Negative GDP growth in 2026?
open
Total volume
$748
$301 in 24h
Trades
134
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$1,568
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-01-29
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-07 23:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $6 | $35 | $29 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $1 | $85 | $84 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $12 | $357 | $345 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $88 | $75 | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $9 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $11 | $44 | $33 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $294 | $293 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 21 | $70 | $206 | $136 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | +245 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 07-07 23:16 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +228 | $209 | $209 | 5 | 07-07 23:16 |
| Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | +200 | $29 | $55 | 14 | 07-07 15:11 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | +145 | $129 | $129 | 12 | 07-07 13:47 |
| Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | +140 | $10 | $10 | 9 | 07-07 23:16 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | +73 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 07-05 14:53 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +42 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-07 12:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-07 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | +24 | $-1 | $13 | 17 | 07-07 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-07 15:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 07-01 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1d2…c588 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-09 05:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 20:34 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e2a…11b3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-07 13:47 |
| Unruly-Real 0xdeb3…60cc | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-03 21:21 |
| Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 01:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 23:16:31 | Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x66bd51… |
| 07-07 23:16:31 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 92¢ | $138 | 0x66bd51… |
| 07-07 23:16:31 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x66bd51… |
| 07-07 23:15:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc07ae8… |
| 07-07 23:15:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xc07ae8… |
| 07-07 23:15:17 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xc07ae8… |
| 07-07 23:15:11 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xba611d… |
| 07-07 23:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xba611d… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 15:11:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd41094… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:47:22 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xc95716… |
| 07-07 13:44:13 | All-Bug 0xa6b8…4bdf | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4ceeea… |
| 07-07 13:44:13 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $16 | 0x4ceeea… |
| 07-07 13:44:13 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x4ceeea… |
| 07-07 12:40:05 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0xa2af6f… |
| 07-07 12:40:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xa2af6f… |
| 07-07 12:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa2af6f… |
| 07-07 11:54:44 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xae6623… |
| 07-07 11:54:44 | All-Bug 0xa6b8…4bdf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xae6623… |
| 07-07 11:46:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xaea270… |
| 07-07 11:46:17 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xaea270… |
| 07-07 11:46:17 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xaea270… |
| 07-07 11:46:17 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xaea270… |
| 07-07 11:45:59 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xc39039… |
| 07-07 11:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc39039… |
| 07-07 11:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc39039… |
| 07-07 11:45:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xc39039… |
| 07-07 11:45:59 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xc39039… |
| 07-07 11:39:55 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x16a15f… |
| 07-07 11:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x16a15f… |
| 07-07 11:25:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdd209a… |
| 07-07 11:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xdd209a… |
| 07-07 11:25:23 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdd209a… |
| 07-07 07:31:35 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x56d86b… |
| 07-07 07:31:35 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x56d86b… |
| 07-07 07:31:35 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x56d86b… |
| 07-07 07:31:35 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x56d86b… |
| 07-07 03:26:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x01dfbf… |
| 07-07 03:26:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x01dfbf… |
| 07-06 15:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3be710… |
| 07-06 15:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3be710… |
| 07-06 15:05:34 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0b2b27… |
| 07-06 15:05:34 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0b2b27… |
| 07-06 15:05:34 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0b2b27… |
| 07-05 22:27:38 | Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3d233e… |
| 07-05 22:27:38 | Hard-To-Find-Gunpowder 0xee8a…dfc1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3d233e… |
| 07-05 14:53:59 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 73 | 92¢ | $67 | 0x2d0fc5… |
| 07-05 14:53:59 | Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x2d0fc5… |
| 07-04 09:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0613c6… |
| 07-04 09:43:07 | Smoggy-Cover 0x8639…fb86 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0613c6… |
| 07-03 01:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x51a8d3… |
| 07-03 01:19:23 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51a8d3… |
| 07-01 09:02:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x88863e… |
| 07-01 09:02:01 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x88863e… |
| 07-01 09:02:01 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88863e… |
| 07-01 09:02:01 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x88863e… |
| 07-01 07:33:26 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2b4c3e… |
| 07-01 07:33:26 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x2b4c3e… |
| 07-01 07:33:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2b4c3e… |
| 07-01 03:43:29 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf41ea9… |
| 07-01 03:43:29 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf41ea9… |
| 07-01 03:43:29 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xf41ea9… |
| 07-01 03:33:37 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5203c5… |
| 07-01 03:33:37 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5203c5… |
| 07-01 03:33:37 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5203c5… |
| 06-30 08:03:08 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x686539… |
| 06-30 08:03:08 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x686539… |
| 06-26 21:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x85b928… |
| 06-26 21:07:28 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x85b928… |
| 06-26 21:07:28 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x85b928… |
| 06-26 21:07:28 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 68 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x85b928… |
| 06-25 19:12:19 | Optimistic-Disposal 0x77c9…e0ac | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb24d08… |
| 06-25 19:12:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb24d08… |
| 06-25 19:12:19 | Kosher-Bay 0xd783…1c2e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb24d08… |
| 06-25 13:56:10 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xbaf696… |
| 06-25 13:56:10 | (anonymous) 0xe1f1…a2b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xbaf696… |
| 06-24 19:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xe1f1…a2b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe8c6b5… |
| 06-24 19:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe8c6b5… |
| 06-22 07:04:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x05774e… |
| 06-22 07:04:52 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x05774e… |
| 06-19 21:26:44 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 81 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x6d8925… |
| 06-19 21:26:44 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | BUY | 81 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x6d8925… |
| 06-17 18:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x2e2a…11b3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x65d554… |
| 06-17 18:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x65d554… |
| 06-17 18:17:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 0 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x65d554… |
| 06-15 18:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x3117…3c7c | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x0067f1… |