Reflecting-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$855

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

1,048

Trades

1,613

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-04 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

99% 49% -$918

Sports

1% 44% +$84

Crypto

0% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	4	$568	289	289	+0	No	+$8	05-07 23:06
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	1	$508	2,417	0	+2,417	No	-$508	10-04 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 1?	2	$506	256	256	+0	No	+$6	05-02 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	+$0	05-02 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on May 5?	2	$256	130	130	+0	No	+$4	05-06 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	2	$253	130	130	+0	No	+$7	05-05 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	2	$252	126	126	+0	No	+$0	05-08 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 3?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	+$0	05-03 13:15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on May 4?	2	$249	125	125	+0	No	+$1	05-05 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 9?	2	$242	123	123	+0	No	+$2	05-09 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 29?	1	$240	249	0	+249	No	+$9	04-29 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 8?	2	$236	123	123	+0	No	+$8	05-08 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on May 5?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	+$0	05-06 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 4?	3	$233	118	118	+0	No	+$3	05-05 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	3	$224	115	115	+0	Yes	+$4	05-03 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?	2	$223	227	0	+227	No	+$3	05-02 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 27?	2	$222	112	112	+0	No	+$1	04-27 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	2	$218	110	110	+0	No	+$1	04-27 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	2	$218	110	110	+0	No	+$2	05-03 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 3?	2	$217	109	109	+0	No	+$1	05-03 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 2?	2	$215	217	0	+217	No	+$2	05-02 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?	3	$202	104	104	+0	No	+$6	05-09 21:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 8?	2	$191	96	96	+0	No	+$1	05-08 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$1	05-09 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 6?	1	$126	139	0	+139	No	+$12	05-06 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$126	129	0	+129	No	+$3	05-06 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?	1	$125	127	0	+127	No	+$2	05-05 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 5?	1	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$2	05-05 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1?	1	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$1	05-01 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 1?	1	$124	128	0	+128	No	+$4	05-01 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 03:07:49	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2,417	21¢	$508	0x5b0205…
06-05 21:57:00	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x759d0d…
06-01 02:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc82024…
05-31 14:04:57	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1e47cd…
05-24 16:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x985228…
05-24 16:21:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa815d8…
05-23 14:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0d9009…
05-23 14:37:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xa2b4ea…
05-22 22:40:48	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1,964	0¢	$5	0xf3d3ae…
05-22 22:39:17	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	703	0¢	$1	0x18de69…
05-22 20:35:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf3c0c9…
05-22 20:34:54	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8b87af…
05-22 20:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb1f393…
05-22 20:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb56230…
05-21 18:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x8cc803…
05-21 18:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x73d345…
05-21 17:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?	Yes	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xa1b474…
05-21 17:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x978a68…
05-21 15:17:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x9dd56c…
05-21 02:31:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x338478…
05-21 01:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x28ac2a…
05-21 01:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9378e8…
05-21 01:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x42b808…
05-21 01:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf08694…
05-21 01:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0eaabf…
05-21 01:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5ef0c0…
05-21 01:12:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd0461c…
05-21 01:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xf49f39…
05-20 20:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x55a9ac…
05-20 20:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5962fb…
05-20 20:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5db3c9…
05-20 17:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc0ffc…
05-20 17:13:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xad7c6f…
05-20 13:48:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc8b7b0…
05-20 12:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x517edd…
05-20 10:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x59e680…
05-20 01:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x4289a4…
05-19 22:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf0ae73…
05-19 22:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xef56d9…
05-19 22:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe79458…
05-18 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf7762c…
05-18 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x148925…
05-18 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1a232b…
05-18 23:15:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x83d1ac…
05-17 17:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 19?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9c99dd…
05-17 17:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2d614a…
05-17 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5d91ce…
05-17 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3bada6…
05-17 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2b5a9d…
05-17 07:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xed7b14…
05-17 07:44:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9fb97f…
05-17 07:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0dd204…
05-17 07:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe1c203…
05-17 07:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 18?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa3ebfd…
05-17 07:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9778ad…
05-17 07:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7ff39d…
05-17 02:18:00	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xeccbea…
05-16 21:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x17687f…
05-16 20:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x68b71a…
05-16 20:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x330c38…
05-16 19:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x111398…
05-16 18:36:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x08b137…
05-16 12:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x912776…
05-16 10:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9b4e28…
05-16 00:05:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3c4ec0…
05-15 21:18:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xfe8930…
05-15 17:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x40f961…
05-15 14:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0xd28e3a…
05-15 10:53:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb29531…
05-15 10:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x55be6a…
05-15 10:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x327150…
05-15 10:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcd758d…
05-15 10:53:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x994d89…
05-15 10:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x256d08…
05-15 07:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x60a694…
05-15 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x65eaac…
05-15 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5f5e98…
05-15 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5c48fe…
05-15 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1d28e6…
05-15 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe63ef9…
05-15 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd47168…
05-15 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x80025a…
05-15 07:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6f649c…
05-15 07:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x05448d…
05-15 01:03:35	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5ab3f9…
05-14 21:55:37	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x40851d…
05-14 21:42:08	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x925a4c…
05-14 11:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x1cc625…
05-14 11:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x785ddc…
05-14 11:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5f4656…
05-14 07:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x687b18…
05-14 07:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb7014c…
05-14 07:02:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8b66c3…
05-14 07:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x68852d…
05-14 07:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x188488…
05-14 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf243c1…
05-14 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x39dcd6…
05-14 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2327aa…
05-14 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x82984d…
05-14 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4852ad…