Reflecting-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.5%

Resolved

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-31 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 0% $-41

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 442 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 27?	2	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-27 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	2	$218	110	110	+0	open	—	04-27 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	1	$107	109	0	+109	open	—	04-28 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?	1	$103	104	0	+104	open	—	04-28 00:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	2	$93	203	0	+203	open	—	04-28 00:22
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$83	0	120	-120	Cavaliers	$-37	05-14 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	04-27 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 28?	1	$71	72	0	+72	open	—	04-28 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	04-26 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 26?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-26 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26?	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-26 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or higher on April 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-26 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 26?	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-26 00:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-27 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?	1	$39	41	0	+41	open	—	04-26 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 25?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 26?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-26 02:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	2	$26	51	0	+51	open	—	04-27 23:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-24 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-25 00:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 19c	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-24 00:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-23 00:45
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 26corhigher	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-24 06:22
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-24 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-25 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on April 25?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-25 00:04
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 17c	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-24 00:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 17c	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-24 01:18
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 26corhigher	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-23 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:04:57	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1e47cd…
05-22 22:40:48	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	1,964	0¢	$5	0xf3d3ae…
05-22 22:39:17	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	703	0¢	$1	0x18de69…
05-21 02:31:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x338478…
05-18 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf7762c…
05-18 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x148925…
05-18 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1a232b…
05-18 23:15:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x83d1ac…
05-17 02:18:00	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xeccbea…
05-15 01:03:35	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5ab3f9…
05-14 21:55:37	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x40851d…
05-14 21:42:08	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x925a4c…
05-14 02:48:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	120	69¢	$83	0x87ac9d…
05-08 03:41:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x1a2ee9…
05-07 11:11:58	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0c57cc…
04-30 21:44:06	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc526c4…
04-28 10:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xdf2503…
04-28 10:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x606b54…
04-28 10:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1db488…
04-28 10:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x117dbd…
04-28 10:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x51c4d4…
04-28 10:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xe23ba7…
04-28 10:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x88ca5e…
04-28 10:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x10ae80…
04-28 09:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd948f5…
04-28 09:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaaf595…
04-28 09:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x889dc2…
04-28 09:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x36d073…
04-28 09:02:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x304f12…
04-28 09:02:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x027105…
04-28 09:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x393eb1…
04-28 09:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x59814f…
04-28 09:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x48a5f2…
04-28 09:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0x0e1749…
04-28 09:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xda4536…
04-28 09:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3aecad…
04-28 09:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x126eef…
04-28 09:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe757e6…
04-28 09:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x5c6195…
04-28 09:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8f841c…
04-28 09:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x716db8…
04-28 08:59:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4bec8…
04-28 08:59:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa85464…
04-28 08:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9ee444…
04-28 08:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8afb03…
04-28 08:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6cfe35…
04-28 08:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5af3fb…
04-28 08:59:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1eaf7c…
04-28 06:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc90fb8…
04-28 06:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b7e18…
04-28 06:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 28?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xdbef78…
04-28 06:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc51f75…
04-28 06:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1411c0…
04-28 05:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xde86c6…
04-28 05:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0xa0f73c…
04-28 05:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60019c…
04-28 05:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x9efa38…
04-28 05:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x88d2ce…
04-28 05:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x47ea8e…
04-28 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x74e9d6…
04-28 04:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x8cced4…
04-28 03:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb32073…
04-28 03:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc07d88…
04-28 03:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4b03e4…
04-28 02:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$107	0x48e99a…
04-28 02:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xe8ff2a…
04-28 02:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x022c93…
04-28 02:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x9baf71…
04-28 01:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x164ff3…
04-28 01:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc37b8b…
04-28 01:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x829ea6…
04-28 01:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5a4b35…
04-28 01:50:12	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc12e7a…
04-28 01:50:12	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x77ed1f…
04-28 01:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x914fff…
04-28 00:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x8029ad…
04-28 00:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x91c22f…
04-28 00:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x60b8c2…
04-28 00:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x200796…
04-28 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 28?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x37f510…
04-28 00:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xb100f6…
04-28 00:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xd5d848…
04-28 00:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x6c7d7e…
04-28 00:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x198db1…
04-28 00:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6b5592…
04-28 00:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1f0132…
04-28 00:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa3419b…
04-28 00:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x53ae4a…
04-27 23:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xec2492…
04-27 23:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x411897…
04-27 23:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e1274…
04-27 23:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe0530b…
04-27 23:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x981db1…
04-27 23:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06c9ba…
04-27 23:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e6ca3…
04-27 23:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b8acf…
04-27 23:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x91b89f…
04-27 23:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x367c2d…
04-27 23:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1dbe0c…
04-27 23:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x347469…