Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
532
Trades
33,830
lifetime
Volume
$195.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$32
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-10 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 67% +$123
Other
31% 62% $-76
Politics
3% 82% +$50
Sports
2% 45% $-112
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2097 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 62¢ $9 $-1 06-04 23:22
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +10 $8 71¢ $7 $-1 06-01 20:31
Haiti elections delayed again? No +7 $4 46¢ $3 $-1 06-10 03:10
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +15 $7 19¢ $3 $-4 06-10 04:33
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +9 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 06-05 22:47
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $-1 06-10 03:54
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 05-27 20:31
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 00:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-4 64¢ $-1 +$3 06-04 15:07
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-06 02:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-06 00:19
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +6 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 21:50
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 22:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 24¢ $0 $-1 06-07 19:01
Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-1 06-05 17:00
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? Yes +8 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 00:47
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 20:40
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 12:46