Wobbly-Expertise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

7,010

Trades

17,098

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 300 days

Categories

Other

97% 13% +$4,179

Politics

3% 34% +$109

Crypto

0% 36% +$30

Sports

0% 12% -$26

Tech

0% 50% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+50	$4	2¢	$1	-$4	05-11 18:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	7	$290	350	350	+0	Yes	+$285	05-06 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?	6	$264	273	273	+0	Yes	+$263	05-05 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	12	$240	228	228	+0	Yes	+$186	05-17 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	5	$155	338	54	+284	No	-$144	06-28 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	3	$154	157	157	+0	Yes	+$151	05-09 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?	3	$131	140	105	+35	Yes	+$114	06-10 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?	8	$127	148	128	+20	Yes	+$106	05-25 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?	3	$118	120	101	+19	Yes	+$97	07-08 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?	5	$107	131	98	+33	Yes	+$118	06-05 08:16
highest temperature in nyc on march 5 2026 44 45f	1	$106	110	0	+110	Yes	+$4	03-05 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 2?	6	$105	106	106	+0	Yes	+$100	07-02 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?	8	$104	107	107	+0	Yes	+$94	05-31 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	11	$96	143	73	+70	No	+$49	07-03 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?	5	$91	140	88	+53	Yes	+$130	08-18 22:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	3	$89	106	80	+27	Yes	+$88	06-09 15:56
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	8	$88	145	145	+0	Yes	+$81	06-15 00:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 7?	9	$87	114	87	+27	Yes	+$108	05-07 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 1?	9	$87	81	81	+0	Yes	+$66	07-01 19:00
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 25 2026 25corbelow	4	$86	106	0	+106	No	+$20	02-25 16:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 29?	7	$85	100	82	+18	Yes	+$95	07-29 23:57
highest temperature in seoul on january 27 neg 1c	8	$82	172	167	+5	Yes	+$0	01-27 04:44
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 40 41f	2	$80	94	0	+94	Yes	-$80	02-27 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?	9	$78	100	77	+23	Yes	+$93	06-17 13:05
will trump say affordability during wef address on january 21	3	$74	117	0	+117	No	-$74	01-21 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	5	$72	70	70	+0	Yes	+$59	06-06 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 27?	7	$70	90	90	+0	No	+$64	08-27 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 30?	4	$68	77	66	+11	Yes	+$69	08-30 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?	3	$68	115	57	+57	Yes	+$102	06-14 08:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$68	310	58	+252	No	+$33	06-02 00:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	9	$67	115	91	+24	Yes	+$86	05-04 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$0	0xfb6888…
10-28 13:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f9128…
10-28 12:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xf6b421…
10-28 12:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xb53f57…
10-28 10:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xf4f723…
10-28 08:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd02306…
10-28 07:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x83be67…
10-28 07:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb260df…
10-28 07:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x7ee7eb…
10-28 07:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9d4e8a…
10-28 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x43d22a…
10-28 07:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x35f034…
10-28 06:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc53e8a…
10-28 06:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x88cb85…
10-28 06:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5651a4…
10-28 06:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x619462…
10-28 06:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xcdc01a…
10-28 05:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfcd92c…
10-28 05:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6b0563…
10-28 05:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x24712d…
10-28 05:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf909c7…
10-28 05:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3ad731…
10-28 04:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9bdd91…
10-28 04:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x80e4db…
10-28 04:13:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x22464b…
10-28 04:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc93735…
10-28 04:13:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0c5fd8…
10-28 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x52e959…
10-28 03:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$1	0x782f58…
10-28 03:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x45b48f…
10-28 03:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x423728…
10-28 03:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x16290e…
10-28 03:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xc20211…
10-28 03:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x90af1f…
10-28 03:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3be48f…
10-28 02:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0xd98651…
10-28 02:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x384af6…
10-28 01:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2946a3…
10-28 01:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x2667c2…
10-27 16:01:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9e9c15…
10-27 14:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x8f993b…
10-27 12:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xee5742…
10-27 11:55:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0xbfa004…
10-27 11:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5415d5…
10-27 11:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x337169…
10-27 11:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0xcbb3a2…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc8a8fd…
10-27 11:33:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x871855…
10-27 11:33:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xde9a51…
10-27 11:33:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x0fb204…
10-27 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xa82adf…
10-27 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x9c4b8a…
10-27 07:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x68c694…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf2b3a8…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd97847…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb0caa8…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95855b…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1da5f0…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x131ce2…
10-27 07:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x09055d…
10-27 07:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x12318b…
10-27 07:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd3f90f…
10-27 06:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x599560…
10-27 06:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb030b9…
10-27 06:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x9559de…
10-27 06:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1a75ae…
10-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6e0ed…
10-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xcd1d22…
10-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xcbc8d1…
10-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcb3075…
10-27 06:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4c6fce…
10-27 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6a3e70…
10-27 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2cdeea…
10-27 06:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc71a1e…
10-27 06:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8905cc…
10-27 05:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe2660b…
10-27 05:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb8318e…
10-27 05:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa6065b…
10-27 05:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x934dce…
10-27 05:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe0a339…
10-27 05:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbc99da…
10-27 05:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x115ab8…
10-27 05:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x03bbe6…
10-27 05:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd9e3c3…
10-27 05:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0a6767…
10-27 05:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x850b07…
10-27 05:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4d4830…
10-27 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd83ffd…
10-27 05:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0fce79…
10-27 05:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x0c4146…
10-27 05:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0158a4…
10-27 04:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2383da…
10-27 04:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x578ce7…
10-27 04:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6ecb8b…
10-27 04:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x203bc9…
10-27 04:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf45b85…
10-27 04:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x87f586…
10-27 04:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x54aae1…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x5b30a9…
10-27 04:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdc47a9…