Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$422
$1,406 in 24h
Trades
97
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$2,208
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 09:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $23 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 63 | $75 | $241 | $166 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $5 | $54 | $49 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $12 | $27 | $15 |
| Median | 16 | $7 | $70 | $63 |
| Below median | 25 | $25 | $20 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $100 | $87 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | +125 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 05-14 14:10 |
| Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 04:28 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 22:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +29 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 05-15 05:24 |
| Crazy-Final 0x5b11…2976 | Yes | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 23:25 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 22:08 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-15 09:04 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:42 |
| Married-Hour 0x351a…f836 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:53 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 00:47 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…c319 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 04:03 |
| Everlasting-Mammoth 0x4f2c…78c4 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:14 |
| Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 13:14 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 10:03 |
| Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 20:53 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 08:01 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 02:23 |
| Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:49 |
| Spiffy-Propane 0xde20…34d2 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 03:38 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:11 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:12 |
| Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:41 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 10:03 |
| Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 08:45 |
| Flawless-Brother-Crab 0xd092…a689 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:30 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:07 |
| Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:39 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:39 |
| Popular-Lye 0xf861…b1bb | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:40 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 06:06 |
| Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d52…cd32 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:30 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:01 |
| Rectangular-Pickaxe 0xadc2…45cf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:45 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 05:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 09:40:10 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x726819… |
| 05-15 09:24:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd58156… |
| 05-15 09:04:49 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xa8e0e7… |
| 05-15 08:45:49 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xa88172… |
| 05-15 08:45:00 | Rectangular-Pickaxe 0xadc2…45cf | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x409251… |
| 05-15 08:01:00 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb07963… |
| 05-15 07:00:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbaceac… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x24dc98… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5392e2… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x80b751… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf6e8fe… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf6df94… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x62a8b2… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfaaff4… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3cdbd6… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x76ad2d… |
| 05-15 06:04:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2cfa10… |
| 05-15 05:38:48 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa2059c… |
| 05-15 05:24:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x651f2d… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc98909… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xee8ac2… |
| 05-15 05:19:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb652c3… |
| 05-15 04:28:22 | Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x40e962… |
| 05-15 04:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…c319 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x7382a5… |
| 05-15 04:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xc457…1675 | No | SELL | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x304f24… |
| 05-15 03:38:24 | Spiffy-Propane 0xde20…34d2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x586dc9… |
| 05-15 02:23:09 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xbeeb06… |
| 05-15 01:40:19 | Popular-Lye 0xf861…b1bb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x319885… |
| 05-15 00:47:43 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 19 | 69¢ | $13 | 0x4ef7d3… |
| 05-14 23:39:23 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x3e6b8a… |
| 05-14 23:39:21 | Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xa3b25c… |
| 05-14 23:25:23 | Crazy-Final 0x5b11…2976 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x11864e… |
| 05-14 22:08:55 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x86cc4c… |
| 05-14 21:52:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x61736b… |
| 05-14 21:22:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xea0979… |
| 05-14 21:19:53 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xdd5dd4… |
| 05-14 21:19:51 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd59a7b… |
| 05-14 21:19:49 | Married-Hour 0x351a…f836 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x6aa11d… |
| 05-14 21:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x6cd2f2… |
| 05-14 21:12:02 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xd1abc0… |
| 05-14 20:58:44 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | SELL | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x75858a… |
| 05-14 20:53:10 | Attractive-Arrogance 0xb1df…3d5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xf6e05c… |
| 05-14 20:42:24 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x9c8588… |
| 05-14 16:54:38 | Feisty-Naturalisation 0xaa23…c623 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x3f5261… |
| 05-14 16:06:41 | Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xaa6437… |
| 05-14 15:31:17 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x806520… |
| 05-14 14:46:29 | (anonymous) 0xc457…1675 | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $6 | 0x77fbef… |
| 05-14 14:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x99c854… |
| 05-14 14:14:24 | Everlasting-Mammoth 0x4f2c…78c4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xab7b2a… |
| 05-14 14:11:11 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc73428… |
| 05-14 14:10:57 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x353e92… |
| 05-14 14:10:56 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x1cd414… |
| 05-14 14:08:11 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x07b1c7… |
| 05-14 14:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x9916d3… |
| 05-14 13:29:22 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | No | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0xd57b7f… |
| 05-14 13:14:26 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x07800e… |
| 05-14 13:07:59 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xef0542… |
| 05-14 13:07:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x7cdd3e… |
| 05-14 12:59:32 | Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfac1e2… |
| 05-14 12:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x0d52…cd32 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x8bc2ea… |
| 05-14 12:30:22 | Flawless-Brother-Crab 0xd092…a689 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x8d7cc9… |
| 05-14 12:04:15 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xaa3097… |
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xae7394… |
| 05-14 06:20:54 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x9a0c80… |
| 05-14 06:20:53 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xab8c6c… |
| 05-14 06:20:25 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc82377… |
| 05-14 06:20:25 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x36baa7… |
| 05-14 06:20:25 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x82e8ed… |
| 05-14 06:20:23 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xdc8270… |
| 05-14 06:20:23 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x44b6fb… |
| 05-14 06:19:15 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x77b696… |
| 05-14 06:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x41d71e… |
| 05-14 06:18:59 | Spiffy-Propane 0xde20…34d2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7ed247… |
| 05-14 05:49:35 | Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x7b611f… |
| 05-14 05:10:42 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xc384b3… |
| 05-14 04:46:10 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x2a1b17… |
| 05-14 01:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | BUY | 125 | 80¢ | $100 | 0x8bc0b9… |
| 05-14 00:08:08 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x87bbbc… |
| 05-14 00:08:01 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xb63ba3… |
| 05-13 23:49:14 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x03a678… |
| 05-13 22:41:04 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xddc261… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x1caf93… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0x556255… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x970361… |
| 05-13 22:07:10 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe1028f… |
| 05-13 21:42:04 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xff9c0c… |
| 05-13 20:53:25 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xb10ee5… |
| 05-13 16:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x1ec69d… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xa87268… |
| 05-13 10:03:05 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xe9e53a… |
| 05-13 10:03:03 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc461ef… |
| 05-13 09:19:36 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x5cbe60… |
| 05-13 08:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xc54a98… |
| 05-13 08:01:06 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x643c25… |
| 05-13 06:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x41fcee… |
| 05-13 06:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2bf631… |
| 05-13 05:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x50ad0e… |