
05-16 20:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf9e252…
05-16 20:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5df1f2…
05-16 20:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d4bd9…
05-16 20:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x72d737…
05-16 20:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x322d71…
05-16 20:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x2166cc…
05-16 20:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc517cc…
05-16 20:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x419a35…
05-16 20:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x488c94…
05-16 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0f7e27…
05-16 20:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x754639…
05-16 20:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4c6b78…
05-16 20:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe79728…
05-16 20:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x584373…
05-16 20:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe49757…
05-16 20:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2b0dd5…
05-16 20:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x94946d…
05-16 20:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e8dfb…
05-16 20:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xa9e72d…
05-16 19:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd84651…
05-16 19:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe9ca42…
05-16 18:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x3a3b28…
05-16 18:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3c679a…
05-16 18:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc4811a…
05-16 18:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd68e58…
05-16 18:07:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x75abdd…
05-16 18:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x43b7f3…
05-16 18:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2dc643…
05-16 17:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5c8f70…
05-16 17:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x789616…
05-16 17:45:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x764241…
05-16 16:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc43841…
05-16 16:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x46f025…
05-16 16:36:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a772b…
05-16 13:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xc6f265…
05-16 11:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2a351d…
05-16 11:39:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbb13fe…
05-16 11:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xad0dcc…
05-16 11:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x612707…
05-16 06:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x8ace70…
05-16 05:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5d445f…
05-16 04:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x486af7…
05-16 04:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x7f2382…
05-16 02:06:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe567a2…
05-16 02:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x198470…