Idealistic-Observatory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

1,117

Trades

3,259

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-17 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

100% 86% +$65

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 74forhigher	45	$184	107	89	+17	Yes	+$2	03-31 06:09
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 10c	12	$171	90	83	+6	No	$0	03-23 10:00
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 9c	11	$159	80	80	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 4?	11	$151	78	78	+0	No	+$2	05-04 12:16
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 72 73f	17	$149	101	54	+47	No	+$2	03-31 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 7?	9	$134	68	68	+0	No	-$1	05-07 06:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?	9	$128	70	70	+0	No	+$13	05-06 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 7?	8	$124	63	62	+0	No	+$0	05-07 03:23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 7?	8	$121	62	62	+0	No	+$0	05-07 13:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	9	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$2	04-21 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 30?	15	$114	126	0	+126	No	+$12	04-30 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 5?	7	$109	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-05 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 4?	8	$107	55	55	+0	No	-$2	05-04 12:19
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	41	$107	89	38	+51	No	-$4	04-16 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	15	$103	55	55	+0	No	+$5	05-05 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 1?	7	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-02 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?	7	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-07 03:24
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 70 71f	10	$101	54	49	+5	No	+$0	03-31 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	13	$99	64	64	+0	No	+$2	05-05 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 30?	12	$94	95	0	+95	No	+$0	04-30 16:56
highest temperature in dallas on march 20 2026 94 95f	6	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$3	03-21 01:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 9?	8	$88	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-09 03:07
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 10c	7	$83	43	43	+0	No	+$0	04-07 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 28?	6	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-28 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	19	$79	51	50	+1	Yes	-$2	04-28 06:42
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 11c	5	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	03-23 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 7?	10	$77	45	45	+0	No	+$13	05-08 02:16
highest temperature in atlanta on march 20 2026 72 73f	10	$74	80	0	+80	No	+$5	03-20 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 5?	9	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	05-06 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	6	$72	43	43	+0	No	+$13	05-09 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 22:39:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x41996b…
05-17 22:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xf1ddd3…
05-17 22:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7738d1…
05-17 22:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x1eeaa1…
05-17 22:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x044dc8…
05-17 22:07:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdbc90f…
05-17 22:07:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9bfc0d…
05-17 22:07:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 18?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8e3d67…
05-17 22:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc24d73…
05-17 22:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xac953b…
05-17 21:58:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe66954…
05-17 21:58:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x202276…
05-17 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf29750…
05-17 08:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5e8da3…
05-17 08:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xf9169c…
05-17 08:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x933004…
05-17 08:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6092e3…
05-17 08:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40a826…
05-17 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb6ab72…
05-17 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2e9571…
05-17 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0d7b13…
05-17 08:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdfc517…
05-17 08:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4526ad…
05-17 08:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4b2407…
05-17 08:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x396cf4…
05-17 08:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x22d700…
05-17 08:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2da810…
05-17 08:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf3aa89…
05-17 08:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x25d223…
05-17 08:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0f2dcc…
05-17 05:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x00bea4…
05-17 04:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb42056…
05-17 04:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x76c890…
05-17 04:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb83689…
05-17 03:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd961ed…
05-17 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcab9a7…
05-17 02:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x236480…
05-17 01:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 17?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xadb05a…
05-17 01:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$7	0x8013e3…
05-17 01:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3356b6…
05-16 23:54:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdad4dd…
05-16 23:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x37763c…
05-16 21:14:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1b64c3…
05-16 14:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa695c7…
05-16 14:16:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x763c9d…
05-16 14:16:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc0c003…
05-16 14:16:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x28d182…
05-16 13:52:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa21534…
05-16 12:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2933f6…
05-16 12:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x14a140…
05-16 12:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xeda67b…
05-16 12:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9139af…
05-16 12:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x55988a…
05-16 01:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x35d808…
05-16 01:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x096d93…
05-16 01:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf7f46e…
05-16 01:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf4e895…
05-16 01:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb7a393…
05-16 01:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2f1774…
05-16 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xedde1b…
05-16 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7c52d8…
05-16 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x163f3d…
05-16 01:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x114252…
05-16 01:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x111750…
05-16 01:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd6d7ce…
05-16 01:13:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 16?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdfa637…
05-15 23:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xffed44…
05-15 23:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xca6dcc…
05-15 20:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x923081…
05-15 19:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99560f…
05-15 18:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xee7e40…
05-15 18:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc6d443…
05-15 18:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa22772…
05-15 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x78bc1c…
05-15 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x37d0fa…
05-15 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x31c1ce…
05-15 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x119771…
05-15 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8e3e9…
05-15 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x52fdb4…
05-15 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x29c69e…
05-15 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x07baf2…
05-15 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x0403f9…
05-15 18:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd402a6…
05-15 18:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x847141…
05-15 18:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x715862…
05-15 18:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4d30f9…
05-15 18:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf14dc4…
05-15 18:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0xe4f77a…
05-15 18:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0xb5e98e…
05-15 18:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x763185…
05-15 18:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0x571478…
05-15 17:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x309d8d…
05-15 17:39:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7001d0…
05-15 17:39:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x68fecc…
05-15 10:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xd4b204…
05-15 01:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x963fc5…
05-15 00:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xb0fd4c…
05-15 00:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x902fe1…
05-15 00:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x5ddcf6…
05-15 00:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x097f54…