Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$114
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$74
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 22:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80%
Other
20%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -43 $-33 79¢ $-34 $-1 05-07 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -160 $-41 21¢ $-33 +$8 05-07 17:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes +50 $5 $2 $-3 05-07 19:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +13 $8 12¢ $2 $-6 05-06 22:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 05-06 18:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +7 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 05-07 22:04
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +21 $14 $0 $-14 05-06 01:44