Realized P&L
-$2.00K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
15,879
Trades
55,458
lifetime
Volume
$385.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$70
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-29 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
60% 63% -$805
Crypto
33% 87% -$400
Politics
3% 57% -$87
Sports
3% 54% -$703
Tech
0% 41% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 55% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 465 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +37 $31 84¢ $31 +$0 10-14 23:11
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? Yes +14 $11 98¢ $14 +$3 10-17 22:38
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 09-07 14:25
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Trail Blazers +6 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-29 12:08
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +3 $2 82¢ $3 +$0 08-18 18:15
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 47¢ $2 -$1 06-17 18:51
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 06-04 17:41
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +2 $1 49¢ $1 $0 05-19 08:56
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +5 $0 15¢ $1 +$1 06-15 15:56
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +122 $1 1¢ $1 $0 06-15 15:01
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 18:12
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +269 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 06-18 02:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 19¢ $0 $0 06-24 05:54
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +67 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-20 14:55
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +51 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-20 15:01
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +3 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-18 14:43