Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$820

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$125

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-28 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

51% 21% -$589

Politics

24% 50% -$30

Crypto

23% 17% -$151

Sports

2% 0% -$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes		-326	-$53	24¢	$-79	-$27	07-28 20:37
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		-317	-$42	14¢	$-45	-$3	07-28 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$300	887	0	+887	No	-$300	04-26 23:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$277	323	323	+0	No	+$77	04-24 11:38
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$241	165	162	+3	Yes	+$44	05-03 19:37
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$210	132	132	+0	Yes	+$10	04-25 20:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$150	1,364	0	+1,364	No	-$150	04-26 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$143	714	714	+0	No	+$43	04-24 11:38
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$128	252	252	+0	Yes	+$28	05-04 17:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	157	0	+157	No	-$100	04-23 22:39
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	1	$100	833	0	+833	No	-$100	04-23 22:36
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$55	88	85	+3	Yes	+$19	05-03 00:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$55	735	735	+0	No	+$5	04-24 12:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$53	0	326	-326	open	—	07-28 20:37
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$50	500	0	+500	No	-$50	04-23 22:38
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	1	$50	833	0	+833	No	-$50	04-23 22:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$50	431	0	+431	No	-$50	04-26 23:03
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$42	0	317	-317	open	—	07-28 20:37
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$40	503	0	+503	No	-$40	04-26 23:01
will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	1	$33	250	0	+250	No	-$33	04-25 14:47
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?	1	$30	79	0	+79	Yes	+$49	04-25 14:45
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	1	$23	35	0	+35	No	-$23	04-24 11:07
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	1	$20	228	0	+228	No	-$20	04-25 14:46
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	1	$16	0	313	-313	open	—	07-28 20:37
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	500	0	+500	No	-$15	04-23 22:40
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	788	0	+788	No	-$15	04-23 22:40
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	678	0	+678	No	-$15	04-23 22:40
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$15	217	0	+217	No	-$15	04-24 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$15	88	0	+88	No	-$15	04-24 19:36
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	682	0	+682	No	-$15	04-23 22:40
will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	04-25 14:48
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	1	$10	257	0	+257	No	-$10	04-25 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 20:37:56	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	Yes	SELL	313	5¢	$16	0x18a773…
07-28 20:37:49	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	317	13¢	$42	0xdd4680…
07-28 20:37:43	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	326	16¢	$53	0x2e2509…
05-04 17:10:14	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	252	31¢	$78	0x0d9da5…
05-03 19:37:28	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	87¢	$141	0x787fb9…
05-03 00:31:54	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	42¢	$35	0xb6cc0e…
04-26 23:57:40	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x753e19…
04-26 23:57:04	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0xbc11f9…
04-26 23:03:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	431	12¢	$50	0x7ba43e…
04-26 23:03:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	887	34¢	$300	0x5c29be…
04-26 23:01:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,364	11¢	$150	0xae162c…
04-26 23:01:00	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc192f6…
04-26 23:00:54	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xa4a09b…
04-26 23:00:44	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	2¢	$5	0xfd58b4…
04-26 22:58:48	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf0368e…
04-25 20:43:02	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	132	84¢	$110	0xa9c551…
04-25 14:50:30	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,051	0¢	$10	0xa201c9…
04-25 14:49:52	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x9dd851…
04-25 14:49:02	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	252	20¢	$50	0x9951fd…
04-25 14:48:56	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	332	3¢	$10	0x7af5fe…
04-25 14:48:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4aa612…
04-25 14:47:52	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	Yes	BUY	250	13¢	$33	0xa41ed8…
04-25 14:46:58	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	8¢	$30	0x502b4b…
04-25 14:46:10	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	228	9¢	$20	0x3541c0…
04-25 14:45:14	Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x6e640c…
04-25 14:43:46	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,256	0¢	$5	0xf3a0ea…
04-24 19:37:44	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	217	7¢	$15	0x3e90c3…
04-24 19:36:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x85c308…
04-24 12:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	735	4¢	$30	0xfb95b8…
04-24 11:38:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	714	13¢	$93	0x10b261…
04-24 11:38:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	55¢	$177	0xed6244…
04-24 11:07:48	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x38c038…
04-24 11:06:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x811060…
04-24 11:04:26	megaeth fdv above 3b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xac26f5…
04-24 11:04:18	megaeth fdv above 2pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x77cd47…
04-23 22:44:58	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x2a7b1f…
04-23 22:43:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	735	3¢	$25	0xe4f1c5…
04-23 22:42:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x640000…
04-23 22:41:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xc59698…
04-23 22:40:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	788	2¢	$15	0x48b9e3…
04-23 22:40:34	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	682	2¢	$15	0x562d5b…
04-23 22:40:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	2¢	$15	0xb9e5c6…
04-23 22:40:16	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x8a07ba…
04-23 22:39:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x57469d…
04-23 22:38:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf420c2…
04-23 22:37:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x2a37a1…
04-23 22:36:38	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xa4b4d6…