Likely-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

1,603

Trades

2,053

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-17 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

100% 13% -$271

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 21corhigher	1	$27	80	0	+80	Yes	-$27	04-17 06:29
highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 71forbelow	4	$23	38	16	+23	No	-$10	04-19 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 11?	1	$22	34	0	+34	No	-$22	05-10 00:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 20 2026 55forbelow	4	$20	69	10	+60	No	-$5	04-20 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	1	$20	78	0	+78	Yes	+$59	06-01 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?	1	$19	36	0	+36	No	-$19	05-08 05:26
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	1	$19	218	0	+218	No	-$19	04-17 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?	1	$17	49	0	+49	No	-$17	06-04 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on May 23?	1	$15	75	0	+75	No	-$15	05-21 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on May 20?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	05-18 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	05-19 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	1	$14	69	0	+69	Yes	+$55	06-19 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?	1	$13	40	0	+40	No	-$13	05-21 02:26
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 78 79f	2	$13	19	0	+19	No	+$6	04-17 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?	1	$13	70	0	+70	No	-$13	06-18 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?	1	$12	36	0	+36	Yes	+$24	07-03 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 16?	6	$12	28	0	+28	Yes	+$16	05-16 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	1	$12	24	0	+24	Yes	+$12	06-14 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 20?	1	$12	107	0	+107	No	-$12	07-19 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?	1	$12	26	0	+26	No	-$12	05-05 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?	1	$12	77	0	+77	No	-$12	06-27 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	1	$11	28	0	+28	No	-$11	06-27 10:20
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	1	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	+$6	04-17 07:40
highest temperature in atlanta on april 17 2026 88 89f	2	$11	22	0	+22	Yes	-$11	04-17 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?	2	$11	182	0	+182	No	-$11	06-05 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?	1	$10	87	0	+87	No	-$10	06-22 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on June 17?	3	$10	64	0	+64	No	-$10	06-16 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 30?	2	$10	204	0	+204	No	-$10	05-30 03:21
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	3	$10	25	11	+13	Yes	+$9	04-19 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 6?	2	$10	199	0	+199	No	-$10	06-06 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 08:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc383ed…
09-17 08:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x3de96f…
09-17 08:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x2369e6…
09-12 07:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x8fc551…
07-30 05:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or below on August 1?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x144366…
07-26 22:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x3581ee…
07-25 18:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 26?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x4dc5fa…
07-25 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbedbe6…
07-25 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8b733d…
07-25 10:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xfa590e…
07-25 10:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x138b66…
07-25 10:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xad0a47…
07-24 05:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x2b7f9f…
07-19 04:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on July 20?	Yes	BUY	107	11¢	$12	0xbdbedc…
07-14 11:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe5c535…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xf82a9e…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe4b51b…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe3cf7e…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbd3381…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7e9c8e…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4fa4cb…
07-14 11:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x285dab…
07-14 08:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xcc8586…
07-14 08:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9061fe…
07-14 08:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x19b2d9…
07-14 07:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xdf7b59…
07-14 07:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x88eb0b…
07-14 07:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x527fe5…
07-13 06:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf5ad34…
07-13 06:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x67c1a3…
07-12 21:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xb77fe1…
07-12 17:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xdc0609…
07-12 17:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x1f7edf…
07-12 17:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x2e7bc4…
07-12 17:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd431ca…
07-12 17:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x78b791…
07-12 17:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0x4c1a71…
07-12 11:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 12?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x842aee…
07-10 21:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc0464c…
07-10 21:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x1cde68…
07-10 18:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x22b120…
07-09 06:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C or below on July 11?	Yes	BUY	112	7¢	$8	0x33a2d2…
07-05 21:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf442dd…
07-03 10:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?	Yes	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xbdfe0e…
07-03 05:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xb02e64…
07-03 05:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x491a38…
07-03 05:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc6e6fa…
07-03 01:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc19a4d…
07-03 00:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x046c25…
07-02 16:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x1071e5…
07-02 14:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xda7ead…
07-02 13:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x199e7d…
07-02 12:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xc56187…
07-02 12:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd801dd…
07-02 12:05:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x63b3f8…
07-02 11:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x0e5bbc…
07-02 10:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	57	6¢	$3	0xf2ddd3…
07-02 10:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8bbec6…
07-02 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x395718…
07-02 09:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xbc142e…
07-02 07:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5d4a13…
07-02 06:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc410f0…
07-02 06:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x807e90…
07-02 05:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xb99d97…
07-02 04:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x7d77c4…
07-02 04:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xd84680…
07-02 04:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x352c4d…
07-02 04:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xc37f19…
07-02 03:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x91d985…
07-02 03:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0xa7e885…
07-02 00:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xd437f9…
07-02 00:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x650b75…
07-02 00:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4a0c14…
07-02 00:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x153323…
07-02 00:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x027a7c…
07-02 00:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xcf7e0f…
07-01 12:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xba4fcf…
07-01 12:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xdbf1db…
07-01 10:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x360520…
07-01 07:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0xdbc648…
07-01 07:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd68962…
07-01 07:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5e9eba…
07-01 06:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x69df18…
07-01 05:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xac766b…
07-01 05:40:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x187627…
07-01 05:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0x01c42e…
07-01 05:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xf9716a…
07-01 05:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x61c86c…
07-01 05:01:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x81cf1c…
07-01 05:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x017e5a…
07-01 03:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x4fe91b…
07-01 03:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xfce833…
07-01 01:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x40c2a3…
07-01 01:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x0958e4…
07-01 00:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xa15a31…
07-01 00:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x960b45…
07-01 00:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x20912d…
07-01 00:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x69626d…
06-30 20:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x8026a0…
06-30 20:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x93fb69…