Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$38
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-02 14:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76% 100% +$3
Politics
24%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-11 100¢ $-20 $-9 06-11 19:34
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 48¢ $-5 $-1 06-12 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 07-02 14:24
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 06-28 02:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -50 $-7 $-3 +$4 06-04 21:10
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-08 19:48
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +10 $-8 $1 +$9 06-19 06:18