Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
open
Total volume
$41,591
$33 in 24h
Trades
906
Unique wallets
158
Liquidity
$40,351
Latest YES mid
97¢
Latest NO mid
3¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 15:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6.6K
vs crowd: 92% YES on $36.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 51 | $25.8K | $2.6K | +$23.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $6.4K | $379 | +$6.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $350 | $58 | +$292 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $661 | $9 | +$652 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $6.6K | $28 | +$6.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $848 | $31 | +$817 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $15.7K | $1.3K | +$14.3K |
| Median | 14 | $3.3K | $33 | +$3.2K |
| Below median | 18 | $484 | $28 | +$456 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $143 | $34 | +$109 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 27 | $2.4K | $213 | +$2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 50 | $3.9K | $1.3K | +$2.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +20,780 | $1,144 | $1,496 | 121 | 10-15 21:41 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +16,459 | $15,521 | $15,521 | 9 | 10-15 21:41 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +5,015 | $281 | $281 | 1 | 10-15 21:41 |
| SnowLover7 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | +4,424 | $3,853 | $3,853 | 1 | 07-13 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | +3,063 | $2,840 | $2,840 | 1 | 08-17 19:14 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +1,060 | $997 | $997 | 4 | 10-07 14:24 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +984 | $917 | $1,601 | 25 | 10-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +902 | $877 | $877 | 2 | 10-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +902 | $35 | $46 | 3 | 10-15 21:41 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +627 | $33 | $73 | 12 | 10-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | +583 | $555 | $555 | 8 | 10-15 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | +583 | $33 | $33 | 10 | 10-15 21:40 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | +487 | $459 | $459 | 1 | 10-07 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +340 | $326 | $326 | 2 | 10-11 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +340 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 10-11 19:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +245 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 10-15 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +166 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 10-14 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +165 | $13 | $25 | 6 | 10-14 17:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +140 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 10-12 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +124 | $119 | $119 | 3 | 10-14 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +124 | $14 | $25 | 9 | 10-16 06:38 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +120 | $115 | $123 | 2 | 10-26 00:41 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +120 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-12 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f38…e56c | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 10-14 17:00 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | Yes | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 10-11 19:46 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 10-07 14:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-26 00:18 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | No | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-11 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +84 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +80 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 10-11 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +80 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-12 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +80 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-11 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +80 | $76 | $76 | 4 | 10-12 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x796c…5213 | Yes | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 10-06 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | +71 | $67 | $89 | 2 | 10-19 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29b…ec44 | Yes | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 10-06 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +60 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-26 15:17 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +60 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-12 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a22…35ae | Yes | +59 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 10-06 19:50 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +58 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-08 11:03 |
| Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-07 14:25 |
| Svelte-Lawn 0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | +55 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-26 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | Yes | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-06 19:50 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +50 | $4 | $9 | 6 | 10-15 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-12 20:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-14 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | Yes | +49 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-06 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x783f…631b | Yes | +44 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 10-06 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | +44 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 12:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | +29 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 10-25 11:38 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +27 | $24 | $857 | 11 | 08-01 12:27 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 18:21 |
| Worried-Dinghy 0x8482…3f7a | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-11 19:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-08 08:40 |
| Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-01 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | +14 | -$2 | $10 | 6 | 10-26 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dc1…5f5b | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-01 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xa840…87f7 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-16 06:37 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-06 20:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 15:17:42 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x39d633… |
| 10-26 15:17:42 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x39d633… |
| 10-26 15:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe0b2bf… |
| 10-26 15:10:50 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xe0b2bf… |
| 10-26 15:10:50 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 55 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe0b2bf… |
| 10-26 00:41:24 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xd1ae21… |
| 10-26 00:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd1ae21… |
| 10-25 11:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd03ca… |
