Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc79819…788aab
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Realized P&L
+$150
Unrealized P&L
-$254
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,230
lifetime
Volume
$49.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$438
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-01 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
80% 33% +$140
Other
15% 50% +$9
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% 50% +$3
Crypto
1% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -143 $-65 100¢ $-143 $-78 06-19 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +140 $124 99¢ $139 +$15 06-27 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +111 $40 70¢ $77 +$38 06-26 19:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -53 $-53 100¢ $-53 $-0 06-19 21:01
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -12 $-12 94¢ $-11 +$1 06-29 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -22 $-18 30¢ $-7 +$11 06-25 15:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +83 $45 6¢ $5 $-40 06-30 16:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -295 $76 0¢ $-1 $-78 06-26 20:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -477 $119 0¢ $-1 $-120 06-25 21:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-28 22:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 72¢ $0 $-2 06-30 15:15