Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
532
Trades
35,191
lifetime
Volume
$203.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$124
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-30 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 67% +$123
Other
32% 62% $-76
Politics
4% 82% +$50
Sports
2% 45% $-112
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +35 $19 68¢ $24 +$4 06-24 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +26 $15 66¢ $17 +$2 06-28 23:15
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +29 $16 54¢ $16 +$0 06-18 11:05
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -24 $-6 42¢ $-10 $-4 06-25 13:55
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-28 19:47
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 64¢ $9 $-0 06-04 23:22
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-18 12:14
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -11 $-9 76¢ $-9 +$0 06-26 08:25
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-17 22:52
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 00:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-17 18:51
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +15 $7 17¢ $3 $-5 06-10 04:33
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 +$0 06-24 05:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-27 20:31
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +2 $0 42¢ $1 +$0 06-10 09:55
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-09 21:50
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 $-2 06-10 03:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +157 $13 $0 $-12 06-19 21:10
Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +20 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 00:00
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? Yes +18 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +157 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 14:55
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? Yes +8 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 00:47
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 20:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 00:19
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 12:46
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 19:01
Haiti elections delayed again? No +0 $2 32¢ $0 $-2 06-22 09:44