Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$196
Trades
24
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$157
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 15:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $100 | $18 | +$82 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $29 | $10 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $100 | $21 | +$79 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Below median | 4 | $14 | $4 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +152 | $100 | $100 | 5 | 05-15 11:40 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +55 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-15 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | Yes | +23 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | Yes | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 10:34 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 21:27 |
| Athletic-Jumpsuit-Thistle 0x2b11…b2ae | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 11:35 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:59 |
| Dearest-Tuber 0x397b…837e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 15:06:53 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 38 | 29¢ | $11 | 0x2a0b6a… |
| 05-15 11:40:16 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x984a98… |
| 05-15 11:35:48 | Athletic-Jumpsuit-Thistle 0x2b11…b2ae | No | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x2c43ac… |
| 05-15 10:34:33 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x472d7b… |
| 05-15 09:54:25 | Friendly-Coordination 0x315a…3ab5 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x3dd934… |
| 05-15 09:31:05 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 67¢ | $14 | 0x3baace… |
| 05-15 01:32:59 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x1402cf… |
| 05-15 01:32:59 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 69¢ | $17 | 0x630594… |
| 05-14 23:27:50 | (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x50a6ad… |
| 05-14 23:27:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 68¢ | $29 | 0x642de1… |
| 05-14 23:17:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x37f4e6… |
| 05-14 21:27:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xcfebcf… |
| 05-14 21:18:46 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xb80e2f… |
| 05-14 21:18:45 | (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x824388… |
| 05-14 21:12:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 18 | 38¢ | $7 | 0xfb4e50… |
| 05-14 21:12:37 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x08b641… |
| 05-14 21:12:30 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x488872… |
| 05-14 21:12:30 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x31b1f8… |
| 05-14 21:12:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x6acac2… |
| 05-14 19:22:31 | (anonymous) 0xf368…cfb1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x721ba5… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 61¢ | $27 | 0x9a319a… |
| 05-14 15:34:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xa9f5d1… |
| 05-14 10:59:25 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xf2d6dc… |
| 05-14 06:21:28 | Dearest-Tuber 0x397b…837e | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x09a1c3… |