Realized P&L
+$150
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
35.4%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,397
lifetime
Volume
$52.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$471
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-20 20:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
78% 33% +$140
Other
17% 50% +$9
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 50% +$3
Crypto
1% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +321 $200 99¢ $317 +$117 07-07 00:36
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -143 $-65 100¢ $-143 $-78 06-19 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +19 $11 54¢ $10 $-1 07-15 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -22 $-18 $-0 +$18 06-25 15:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 88¢ $0 $-2 06-30 15:15