Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$303
$391 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$859
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 18:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $105 | $101 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $37 | $117 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $26 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $4 | $26 | $22 |
| Median | 10 | $23 | $113 | $89 |
| Below median | 13 | $3 | $63 | $60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $6 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wee-Carry 0xaeb2…58c1 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-15 17:29 |
| Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | No | +45 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-15 13:41 |
| Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | +31 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 13:05 |
| Oily-Functionality 0x672f…13cc | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-15 10:56 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-15 12:11 |
| Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:13 |
| Gifted-Efficiency 0x57c5…76c2 | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 06:00 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 10:56 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 21:07 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-15 11:50 |
| Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:41 |
| Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 12:08 |
| Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 12:00 |
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:53 |
| Useless-Relationship 0x9765…242e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:28 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 11:21 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 13:05 |
| Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 22:26 |
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:20 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:24 |
| Dependent-Leveret 0x0aa6…4b74 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:09 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:45 |
| Last-Effacement 0xceb4…cc6f | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:05 |
| Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 18:37:21 | Wild-Offramp 0x6cb3…a163 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc3b869… |
| 05-15 17:29:52 | Wee-Carry 0xaeb2…58c1 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3254b4… |
| 05-15 13:41:45 | Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xea4b54… |
| 05-15 13:05:52 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x626a19… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x35c70d… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 28 | 90¢ | $25 | 0xeabe78… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x33f761… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd4c118… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb1cfb8… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8b4007… |
| 05-15 13:05:51 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa0daee… |
| 05-15 12:16:42 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x6085d2… |
| 05-15 12:11:15 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x1c6b4a… |
| 05-15 12:00:32 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x365771… |
| 05-15 11:50:55 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xdd627e… |
| 05-15 11:50:39 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x9270c4… |
| 05-15 11:21:47 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x242691… |
| 05-15 11:05:09 | Last-Effacement 0xceb4…cc6f | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x1187ed… |
| 05-15 10:56:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x206cae… |
| 05-15 10:56:21 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 11 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x68bb73… |
| 05-15 10:56:17 | Oily-Functionality 0x672f…13cc | No | BUY | 21 | 65¢ | $14 | 0x148d8b… |
| 05-15 10:55:40 | Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa921f7… |
| 05-15 10:39:19 | Scrawny-Reporter 0xa33d…3ef2 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x135a59… |
| 05-15 10:20:11 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xd326dd… |
| 05-15 10:09:37 | Dependent-Leveret 0x0aa6…4b74 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x6e4967… |
| 05-15 09:35:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xb6aaa2… |
| 05-15 09:24:25 | Rare-Waterfront 0xbd85…7a3d | No | SELL | 3 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x868f07… |
| 05-15 07:59:41 | Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 44¢ | $14 | 0xb3f7b9… |
| 05-15 03:10:35 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x09dd58… |
| 05-15 02:45:28 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xd59802… |
| 05-14 22:26:33 | Kooky-Delay 0x50be…6b67 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa14712… |
| 05-14 22:12:37 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x372a0b… |
| 05-14 15:19:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x53e424… |
| 05-14 15:19:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x990b32… |
| 05-14 10:45:30 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x762440… |
| 05-14 08:24:05 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xff9fff… |
| 05-14 07:33:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xa863d2… |
| 05-14 06:53:59 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x485daa… |
| 05-14 00:28:17 | Useless-Relationship 0x9765…242e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x0ac759… |
| 05-13 23:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x155a…f083 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xf79251… |
| 05-13 21:07:39 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x7cb8cc… |
| 05-13 12:08:19 | Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xf8821b… |
| 05-13 06:00:55 | Gifted-Efficiency 0x57c5…76c2 | No | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x462416… |
| 05-13 05:41:08 | Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x2202d9… |
| 05-13 05:13:40 | Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x2b5adf… |