Perfect-Neighbourhood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$181

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

13,301

Trades

50,965

lifetime

Volume

$391.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$5.09K

30 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-26 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

70% 41% +$17,164

Politics

20% 47% -$701

Crypto

4% 41% +$204

Sports

4% 34% +$1,888

Tech

2% 37% +$681

Pop-Culture

0% 44% +$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 3865 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	No	+392	$389	100¢	$391	+$2	09-21 14:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	No	+343	$331	99¢	$340	+$8	09-21 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+500	$240	66¢	$332	+$92	08-01 11:49
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+392	$214	82¢	$323	+$109	09-21 14:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+300	$298	99¢	$298	$0	09-22 07:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+300	$282	92¢	$278	-$4	09-22 07:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	+278	$259	98¢	$273	+$14	08-05 09:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+300	$213	74¢	$220	+$8	09-22 07:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+278	$250	77¢	$214	-$36	08-20 08:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+200	$194	100¢	$200	+$6	08-07 21:59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	No	+168	$167	100¢	$168	+$1	09-21 07:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+500	$250	34¢	$168	-$82	08-01 11:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	+123	$122	99¢	$123	+$1	09-21 07:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+123	$115	99¢	$122	+$7	10-17 12:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	No	+123	$123	99¢	$122	-$1	09-21 07:16
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	No	+121	$121	100¢	$121	+$0	08-06 01:44
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	No	+161	$119	70¢	$112	-$7	08-06 01:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?	No	+111	$111	100¢	$111	$0	07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	+111	$111	99¢	$111	$0	07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	No	+111	$108	99¢	$110	+$2	07-30 22:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+300	$48	36¢	$106	+$58	09-22 13:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+300	$105	34¢	$103	-$2	09-22 07:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+130	$56	79¢	$103	+$47	10-17 12:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	No	+103	$103	98¢	$102	-$1	09-21 07:16
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	07-31 20:41
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	07-31 20:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	+92	$92	99¢	$91	-$1	07-30 21:26
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	+120	$71	70¢	$85	+$14	07-31 20:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+391	$132	21¢	$82	-$50	09-21 14:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	-87	-$77	92¢	$-81	-$3	07-30 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	76	$6.6K	8,523	0	+8,523	No	+$1,944	09-20 20:28
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	48	$4.2K	4,093	91	+4,001	No	+$26	09-20 19:54
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	52	$3.8K	3,791	0	+3,791	No	+$4	08-05 17:49
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	27	$3.6K	3,651	0	+3,651	No	+$80	08-05 11:27
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	53	$3.4K	3,409	36	+3,372	No	+$66	09-20 19:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	31	$2.8K	3,335	410	+2,925	No	+$894	07-31 21:46
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	84	$2.6K	9,497	55	+9,442	Yes	-$2,546	09-20 20:31
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	21	$2.4K	2,093	324	+1,769	No	+$17	07-30 17:33
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	33	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$5	09-19 16:06
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	9	$2.1K	1,190	963	+227	No	+$5	08-08 10:06
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	13	$1.9K	2,009	0	+2,009	No	+$115	08-05 01:17
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	9	$1.8K	1,679	150	+1,529	No	+$22	08-09 07:40
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	23	$1.7K	1,706	0	+1,706	No	+$15	08-02 08:07
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$1.7K	1,632	4,157	-2,524	No	+$69	09-20 10:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	25	$1.7K	3,022	116	+2,906	No	+$1,340	08-06 09:13
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	10	$1.6K	1,618	0	+1,618	No	+$2	08-06 06:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	24	$1.5K	2,696	265	+2,432	Yes	-$1,411	08-06 03:58
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	9	$1.4K	1,083	336	+747	No	+$13	07-31 15:28
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08?	6	$1.4K	901	504	+398	No	+$12	08-08 19:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	32	$1.4K	1,193	300	+893	No	+$99	07-28 09:37
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	11	$1.4K	1,435	0	+1,435	No	+$69	08-05 01:49
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in November?	3	$1.3K	9,467	0	+9,467	open	—	10-26 08:59
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	9	$1.3K	1,633	0	+1,633	No	+$337	09-21 13:51
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-08?	9	$1.3K	1,201	137	+1,063	No	+$68	08-08 08:19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	12	$1.2K	1,159	130	+1,029	No	+$61	08-06 06:03
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 in November?	3	$1.2K	7,467	0	+7,467	open	—	10-26 09:02
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$1.1K	1,152	0	+1,152	No	+$17	08-02 08:07
Will FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?	11	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$16	07-30 14:44
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win between 50 and 59 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	5	$1.0K	682	400	+282	No	+$73	09-21 18:13
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	19	$1.0K	1,132	0	+1,132	No	+$130	08-07 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:36:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2080fd…
10-26 11:36:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x26632c…
10-26 10:41:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 in November?	No	BUY	160	11¢	$18	0x2bb04a…
10-26 10:40:23	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0xb5f272…
10-26 10:40:00	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 in November?	No	BUY	210	11¢	$23	0xa7a419…
10-26 10:39:12	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $130 in November?	No	BUY	220	6¢	$13	0x7ff941…
10-26 10:38:48	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 in November?	No	BUY	230	6¢	$14	0x5504a5…
10-26 10:38:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 in November?	No	BUY	270	14¢	$38	0x5b45af…
10-26 10:38:00	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 in November?	No	BUY	280	6¢	$17	0x6355a6…
10-26 10:37:36	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in November?	No	BUY	330	14¢	$46	0xb5821c…
10-26 10:36:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in November?	No	BUY	390	16¢	$62	0x091a2d…
10-26 10:35:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $228 in November?	No	BUY	450	14¢	$63	0x8b6b31…
10-26 10:35:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in November?	No	BUY	550	18¢	$99	0x9323fa…
10-26 10:34:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	No	BUY	650	16¢	$104	0x35f447…
10-26 10:34:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	750	18¢	$135	0xe0b3e4…
10-26 10:33:39	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in November?	No	BUY	800	14¢	$112	0xe86381…
10-26 10:26:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0xd21fb7…
10-26 10:26:14	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 in November?	No	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0x10e81f…
10-26 10:25:33	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $156 in November?	No	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0xd3c620…
