Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$169

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

5,406

Trades

6,653

lifetime

Volume

$111.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$134

15 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-29 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

87% 98% +$192

Sports

7% 100% -$13

Politics

4% 91% -$1

Tech

1% 96% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 90% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+32	$31	98¢	$32	+$1	10-24 19:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	+30	$28	97¢	$29	+$1	10-23 06:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	+150	$41	18¢	$27	-$14	10-24 02:37
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$18	94¢	$23	+$5	10-25 22:03
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$15	1¢	$7	-$8	10-08 13:17
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	97¢	$5	+$4	09-11 02:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+102	$4	3¢	$3	-$1	10-08 13:17
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+25	$6	8¢	$2	-$5	10-25 22:03
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	+33	$2	4¢	$1	$0	10-24 17:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	+31	$2	5¢	$1	$0	10-23 06:40
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+10	$1	14¢	$1	+$0	10-26 04:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	10-25 21:57
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	67¢	$0	+$1	10-26 01:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No	+0	$0	33¢	$0	+$0	10-23 20:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	+0	$0	24¢	$0	+$0	10-14 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,030	0	+2,030	No	+$2	07-20 22:45
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$437	437	0	+437	No	+$0	07-25 01:27
will there be 3 bonus swing home runs during the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709214434893	2	$329	330	0	+330	Yes	+$1	07-14 03:11
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	6	$321	172	172	-0	No	-$6	07-18 05:49
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	8	$294	165	165	+0	Yes	$0	10-09 09:26
Will Jason De Puy be evicted first in any July 9 episode of Big Brother season 28?	2	$238	238	0	+238	No	+$0	07-13 13:00
will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 40b 20260619202534028	4	$216	216	0	+216	Yes	+$0	07-16 06:35
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	1	$179	179	0	+179	Yes	+$0	07-13 14:39
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027?	2	$174	140	47	+93	open	—	10-24 14:42
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	3	$136	80	80	+0	open	—	10-07 23:06
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	2	$129	162	12	+150	open	—	10-24 02:40
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	7	$127	76	76	+0	open	—	10-25 05:53
will the announcers say tenure during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740623	2	$118	118	0	+118	No	+$0	07-19 11:55
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	3	$115	62	62	+0	Yes	+$3	10-13 22:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?	2	$113	66	66	+0	open	—	10-04 22:56
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?	4	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	10-25 05:39
will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher	4	$110	89	27	+62	Yes	+$4	10-14 14:40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?	8	$108	150	150	+0	open	—	09-24 04:21
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	4	$108	63	63	+0	open	—	10-29 13:22
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of October 12 above $350?	4	$106	93	93	+0	No	-$4	10-15 23:20
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	14	$105	123	123	+0	open	—	10-25 05:53
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-22 06:21
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	4	$96	84	53	+31	open	—	10-22 07:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?	2	$96	53	53	+0	open	—	09-24 04:20
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 12 above $135?	7	$96	153	99	+54	Yes	+$137	10-15 21:56
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 1pt44	2	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	07-14 10:07
argpn est ciu 2026 07 25 first half team total away 1pt5	5	$87	87	0	+87	Over	+$0	07-26 15:18
Will Moyuka Uchijima Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	2	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	08-05 00:31
israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	3	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	07-17 03:21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	7	$84	63	63	+0	open	—	10-23 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:54:40	Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xcd9688…
10-29 13:22:16	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x58540f…
10-29 13:22:13	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xe0137d…
10-29 13:22:13	Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x9dafe2…
10-26 09:25:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x7d37aa…
10-26 09:04:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x375ec8…
10-26 09:03:09	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 104.50 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe98883…
10-26 09:01:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xb1434b…
10-26 09:01:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd55125…
10-26 08:59:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x517351…
10-26 08:58:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6c4393…
10-26 08:58:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x249563…
10-26 08:57:44	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $40 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xb78ffa…
10-26 08:57:00	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $65 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x67ebab…
10-26 08:56:02	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x11f0bf…
10-26 08:54:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x296dac…
10-26 08:52:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6bb6b3…
10-26 08:49:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x5cabe4…
10-26 08:49:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x99490e…
10-26 08:49:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x4d3e9d…
10-26 07:46:24	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x6e866e…
10-26 07:46:23	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x0d22ed…
10-26 07:43:59	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.5M?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x38910a…
10-26 05:39:20	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xdcce3d…
10-26 05:39:20	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2939e5…
10-26 04:56:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb40fd…
10-26 04:56:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x773391…
10-26 04:15:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x9f287c…
10-26 04:15:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x1088fa…
10-26 04:08:09	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xdf7562…
10-26 04:08:09	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x3a404c…
10-26 03:53:47	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9335bf…
10-26 03:53:45	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x2226f8…
10-26 03:31:03	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xe18362…
10-26 03:31:03	CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x858532…
10-26 03:25:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 26?	No	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x4b33e0…
10-26 03:25:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x653943…
10-26 03:13:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7cd893…
10-26 02:51:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xba6148…
10-26 02:51:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0ff274…
10-26 01:09:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xf41195…
10-26 01:09:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x606350…
10-26 00:43:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x52c648…
10-26 00:43:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xfa228f…
10-26 00:39:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xee49a6…
10-26 00:39:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x72282b…
10-26 00:33:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb40118…
10-26 00:33:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xaad1f1…
10-26 00:27:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xd10499…
10-26 00:23:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xb19464…
10-26 00:23:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xa2da5c…
10-26 00:23:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x061269…
10-26 00:19:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x7c9949…
10-26 00:19:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x09901e…
10-26 00:19:11	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd81a6e…
10-26 00:19:11	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x910a1b…
10-26 00:08:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xffdfc6…
10-26 00:07:35	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x816b8e…
10-26 00:07:35	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x2977b0…
10-25 23:29:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 26?	No	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x5bf93d…
10-25 23:29:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x3fdeb3…
10-25 22:07:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xdf9c9c…
10-25 22:07:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xcb65a1…
10-25 22:03:11	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xfb8981…
10-25 22:03:11	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xea5f13…
10-25 21:57:09	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x65af1a…
10-25 21:57:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x0abdc5…
10-25 21:20:24	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x8a95e4…
10-25 21:20:24	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x320b92…
10-25 19:54:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in November?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb57d3e…
10-25 19:54:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in November?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xac8e89…
10-25 19:43:41	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.2M?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbad2aa…
10-25 19:43:41	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x29196d…
10-25 18:58:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0xece91b…
10-25 18:58:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xb935b0…
10-25 18:57:12	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x11abf6…
10-25 18:57:12	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1550 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x09561c…
10-25 18:47:32	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xec5ad2…
10-25 18:47:32	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xebfde6…
10-25 17:41:12	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x4d2d3d…
10-25 17:41:11	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x405630…
10-25 16:10:39	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x8d3820…
10-25 16:10:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xdf7e47…
10-25 16:10:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc5b39f…
10-25 14:26:54	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x70fba9…
10-25 14:25:02	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xdca688…
10-25 14:25:02	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x1d78f0…
10-25 12:44:51	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x9869e0…
10-25 10:57:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x7c58c9…
10-25 10:55:23	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xae0f6a…
10-25 10:30:12	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1bc3ac…
10-25 10:30:12	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x0f1e90…
10-25 10:27:39	Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x3c713c…
10-25 10:27:29	Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x99e598…
10-25 10:27:29	Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x185c7c…
10-25 10:17:33	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xd2dade…
10-25 10:17:33	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x52efe2…
10-25 10:15:20	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd0e550…
10-25 10:15:20	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x053ab9…
10-25 09:51:48	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xbe5d8c…