Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$312

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

126

Trades

1,266

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-28 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

72% 17% -$213

Politics

21% 5% -$88

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?	Yes		+30	$15	14¢	$4	-$11	10-22 12:50
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	10-27 00:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	8	$85	90	90	+0	open	—	10-24 20:51
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	10-18 15:12
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	6	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 22:09
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $87.5B by October 31?	4	$78	100	50	+50	open	—	10-23 06:51
Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$77	55	55	+0	open	—	10-26 21:01
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30?	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	10-27 00:12
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 20:35
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$64	49	48	+1	open	—	10-22 11:23
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?	4	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 17:27
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	10-26 04:44
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 11:07
Will the Detroit Red Wings record 90+ points?	7	$61	52	51	+1	open	—	10-27 02:38
Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	10-21 17:54
will lambdas valuation hit low 12pt5b by october 31 2026	3	$56	100	50	+50	open	—	10-14 17:06
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?	3	$53	50	45	+5	open	—	10-18 14:01
Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points?	6	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 03:31
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by October 31?	3	$52	100	50	+50	open	—	10-15 20:06
Will "Clayface" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$52	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	10-23 01:59
Will Team Liquid Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	2	$50	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-24 07:10
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	10-17 23:14
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?	2	$48	40	39	+1	open	—	10-21 10:48
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 in October?	2	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 03:10
Will the New York Islanders record 90+ points?	8	$46	44	43	+1	open	—	10-26 14:02
will pltr dip to 180 in october 2026	4	$46	65	65	+0	open	—	10-19 13:33
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	10-13 12:46
Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 08:34
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	10-11 23:27
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by October 31?	2	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	10-09 18:48
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?	2	$43	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	10-08 15:55
Will Parker Washington have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	5	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:10:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C or below on October 29?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc190c2…
10-28 16:10:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C or below on October 29?	No	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x959c52…
10-28 16:07:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C or below on October 29?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2503ba…
10-28 16:06:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3c878…
10-28 15:12:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x923464…
10-28 15:10:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x691b63…
10-28 15:10:50	Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x93b570…
10-28 15:06:07	Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xf45d71…
10-28 15:01:55	Will Calvin Ridley have 424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xa9b8aa…
10-28 14:48:16	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x80e9b9…
10-28 14:31:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x6a2490…
10-28 14:31:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x243af6…
10-28 12:07:14	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xf818bb…
10-28 12:06:29	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf3cd76…
10-28 10:59:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xcf94a2…
10-28 10:51:04	Will Davante Adams have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xc4d39e…
10-28 09:42:40	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x8e828e…
10-28 09:38:20	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x676f42…
10-28 09:37:08	Will Davante Adams have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf88c53…
10-28 07:22:34	Will Davante Adams have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x36b3fa…
10-28 07:08:26	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x834e46…
10-28 07:08:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x1ce7ea…
10-28 05:00:49	Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xcc8869…
10-28 04:51:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x6e55d4…
10-28 04:51:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x05cd86…
10-28 04:51:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x354086…
10-28 04:39:29	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x0c3aab…
10-28 03:52:01	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x664ec2…
10-28 03:51:52	Will the San Jose Sharks record 100+ points?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x32fc6c…
10-28 03:44:24	Will Garrett Wilson have 1,199.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6baa44…
10-28 03:30:36	Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 110+ points?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x76f273…
10-28 03:30:19	Will the Vegas Golden Knights record 110+ points?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4c0f9c…
10-28 03:03:30	Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xaa0cc3…
10-28 03:00:51	Will the San Jose Sharks record 100+ points?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xfc708c…
10-28 03:00:06	Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x7dfeb7…
10-28 03:00:05	Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x9dab1c…
10-28 03:00:05	Will Yashar win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x7fe234…
10-28 02:56:05	Will the San Jose Sharks record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7d860f…
10-28 02:49:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0a1d7e…
10-28 02:49:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd2bc61…
10-28 02:42:59	Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x6f99a4…
10-28 02:22:51	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x301739…
10-28 01:49:17	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb69b7f…
10-28 01:07:57	Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x89e59d…
10-27 23:54:36	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x50a2de…
10-27 23:49:56	Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcf577d…
10-27 23:40:21	Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xff3fe2…
10-27 23:40:21	Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x5e30a0…
10-27 23:40:05	Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x620af7…
10-27 23:20:03	Will HANJIN BRION make a roster change by December?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x93da75…
10-27 23:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xeb3e65…
10-27 23:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x97ee9d…
10-27 23:00:27	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xf5830b…
10-27 22:51:48	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x3ae96b…
10-27 22:51:18	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x85f424…
10-27 22:21:57	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0xa920bf…
10-27 22:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x090687…
10-27 22:09:15	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xc0fea5…
10-27 22:09:14	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x671873…
10-27 21:48:53	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x032ade…
10-27 21:38:27	Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x2b9813…
10-27 21:38:08	Will United Torah Judaism win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x892d22…
10-27 21:12:06	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xb6f218…
10-27 20:45:35	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa2397e…
10-27 20:44:54	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf38ac8…
10-27 20:35:47	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0x4919fa…
10-27 20:33:00	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0xda82c6…
10-27 20:07:47	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x367d0c…
10-27 20:05:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x8da8d0…
10-27 20:05:03	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xccd255…
10-27 19:58:05	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 2.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe2eae1…
10-27 19:57:50	Will Jordan Mason have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xda4fbb…
10-27 19:05:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9c7117…
10-27 19:05:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa9396f…
10-27 19:00:32	Will Jordan Mason have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x8e7ad9…
10-27 18:58:41	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xb36842…
10-27 18:50:21	will flavio bolsonaro return to brazil by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7ce9cc…
10-27 17:00:45	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x8e3228…
10-27 16:39:24	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x37c178…
10-27 16:15:03	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xcfdd88…
10-27 16:09:05	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x0e9e62…
10-27 16:06:33	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x092bb7…
10-27 15:33:26	First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?	No	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xea09a7…
10-27 15:30:36	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3932b3…
10-27 15:26:56	Will Jadarian Price have 549.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x71e20e…
10-27 15:25:56	will voter turnout be 75 or higher in the 2026 israeli legislative election 20261027100137900	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x111600…
10-27 15:10:24	First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x63f6a9…
10-27 15:10:24	First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x5e51a1…
10-27 14:44:11	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xa8b897…
10-27 14:35:41	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xcd0b0d…
10-27 14:03:32	Will Édouard Philippe receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$0	0xd4e199…
10-27 11:54:08	Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xbf9860…
10-27 11:52:20	Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x13b6f0…
10-27 11:40:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xbcb09b…
10-27 11:39:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x78886a…
10-27 11:19:27	Will Mike Evans have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x35f6b0…
10-27 11:09:51	Will Mike Evans have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7a0957…
10-27 11:08:03	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2893e6…
10-27 11:05:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x6b0633…
10-27 11:00:48	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 30?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x95d663…