Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$191

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-06 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

71% 86% +$10

Tech

12% 100% +$3

Politics

12% 0% -$1

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	+59	$57	97¢	$58	+$1	10-05 17:42
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	+59	$57	97¢	$57	+$1	10-06 19:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+59	$58	96¢	$57	-$1	09-29 09:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-20	-$18	97¢	$-19	-$1	05-06 17:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	5	$164	86	86	+0	open	—	08-07 17:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	5	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-22 06:50
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-23 07:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	2	$100	108	0	+108	No	+$8	06-17 22:58
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	2	$99	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	06-13 14:40
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$98	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-02 09:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	3	$97	51	51	+0	open	—	05-31 08:05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$58	59	0	+59	open	—	09-29 09:58
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	2	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	10-05 17:42
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	1	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	10-06 19:50
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-30 16:51
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	+$3	06-23 11:46
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-11 09:42
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	09-30 18:48
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$20	0	20	-20	No	$0	04-30 12:01
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-02 01:39
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$19	0	20	-20	No	-$1	04-30 13:16
lol blg we 2026 03 31	1	$19	20	0	+20	Bilibili Gaming	+$1	03-31 08:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$18	0	20	-20	open	—	05-06 17:37
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-01 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 19:50:53	Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xc7ede2…
10-05 17:42:25	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xa79d31…
10-05 13:34:23	Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf33ece…
09-30 18:48:41	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xfde948…
09-29 09:58:50	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0x1fc931…
08-07 17:30:27	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x55f02f…
08-07 17:30:22	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x17c96b…
06-23 11:46:29	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5bc30b…
06-23 11:15:31	Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xde2fba…
06-17 22:58:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0x2803cc…
06-17 20:55:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x7da6f3…
06-13 14:40:58	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xb1b6fc…
06-02 09:17:42	Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x2695dc…
05-31 08:05:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x9abc60…
05-23 18:43:54	Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x0204a6…
05-23 14:06:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xad655e…
05-23 07:45:37	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x621438…
05-22 21:49:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7bd1e8…
05-22 06:50:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0xb06243…
05-22 04:51:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x309678…
05-22 02:49:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x100cb1…
05-22 02:34:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x746187…
05-14 13:17:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdd50c8…
05-14 12:20:30	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb47441…
05-14 00:26:42	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x36fd35…
05-12 16:47:21	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2331f6…
05-11 09:42:13	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x0f4104…
05-08 20:06:52	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5bd904…
05-06 17:37:24	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf0f4c1…
05-04 14:36:28	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x11d2be…
05-02 03:39:44	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x38979f…
05-01 06:53:58	Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3bb963…
04-30 16:51:52	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x382490…
04-30 15:05:46	Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc1fb80…
04-30 13:16:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x6a5928…
04-30 12:01:38	Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x838933…
04-02 01:39:43	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x411b3c…
03-31 08:44:17	lol blg we 2026 03 31	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x543e7c…
03-05 12:35:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x8b91db…