Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$249
$1,458 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$739
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 52 | $85 | $147 | $62 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $0 | $59 | $58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $12 | $8 |
| Below median | 18 | $58 | $36 | +$22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $11 | $8 | +$3 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +52 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +48 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 05-10 07:22 |
| Splendid-Sewer 0xf7a4…f148 | No | +36 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-09 23:26 |
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 23:26 |
| Quick-Drug 0xb65e…190d | Yes | +29 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 00:34 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +29 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Notable-Shoreline 0xf28f…841a | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 16:55 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Grubby-Phenotype 0xfb51…b1b2 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 20:31 |
| Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 04:15 |
| Rigid-Sunday 0x2a1e…515c | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:57 |
| Accomplished-Essay 0x5235…43a8 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:32 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 07:22 |
| Witty-Armchair 0x142a…a44a | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 18:57 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d58…8a92 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 16:47 |
| Definitive-Thrush 0x3ad9…f2cf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Doting-Analytics 0x85ac…e7dc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:53 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:34 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 04:15 |
| Fantastic-Nightingale 0xdaaf…051b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 22:35 |
| Dependable-Cheddar 0xdf1b…62be | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Uncomfortable-Tailspin 0x3f53…fb3d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 23:11 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:24 |
| Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:53 |
| Understated-Omega 0x9d7b…a051 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:04 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:37 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Gigantic-Bolt 0xeafd…6a5e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 22:35 |
| Some-Police 0x77cd…e544 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Worthwhile-Eaves 0xd354…d9dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:53 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:23 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:22:53 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xdda571… |
| 05-10 07:22:32 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9821b9… |
| 05-10 07:22:32 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x34cb56… |
| 05-10 07:19:00 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xd2ade3… |
| 05-10 07:18:06 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x73dfa3… |
| 05-10 07:01:32 | Impressive-Hoof 0xec7c…7ad4 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xc5d1fb… |
| 05-10 06:38:31 | Assured-Warming 0x5931…8ecb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x114da7… |
| 05-10 06:32:27 | Accomplished-Essay 0x5235…43a8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x63f97d… |
| 05-10 06:07:59 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a0f0d… |
| 05-10 06:07:59 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa0e1bd… |
| 05-10 04:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x59be…9c3a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe2a982… |
| 05-10 04:32:29 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x976bfd… |
| 05-10 04:23:32 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xabf1e7… |
| 05-10 04:22:34 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xadf46f… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Gigantic-Bolt 0xeafd…6a5e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7bb789… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Understated-Omega 0x9d7b…a051 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xba08f8… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcb0ef1… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Some-Police 0x77cd…e544 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xfbac32… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Worthwhile-Eaves 0xd354…d9dd | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x90439b… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x6f97aa… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Definitive-Thrush 0x3ad9…f2cf | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x94b37e… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | Dependable-Cheddar 0xdf1b…62be | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x4f0f8e… |
| 05-10 04:22:01 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x11d2f0… |
| 05-10 04:22:01 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xa7a8e2… |
| 05-10 04:21:50 | Rigid-Sunday 0x2a1e…515c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x12cac7… |
| 05-10 02:53:38 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x009c8c… |
| 05-10 02:53:37 | Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x09d26e… |
| 05-10 02:24:53 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa618f9… |
| 05-10 02:24:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc53bfa… |
| 05-10 02:24:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x96fc23… |
| 05-10 02:24:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x672bfc… |
| 05-10 02:24:07 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x012872… |
| 05-10 02:01:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x4fb2e2… |
| 05-10 00:05:37 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x5c159a… |
| 05-10 00:00:20 | Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x77145f… |
| 05-09 23:26:28 | Splendid-Sewer 0xf7a4…f148 | No | BUY | 36 | 71¢ | $26 | 0x600bcc… |
| 05-09 23:26:11 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xf19f71… |
| 05-09 23:11:25 | Uncomfortable-Tailspin 0x3f53…fb3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xb2185b… |
| 05-09 22:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x153fa6… |
| 05-09 22:35:29 | Fantastic-Nightingale 0xdaaf…051b | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xf72a35… |
| 05-09 19:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x1bf951… |
| 05-09 18:57:17 | Witty-Armchair 0x142a…a44a | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xdc2825… |
| 05-09 17:24:04 | Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xb871ee… |
| 05-09 16:55:49 | Notable-Shoreline 0xf28f…841a | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x4e2ff7… |
| 05-09 12:53:05 | Doting-Analytics 0x85ac…e7dc | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4751cb… |
| 05-09 12:43:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6a3c0b… |
| 05-09 05:19:38 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xe2c68c… |
| 05-09 04:15:12 | Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xb79d33… |
| 05-09 04:15:10 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x8c1ae1… |
| 05-09 03:59:18 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x313fc6… |
| 05-09 01:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x3d79…af63 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0xbd1424… |
| 05-09 00:37:20 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x3dd598… |
| 05-09 00:34:35 | Quick-Drug 0xb65e…190d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x99d703… |
| 05-09 00:34:18 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xdcd053… |
| 05-08 21:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d79…af63 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x351919… |
| 05-08 20:31:38 | Grubby-Phenotype 0xfb51…b1b2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xda6383… |
| 05-08 18:47:58 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x46c3c5… |
| 05-08 16:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x2d58…8a92 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xf4ab6f… |
| 05-08 09:04:48 | Flashy-Pentagon 0x6db5…ac62 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x07c9db… |
| 05-08 09:00:20 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 13 | 51¢ | $7 | 0xfab51b… |
| 05-08 08:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x05bed4… |
| 05-08 08:20:38 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x15ed4c… |
| 05-08 08:01:00 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xef37f5… |
| 05-08 06:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 57¢ | $15 | 0x3e7b93… |
| 05-08 06:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x6a5974… |
| 05-08 04:57:43 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x1e1ea1… |