| 10-25 11:38:42 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xcd03ca… |
| 10-25 11:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa042a0… |
| 10-25 11:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xa042a0… |
| 10-24 22:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x1ccc…6e71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x54eba7… |
| 10-24 22:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x54eba7… |
| 10-23 20:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x560209… |
| 10-23 20:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x560209… |
| 10-22 12:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xbceb…0049 | No | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc1227f… |
| 10-22 12:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc1227f… |
| 10-19 00:36:17 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe83473… |
| 10-19 00:36:17 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xe83473… |
| 10-18 13:16:17 | (anonymous) 0xbec4…b075 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xb2e239… |
| 10-18 13:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xb2e239… |
| 10-18 13:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x985466… |
| 10-18 13:15:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x985466… |
| 10-18 13:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xbec4…b075 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 97¢ | $76 | 0x985466… |
| 10-18 13:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x985466… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x1dc1…5f5b | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01cf30… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01cf30… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 185 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x28e4d3… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfdec31… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | No | BUY | 185 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x28e4d3… |
| 10-16 06:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfdec31… |
| 10-16 06:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xa840…87f7 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2dcd89… |
| 10-16 06:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2dcd89… |
| 10-16 06:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfbe698… |
| 10-16 06:37:54 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0xfbe698… |
| 10-15 21:47:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcda1c4… |
| 10-15 21:47:33 | Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | No | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcda1c4… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 6,406 | 95¢ | $6,069 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | BUY | 740 | 3¢ | $26 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 261 | 5¢ | $14 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 5,015 | 6¢ | $281 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x2099…c1bd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 464 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 96¢ | $85 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Fickle-Embarrassment 0xff05…fad7 | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | BUY | 740 | 97¢ | $721 | 0x87df31… |
| 10-15 21:41:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xc04256… |
| 10-15 21:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1a8eb2… |
| 10-15 21:40:51 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x31e12f… |
| 10-15 21:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x2099…c1bd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x31e12f… |
| 10-15 21:40:51 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1a8eb2… |
| 10-15 21:40:42 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xd3dbf7… |
| 10-15 21:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xd3dbf7… |
| 10-15 21:40:42 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 301 | 6¢ | $17 | 0xd3dbf7… |
| 10-15 21:40:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 136 | 6¢ | $8 | 0xd3dbf7… |
| 10-15 21:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $57 | 0xd3dbf7… |
| 10-15 21:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | BUY | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xd0f02f… |
| 10-15 21:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x2099…c1bd | Yes | BUY | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0xd0f02f… |
| 10-15 21:27:38 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x0a4988… |
| 10-15 21:27:38 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0a4988… |
| 10-15 20:30:15 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x5bc10b… |
| 10-15 20:30:15 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x5bc10b… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 334 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | SELL | 145 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 96¢ | $84 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 20:29:05 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 628 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x5f9413… |
| 10-15 16:41:47 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2c8fb4… |
| 10-15 16:41:47 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x2c8fb4… |
| 10-15 16:41:47 | (anonymous) 0xabb9…2b63 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x2c8fb4… |
| 10-14 17:46:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdaf9da… |
| 10-14 17:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdaf9da… |
| 10-14 17:45:34 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | No | SELL | 860 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x23f282… |
| 10-14 17:45:34 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 860 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x23f282… |
| 10-14 17:45:25 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 700 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x31d163… |
| 10-14 17:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 700 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x31d163… |
| 10-14 17:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | SELL | 158 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xef28d3… |
| 10-14 17:45:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 158 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xef28d3… |
| 10-14 17:45:13 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xac3559… |
| 10-14 17:45:13 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | No | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xac3559… |
| 10-14 17:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 96¢ | $116 | 0xb21277… |
| 10-14 17:45:09 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 120 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xb21277… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 700 | 5¢ | $33 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 2,132 | 95¢ | $2,029 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | No | BUY | 162 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xa823fd… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x1fa1…89b3 | No | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | BUY | 162 | 96¢ | $156 | 0xa823fd… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | No | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x878150… |
| 10-14 17:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | BUY | 320 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x878150… |