Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$646
$1,516 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$2,829
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 01:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $112 | $112 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $81 | $429 | $348 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $32 | $154 | $122 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $21 | $28 | $6 |
| Median | 4 | $7 | $34 | $27 |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $166 | $163 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $48 | $47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $8 | $108 | $100 |
| unranked | 6 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | +198 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-10 01:14 |
| Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | +157 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 21:47 |
| Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | No | +130 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 05-09 18:40 |
| Wobbly-Expertise 0x0a59…8e5c | Yes | +130 | $5 | $11 | 3 | 05-09 22:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | +83 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 01:13 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +79 | $71 | $71 | 2 | 05-08 08:26 |
| Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | +75 | $1 | $14 | 5 | 05-10 01:20 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +71 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 08:10 |
| Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | +60 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 05-10 01:15 |
| Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | +54 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 14:19 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-09 07:14 |
| Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 01:08 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +39 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-10 00:53 |
| Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | No | +36 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Jaded-Lily 0x1f67…0529 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:13 |
| Dapper-Girdle 0xbb1f…493c | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 15:27 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 04:29 |
| Visible-Cricketer 0x4d21…b569 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 19:26 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:56 |
| Left-Cohort 0x100b…3404 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:00 |
| Forked-Phenotype 0x99b8…d816 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:01 |
| Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-10 01:21 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 18:36 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-09 18:40 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:14 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 14:27 |
| Stormy-Habit 0x0ccd…69c0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 22:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:21:09 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xac1e7c… |
| 05-10 01:21:04 | Low-Carrot 0xe7e9…fb3c | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x1f6c66… |
| 05-10 01:20:31 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x486211… |
| 05-10 01:15:44 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa5976a… |
| 05-10 01:15:07 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0xde456e… |
| 05-10 01:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5fb106… |
| 05-10 01:14:35 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xbc7c0b… |
| 05-10 01:14:32 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x2a794c… |
| 05-10 01:13:15 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 16¢ | $13 | 0x3a0b02… |
| 05-10 01:13:13 | Jaded-Lily 0x1f67…0529 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x076ea8… |
| 05-10 01:13:10 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 14¢ | $25 | 0x3bc8c4… |
| 05-10 01:08:14 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x64cced… |
| 05-10 00:55:22 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa275eb… |
| 05-10 00:53:48 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x58baa9… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xaaadf6… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x54a952… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc794e1… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd61ea5… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x87bf71… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc61ecc… |
| 05-10 00:14:25 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1126c5… |
| 05-10 00:11:51 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbd1e32… |
| 05-10 00:05:30 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x94fa1d… |
| 05-09 22:40:14 | Stormy-Habit 0x0ccd…69c0 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x881fcc… |
| 05-09 22:35:31 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x03438e… |
| 05-09 22:35:27 | Wobbly-Expertise 0x0a59…8e5c | Yes | SELL | 61 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x683b8e… |
| 05-09 21:47:27 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 52 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x255365… |
| 05-09 21:47:25 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xab65fc… |
| 05-09 21:47:22 | Wobbly-Expertise 0x0a59…8e5c | Yes | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xf19490… |
| 05-09 21:46:50 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 105 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xb34797… |
| 05-09 21:46:48 | Unwelcome-Ukulele 0xa1cb…af17 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xb049c0… |
| 05-09 21:46:45 | Wobbly-Expertise 0x0a59…8e5c | Yes | BUY | 126 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xf44583… |
| 05-09 21:00:01 | Left-Cohort 0x100b…3404 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdeedd2… |
| 05-09 20:49:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c908b… |
| 05-09 19:28:14 | Faraway-Group 0xb527…903d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xdbdf61… |
| 05-09 19:26:57 | Visible-Cricketer 0x4d21…b569 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xce5030… |
| 05-09 18:56:58 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa48d8e… |
| 05-09 18:40:40 | Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | No | BUY | 130 | 97¢ | $126 | 0x22c54e… |
| 05-09 18:40:26 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x33a522… |
| 05-09 18:36:52 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xed91fa… |
| 05-09 17:09:49 | Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x8f4953… |
| 05-09 15:31:15 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x00a564… |
| 05-09 15:27:19 | Dapper-Girdle 0xbb1f…493c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x0f87a2… |
| 05-09 14:27:07 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x3fa315… |
| 05-09 10:40:07 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6d5350… |
| 05-09 08:10:05 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xf501db… |
| 05-09 07:14:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x91b50b… |
| 05-09 07:14:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdafad4… |
| 05-09 07:14:56 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xd7b5fd… |
| 05-09 07:14:56 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0c6914… |
| 05-09 04:29:49 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x017de8… |
| 05-09 04:29:49 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x1a853b… |
| 05-09 04:07:35 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcbf6fb… |
| 05-09 04:01:31 | Forked-Phenotype 0x99b8…d816 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x642072… |
| 05-09 01:50:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x06458a… |
| 05-09 01:50:25 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xcc7f9d… |
| 05-09 01:25:18 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1a118b… |
| 05-09 01:25:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x559ddc… |
| 05-08 14:19:37 | Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xcb68b0… |
| 05-08 08:26:02 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 62 | 89¢ | $55 | 0x8d3a29… |
| 05-08 08:20:52 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa46588… |
| 05-08 05:30:23 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xc54c07… |