Realized P&L
-$8.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
1,763
Trades
5,732
lifetime
Volume
$41.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$31
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 05-25 11:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
53%
28%
-$7,807
Crypto
35%
50%
+$494
Sports
10%
43%
-$809
Politics
1%
34%
-$67
Tech
0%
11%
-$48
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | -24 | -$11 | 72¢ | $-17 | -$6 | 05-19 14:33 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | -6 | -$5 | 98¢ | $-5 | -$1 | 04-29 20:13 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | -6 | -$5 | 92¢ | $-5 | -$1 | 04-29 00:10 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | -2 | -$1 | 70¢ | $-1 | $0 | 05-06 16:28 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | -1 | -$1 | 94¢ | $-1 | $0 | 05-06 16:27 | |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | -4 | -$1 | 4¢ | $-0 | +$1 | 05-06 16:28 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wbc sok cht 2026 03 07 | 1 | $3.9K | 4,881 | 0 | +4,881 | Chinese Taipei | -$3,948 | 03-07 23:14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10? | 7 | $838 | 652 | 651 | +1 | No | +$434 | 05-10 07:57 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | 80 | $778 | 2,051 | 0 | +2,051 | Yes | -$778 | 05-17 11:29 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | 4 | $776 | 730 | 730 | +0 | Boston Red Sox | -$24 | 05-20 01:16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | 5 | $774 | 479 | 479 | +0 | Up | +$174 | 05-19 14:55 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | 7 | $715 | 15,888 | 1,013 | +14,875 | No | -$615 | 05-19 20:25 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? | 1 | $686 | 1,209 | 0 | +1,209 | No | -$686 | 05-19 19:57 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? | 34 | $610 | 515 | 357 | +158 | No | +$182 | 05-17 16:33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | 3 | $600 | 884 | 0 | +884 | Up | +$284 | 05-19 15:10 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | 4 | $591 | 909 | 909 | +0 | Thunder | -$9 | 05-20 01:17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | 4 | $561 | 759 | 250 | +509 | Down | -$17 | 05-19 14:46 |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | 66 | $507 | 6,487 | 6,487 | +0 | No | -$418 | 05-11 16:11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10? | 15 | $501 | 445 | 445 | +0 | Yes | +$328 | 05-10 05:06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | 2 | $408 | 233 | 210 | +23 | Up | +$31 | 05-19 16:29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | 2 | $400 | 673 | 0 | +673 | Down | +$273 | 05-19 14:29 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | 4 | $353 | 364 | 364 | +0 | Nongshim Red Force | -$27 | 05-19 13:12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | 4 | $351 | 2,701 | 0 | +2,701 | Up | -$351 | 05-19 14:59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | 25 | $340 | 234 | 228 | +6 | Up | +$46 | 04-26 18:24 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | 4 | $330 | 891 | 0 | +891 | New York Yankees | -$330 | 05-18 23:05 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | 3 | $300 | 600 | 0 | +600 | Burnley FC | +$100 | 05-18 18:49 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 8? | 8 | $278 | 936 | 0 | +936 | No | -$278 | 05-10 09:58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5? | 3 | $231 | 223 | 223 | +0 | No | +$5 | 05-05 01:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | 2 | $229 | 333 | 150 | +183 | Up | +$212 | 05-19 12:48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | 4 | $220 | 304 | 0 | +304 | Down | +$84 | 05-19 15:08 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | 4 | $218 | 185 | 185 | +0 | Team Spirit | +$8 | 05-19 14:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | 2 | $213 | 229 | 150 | +79 | Up | +$72 | 05-19 16:31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | 1 | $200 | 330 | 0 | +330 | Down | +$130 | 05-18 13:34 |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 | 3 | $200 | 408 | 0 | +408 | Under | +$4 | 05-18 21:52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10? | 7 | $196 | 416 | 416 | +0 | Yes | +$49 | 05-10 07:59 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | 6 | $196 | 330 | 108 | +222 | Spurs | -$51 | 05-18 12:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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