Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?
open
Total volume
$1,833
$50 in 24h
Trades
131
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$497
End date
2026-11-01
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-29 09:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.6¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $157
vs crowd: 24% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $178 | $122 | +$56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $111 | $496 | $384 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $31 | $409 | $377 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $9 | $148 | $138 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $10 | $518 | $508 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Below median | 4 | $10 | $50 | $39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $50 | $53 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $20 | $131 | $112 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $213 | $143 | +$69 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +488 | $139 | $139 | 11 | 10-28 13:53 |
| Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | +335 | $299 | $299 | 2 | 10-09 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | No | +111 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 10-07 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | +101 | $37 | $269 | 9 | 10-29 09:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +78 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-18 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-29 09:00 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +41 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-22 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | +41 | -$4 | $22 | 4 | 10-23 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-22 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-22 03:37 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +39 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-22 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +35 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-02 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | +32 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-17 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | +31 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 10-16 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | +25 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-17 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-07 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd37…41e2 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-15 14:31 |
| Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb327…0fcc | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-25 14:16 |
| Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-02 09:51 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-26 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x468b…68a5 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-24 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-13 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-15 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-15 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-16 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ff1…996c | No | +12 | $7 | $8 | 2 | 10-02 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ff1…996c | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-02 10:19 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-25 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-23 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-23 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-24 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +5 | $3 | $13 | 4 | 10-18 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ed8…afb6 | No | +4 | $3 | $25 | 2 | 10-15 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $37 | 5 | 10-15 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-02 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | +1 | -$2 | $29 | 2 | 10-16 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $1 | 6 | 10-25 09:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:00:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b25…7a69 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb4b32a… |
| 10-29 09:00:59 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xb4b32a… |
| 10-29 09:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xed128b… |
| 10-29 09:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed128b… |
| 10-29 09:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b25…7a69 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xed128b… |
| 10-28 13:53:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4c9182… |
| 10-28 13:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x4c9182… |
| 10-26 09:35:47 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x094cf9… |
| 10-26 09:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x094cf9… |
| 10-26 09:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x094cf9… |
| 10-26 09:35:47 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x094cf9… |
| 10-25 14:16:50 | (anonymous) 0xb327…0fcc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf4883f… |
| 10-25 14:16:50 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf4883f… |
| 10-25 09:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89debd… |
| 10-25 09:10:24 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89debd… |
| 10-24 21:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbca748… |
| 10-24 21:57:06 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbca748… |
| 10-24 21:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbca748… |
| 10-24 17:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38295c… |
| 10-24 17:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38295c… |
| 10-24 17:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x468b…68a5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x38295c… |
| 10-23 09:02:14 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe85688… |
| 10-23 09:02:14 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe85688… |
| 10-23 09:02:14 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe85688… |
| 10-23 07:32:50 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x041bb7… |
| 10-23 07:32:50 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x041bb7… |
| 10-23 07:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa92b58… |
| 10-23 07:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xf35c…8934 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa92b58… |
| 10-23 07:32:41 | Awful-Tangerine 0x1bb7…543b | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xa92b58… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x904505… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x904505… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x9d11dc… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x904505… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x904505… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x904505… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x9d11dc… |
| 10-22 03:37:30 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x904505… |
| 10-19 17:26:20 | Awful-Tangerine 0x1bb7…543b | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xea1e15… |
| 10-19 17:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xea1e15… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba5c13… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x34876d… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0xba5c13… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x34876d… |
| 10-17 16:43:44 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd63cf5… |
| 10-17 16:43:44 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0xc7d392… |
| 10-17 16:43:44 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xc7d392… |
| 10-17 16:43:44 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd63cf5… |
| 10-17 07:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x14d02d… |
| 10-17 07:03:26 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | BUY | 21 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x14d02d… |
| 10-16 18:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x49f3b2… |
| 10-16 18:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x49f3b2… |
| 10-16 10:53:07 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x926d30… |
| 10-16 10:53:07 | Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x926d30… |
| 10-16 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xf11421… |
| 10-16 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xf11421… |
| 10-16 03:52:19 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xe106af… |
| 10-16 03:52:19 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | SELL | 18 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xe106af… |
| 10-16 03:52:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 14¢ | $10 | 0xe106af… |
| 10-16 03:09:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x274672… |
| 10-16 03:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x274672… |
| 10-16 01:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x9474f3… |
| 10-16 01:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | BUY | 19 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x9474f3… |
| 10-16 01:37:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xa0572a… |
| 10-16 01:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xa0572a… |
| 10-16 01:07:39 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xae1321… |
| 10-16 01:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xae1321… |
| 10-15 20:45:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0xc0f880… |
| 10-15 20:45:30 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0xc0f880… |
| 10-15 18:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 50 | 61¢ | $31 | 0x6a3f1e… |
| 10-15 18:54:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $19 | 0x6a3f1e… |
| 10-15 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 50 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x8ee16a… |
| 10-15 17:54:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $25 | 0x8ee16a… |
| 10-15 17:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x142eb1… |
| 10-15 17:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | No | SELL | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x142eb1… |
| 10-15 16:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x1ed8…afb6 | No | SELL | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xadd2f6… |
| 10-15 16:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | BUY | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xadd2f6… |
| 10-15 16:04:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x8546db… |
| 10-15 16:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x1ed8…afb6 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x8546db… |
| 10-15 14:31:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd90912… |
| 10-15 14:31:29 | (anonymous) 0xdd37…41e2 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xd90912… |
| 10-15 11:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 44¢ | $18 | 0xed767d… |
| 10-15 11:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xed767d… |
| 10-15 11:42:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 44¢ | $27 | 0xed767d… |
| 10-15 06:23:26 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x7cdc91… |
| 10-15 06:23:26 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x7cdc91… |
| 10-15 06:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xc023d8… |
| 10-15 06:20:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc023d8… |
| 10-13 00:04:14 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | No | BUY | 17 | 75¢ | $13 | 0x296f15… |
| 10-13 00:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x296f15… |
| 10-09 00:20:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 12¢ | $16 | 0xd67b30… |
| 10-09 00:20:45 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xd67b30… |
| 10-09 00:20:45 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | BUY | 135 | 88¢ | $119 | 0xd67b30… |
| 10-08 12:28:42 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x678312… |
| 10-08 12:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x678312… |
| 10-08 12:28:42 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | SELL | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x678312… |
| 10-08 07:58:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x0f4a74… |
| 10-08 07:58:27 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x0f4a74… |
| 10-07 23:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x7aa4…c822 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x12c1d2… |
| 10-07 23:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | No | BUY | 111 | 94¢ | $104 | 0x12c1d2… |
| 10-07 23:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed7…16b2 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x12c1d2… |