Rare-Waterfront — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.97K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

7,779

Trades

33,341

lifetime

Volume

$104.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-12 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

100% 74% +$2,983

Politics

0% 60% -$25

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes		+65	$30	50¢	$33	+$3	08-07 20:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	08-07 20:14
highest temperature in jakarta on april 13 2026 33c	11	$67	70	45	+25	No	+$4	04-12 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	6	$48	30	30	+0	No	+$10	08-05 08:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 15 32corbelow	3	$47	35	20	+15	No	-$7	01-15 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 10?	3	$47	30	30	+0	No	+$7	08-10 06:36
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$45	26	26	+0	No	+$5	01-15 15:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	01-30 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 2?	6	$38	50	25	+25	No	-$7	05-02 03:52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	6	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 20:13
highest temperature in lagos on april 24 2026 27corbelow	21	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-23 20:51
highest temperature in atlanta on april 13 2026 84 85f	7	$38	65	34	+31	No	+$3	04-12 09:04
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	12	$38	95	0	+95	No	-$3	04-12 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?	4	$38	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?	6	$38	30	30	+0	No	+$1	06-06 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 24?	7	$37	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-23 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	8	$37	30	30	+0	No	+$2	05-06 07:29
highest temperature in san francisco on april 13 2026 62 63f	11	$37	78	0	+78	Yes	+$2	04-12 14:12
highest temperature in lucknow on april 13 2026 36c	10	$37	45	30	+15	Yes	-$11	04-13 06:13
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 15c	9	$37	30	30	+0	No	$0	04-21 21:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	5	$37	25	25	+0	No	+$6	08-10 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 8?	9	$36	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-08 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?	4	$36	25	25	+0	No	+$6	08-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	5	$36	34	26	+9	Yes	+$1	05-27 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?	6	$36	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 9?	7	$36	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-08 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	7	$36	30	28	+2	No	+$2	05-07 08:03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?	6	$36	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	05-21 16:38
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	4	$35	25	25	+0	No	+$5	04-19 21:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 22c	3	$34	25	25	+0	No	+$5	04-19 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	3	$34	30	29	+1	No	-$7	08-05 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x2a6db9…
08-12 12:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xf9740e…
08-12 12:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x234c8c…
08-12 07:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x67edf0…
08-12 06:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9870af…
08-12 06:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 12?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x3daa54…
08-12 06:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9e1670…
08-12 06:48:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x814bd8…
08-12 06:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xaa11bd…
08-12 06:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	No	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xe02bbf…
08-12 06:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc213b2…
08-12 06:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xa0ed6d…
08-12 06:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x03dd06…
08-12 06:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0x53c672…
08-12 06:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x397abf…
08-12 04:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3195a7…
08-12 03:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 12?	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x761938…
08-11 21:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 12?	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x5fc0a5…
08-11 21:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x1aa474…
08-11 21:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 11?	No	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x1afb3c…
08-11 21:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 11?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xcaabe0…
08-11 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x7bf43f…
08-11 08:05:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x668493…
08-11 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x5969c8…
08-11 08:04:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xac5081…
08-11 08:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 11?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x606064…
08-11 08:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa72114…
08-11 08:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x6c4a72…
08-11 07:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x6cad63…
08-11 07:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x204195…
08-11 07:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x8b4c60…
08-11 07:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 11?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x38bb68…
08-11 07:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xdfd815…
08-11 06:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 11?	No	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x9d2ef1…
08-11 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0x56454a…
08-11 06:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xd0bfbc…
08-11 02:04:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1bfa41…
08-11 01:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xfb120b…
08-11 00:48:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1db29d…
08-11 00:48:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe89212…
08-11 00:48:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9fddc8…
08-11 00:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb58edd…
08-10 23:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xfc7a38…
08-10 23:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x71832e…
08-10 23:08:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa6d7e8…
08-10 23:03:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x3df089…
08-10 23:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0x6fe963…
08-10 21:55:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2e69f0…
08-10 21:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0fba37…
08-10 21:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xebb058…
08-10 20:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcd4262…
08-10 20:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc9c797…
08-10 20:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x89d4c6…
08-10 20:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x47c904…
08-10 20:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x548810…
08-10 20:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x772e85…
08-10 20:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x608d8e…
08-10 20:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x002951…
08-10 20:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2fbf55…
08-10 20:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf9beb7…
08-10 20:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x103042…
08-10 20:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x131522…
08-10 20:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x049ef8…
08-10 20:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x279e01…
08-10 20:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe7dc24…
08-10 20:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x9d551c…
08-10 20:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe3a83b…
08-10 19:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x9f6230…
08-10 18:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1bdb29…
08-10 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x5083cc…
08-10 17:29:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x3a1f51…
08-10 17:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xb8583b…
08-10 17:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x34aafa…
08-10 16:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x31f12b…
08-10 16:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 10?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x39d87f…
08-10 16:59:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 10?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xfb4ed2…
08-10 16:55:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x329f34…
08-10 16:54:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x786121…
08-10 16:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0xb3c682…
08-10 16:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xed0f4b…
08-10 15:37:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xef09cf…
08-10 15:21:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe79519…
08-10 15:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xb901c7…
08-10 15:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5dbdf5…
08-10 14:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 10?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x120e0c…
08-10 14:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xcaad89…
08-10 14:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xc2330a…
08-10 14:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9c0d5d…
08-10 13:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcfcb56…
08-10 13:23:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x2d1555…
08-10 13:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4304b4…
08-10 13:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x9e2c3b…
08-10 13:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe3c3da…
08-10 12:58:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xbe34ff…
08-10 12:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x734346…
08-10 12:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x63237b…
08-10 12:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x306ea8…
08-10 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdac0e9…
08-10 12:03:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xea0ba3…
08-10 11:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa04055…