10-26 10:24:42	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x2de341…
10-26 10:24:20	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $180 in November?	No	BUY	1,100	6¢	$66	0x12dec4…
10-26 10:23:56	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $44 in November?	No	BUY	1,200	6¢	$72	0xb67102…
10-26 10:23:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?	No	BUY	1,200	6¢	$72	0x2493ef…
10-26 10:21:57	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 in November?	No	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x058b46…
10-26 10:21:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 in November?	No	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x87a11d…
10-26 10:21:11	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $110 in November?	No	BUY	1,600	6¢	$96	0x132ee0…
10-26 10:19:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in November?	No	BUY	1,790	11¢	$197	0x524a2c…
10-26 10:19:32	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $660 in November?	No	BUY	1,900	6¢	$114	0x94b1b5…
10-26 10:18:29	Will Xavier Worthy have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xe06ca6…
10-26 10:18:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$1	0xcdedaf…
10-26 10:18:29	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xbd3855…
10-26 10:18:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x62d4d1…
10-26 10:18:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x594cd6…
10-26 10:18:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x38308f…
10-26 10:18:27	Spread: Hornets (-6.5)	Wizards	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xf6b087…
10-26 10:18:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf0499c…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xdefa35…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Terry McLaurin have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xbb8758…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 285M?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x9267b0…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $27B by October 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x837f5c…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x81893d…
10-26 10:18:27	Spread: Heat (-2.5)	Mavericks	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x6c7473…
10-26 10:18:27	Spread: Heat (-3.5)	Heat	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x455628…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by October 31?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x431e5b…
10-26 10:18:27	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x39b197…
10-26 10:18:27	Spread: Hornets (-12.5)	Wizards	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x251df7…
10-26 10:18:26	Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xfb0b64…
10-26 10:18:26	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in October?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf70315…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xf4f6bc…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xedda81…
10-26 10:18:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xcd05ea…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Bryce Young have 3,074.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xa274c8…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $35.0B?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x979d53…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.75B?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x69955f…
10-26 10:18:26	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x3f46bf…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	160	34¢	$54	0x087b7d…
10-26 10:18:26	Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x06cfcc…
10-26 10:18:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xe22d7f…
10-26 10:18:24	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xd84e3b…
10-26 10:18:24	Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $36.5B?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xd4a5b5…
10-26 10:18:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x7b3c50…
10-26 10:18:24	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x4fdf7b…
10-26 10:18:24	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x2d6667…
10-26 10:18:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in October?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x03e6a2…
10-26 10:16:09	Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	95	46¢	$43	0xe998a9…
10-26 09:45:00	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in November?	No	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0xcf4adf…
10-26 09:44:39	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in November?	No	BUY	360	6¢	$22	0x19a909…
10-26 09:44:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in November?	No	BUY	390	8¢	$31	0xcdbab2…
10-26 09:43:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in November?	No	BUY	380	10¢	$38	0x654d32…
10-26 09:43:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in November?	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x7f093d…
10-26 09:42:02	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 in November?	No	BUY	450	6¢	$27	0x14959c…
10-26 09:39:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in November?	No	BUY	510	12¢	$61	0x5133eb…
10-26 09:39:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in November?	No	BUY	540	11¢	$59	0xd10873…
10-26 09:38:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in November?	No	BUY	620	11¢	$68	0x383919…
10-26 09:38:08	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in November?	No	BUY	680	6¢	$41	0x523757…
10-26 09:35:57	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0xfda994…
10-26 09:35:47	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x094cf9…
10-26 09:30:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	BUY	700	11¢	$77	0xfd9a62…
10-26 09:30:05	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 in November?	No	BUY	770	11¢	$85	0xce634a…
10-26 09:29:32	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 in November?	No	BUY	850	8¢	$68	0x88f92b…
10-26 09:28:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	950	11¢	$104	0x43727b…
10-26 09:28:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	No	BUY	1,030	8¢	$82	0xdc36d3…
10-26 09:27:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in November?	No	BUY	1,110	8¢	$89	0xe7ed73…
10-26 09:27:05	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $200 in November?	No	BUY	1,180	6¢	$71	0xe0cad4…
10-26 09:24:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November?	No	BUY	1,310	10¢	$131	0xf1357b…
10-26 09:23:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	No	BUY	1,420	11¢	$156	0xd3fab4…
10-26 09:23:12	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in November?	No	BUY	1,550	6¢	$93	0xcccce0…
10-26 09:22:33	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $36 in November?	No	BUY	1,680	8¢	$134	0xa50f79…
10-26 09:21:24	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	BUY	1,790	6¢	$107	0xeecfa9…
10-26 09:20:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November?	No	BUY	1,950	11¢	$214	0x18c517…
10-26 09:20:00	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $50 in November?	No	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0xa53394…
10-26 09:19:23	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $540 in November?	No	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x300de6…
10-26 09:16:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in November?	No	BUY	2,188	6¢	$131	0x61a284…
10-26 09:14:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	2,188	11¢	$241	0x0e4e17…
10-26 09:13:26	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x29703b…
10-26 09:13:20	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x16acd6…
10-26 09:11:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe11fba…
10-26 09:11:26	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in November?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x748f82…
10-26 09:11:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in November?	No	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xb45f4a…
10-26 09:11:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in November?	No	BUY	174	18¢	$31	0x03a521…