Realized P&L
-$844
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
6.3%
Resolved
333
Trades
3,056
lifetime
Volume
$22.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$613
28 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 10-31 07:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
72% 13% -$662
Politics
19% 16% -$114
Tech
6% 18% -$36
Crypto
2% 0% -$25
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$4
Sports
1% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +140 $53 57¢ $80 +$26 10-02 11:48
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31 No +63 $40 98¢ $62 +$21 09-29 21:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +62 $43 99¢ $61 +$18 10-10 05:22
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $99 43¢ $60 -$39 10-02 11:49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +55 $27 83¢ $46 +$19 10-08 07:39
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +50 $30 82¢ $41 +$12 09-30 05:53
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +70 $34 57¢ $40 +$6 10-02 11:45
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +38 $27 99¢ $37 +$10 09-29 14:11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +40 $12 78¢ $31 +$19 10-07 18:45
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $46 43¢ $30 -$16 10-02 10:57
will mohammed bin abdulrahman al thani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2 No +20 $6 64¢ $13 +$7 10-02 04:41
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 No +20 $12 64¢ $13 +$0 10-01 21:37
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 60¢ $12 -$4 10-07 13:24
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by june 30 2027 Yes +20 $12 60¢ $12 $0 10-04 07:14
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +15 $8 78¢ $12 +$3 10-10 03:06
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +55 $32 17¢ $9 -$22 10-08 00:25
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +50 $26 18¢ $9 -$17 09-30 05:31
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +40 $30 22¢ $9 -$21 10-07 18:15
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 40¢ $8 +$3 10-07 13:23
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by june 30 2027 No +20 $11 40¢ $8 -$3 10-04 12:09
next us iran senior diplomatic meeting by november 30 2026 Yes +20 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 10-01 21:38
will mohammed bin abdulrahman al thani attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 2 Yes +20 $15 36¢ $7 -$7 10-02 03:30
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $10 22¢ $3 -$7 10-10 05:44
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31 Yes +63 $22 2¢ $1 -$21 09-29 20:53
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +62 $21 1¢ $1 -$21 10-10 04:47
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +38 $13 1¢ $1 -$13 09-29 14:22
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +0 -$3 98¢ $0 +$3 10-29 12:35
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 10-01 16:08