Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$120
$8 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$1,061
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 13:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $33 | $44 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| Below median | 10 | $12 | $19 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 5 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 08:30 |
| Limited-Donation 0x9ad0…be1d | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Frightened-Lava-Back 0x153f…79fc | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:07 |
| Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 23:13 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:54 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 11:12 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 19:13 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:39 |
| Dependable-Thread 0xae3f…e225 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:39 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:51 |
| Paltry-Browsing 0x109c…a94f | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 04:34 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:06:36 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd9d6e7… |
| 05-15 11:46:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2931b4… |
| 05-15 11:46:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd48ebb… |
| 05-15 11:46:27 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x4069bc… |
| 05-15 11:46:27 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x480238… |
| 05-15 11:46:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8d120a… |
| 05-15 11:46:25 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbcdfb7… |
| 05-15 11:46:25 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc6f13d… |
| 05-15 11:42:19 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x49c646… |
| 05-15 10:46:41 | Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8cca97… |
| 05-15 10:37:25 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x625a42… |
| 05-15 10:31:49 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc6c49e… |
| 05-15 10:31:10 | Light-Tog 0x4302…8d4f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf7fea4… |
| 05-15 08:30:15 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8acf5c… |
| 05-15 05:54:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdaeed6… |
| 05-15 05:39:11 | Dependable-Thread 0xae3f…e225 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6c3d76… |
| 05-15 05:39:04 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc2ff9a… |
| 05-15 04:34:12 | Paltry-Browsing 0x109c…a94f | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x92b881… |
| 05-15 04:00:22 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd19618… |
| 05-15 04:00:15 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x52e22e… |
| 05-14 23:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf205a3… |
| 05-14 23:02:43 | Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xd76e6d… |
| 05-14 23:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xcf601e… |
| 05-14 23:02:24 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x6f8ea1… |
| 05-14 23:02:17 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xf12fbb… |
| 05-14 23:02:17 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xc810db… |
| 05-14 23:02:17 | Limited-Donation 0x9ad0…be1d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xa51f34… |
| 05-14 21:07:19 | Frightened-Lava-Back 0x153f…79fc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x13ee35… |
| 05-14 19:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xf78eac… |
| 05-14 19:13:07 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0xbea04f… |
| 05-14 19:13:07 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x571308… |
| 05-14 14:31:21 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x4f73a7… |
| 05-14 12:20:42 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x436ca3… |
| 05-14 11:12:29 | Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x2970dc… |
| 05-14 10:04:28 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xa740be… |
| 05-14 09:54:26 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xc7a1ab… |
| 05-14 05:51:18 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x9cdc6f… |