Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$71
$688 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,283
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 09:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $26 | $29 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +39 | $10 | $11 | 3 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:09 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 06:29 |
| Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:30 |
| Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:10 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:05 |
| Smooth-Collector 0xa0f3…d189 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:09 |
| Prestigious-Feather 0xd695…f470 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:08:58 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xad9c24… |
| 05-14 06:00:57 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xacf711… |
| 05-14 05:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x6fe46e… |
| 05-14 05:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x50b347… |
| 05-14 02:10:32 | Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xbd99a2… |
| 05-14 02:05:28 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe9d3e8… |
| 05-14 02:02:00 | Prestigious-Feather 0xd695…f470 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x174c62… |
| 05-13 22:30:57 | Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2d8709… |
| 05-13 22:30:57 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xe2cae1… |
| 05-13 22:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x3264…f0bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xce42f7… |
| 05-13 22:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x3264…f0bd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2414fe… |
| 05-13 22:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x3264…f0bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x3b757f… |
| 05-13 22:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x943768… |
| 05-13 22:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x3264…f0bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x313680… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x43b043… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xb0b827… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x3264…f0bd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x841368… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x17a0…a8a6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7e9a37… |
| 05-13 22:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x17a0…a8a6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x697f19… |
| 05-13 22:09:04 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xb983bd… |
| 05-13 22:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x17a0…a8a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x26414c… |
| 05-13 22:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x17a0…a8a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x837e8b… |
| 05-13 22:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x17a0…a8a6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5b1dfe… |
| 05-13 22:09:02 | Smooth-Collector 0xa0f3…d189 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x12b94d… |
| 05-13 22:06:53 | Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xebfd9c… |
| 05-13 06:29:35 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x171da2… |