Feisty-Type 0x593b35…4ca941
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$757
Unrealized P&L
+$877
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
4,914
Trades
8,451
lifetime
Volume
$183.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-29 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 93% -$157
Other
37% 27% -$476
Politics
16% 0% -$106
Tech
3% 8% -$21
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 78% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +800 $765 98¢ $782 +$17 10-19 09:24
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +800 $622 94¢ $748 +$126 10-18 21:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +600 $586 99¢ $596 +$10 10-18 15:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +600 $493 97¢ $582 +$89 10-19 15:48
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +600 $549 94¢ $561 +$12 10-19 10:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +550 $480 98¢ $536 +$56 10-28 08:13
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +500 $456 99¢ $494 +$38 10-28 06:55
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +500 $372 99¢ $494 +$122 10-19 08:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +600 $469 79¢ $472 +$3 10-27 22:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +500 $428 90¢ $448 +$20 10-19 20:15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $441 88¢ $442 +$1 10-28 19:45
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +545 $428 76¢ $411 -$17 10-19 17:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +400 $394 100¢ $399 +$4 10-19 18:39
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +400 $385 99¢ $396 +$11 10-21 08:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +400 $226 98¢ $393 +$166 10-18 21:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +400 $356 98¢ $392 +$36 10-19 19:18
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +400 $386 97¢ $386 +$0 10-19 16:39
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +400 $380 96¢ $386 +$6 10-17 15:33
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +400 $350 92¢ $366 +$16 10-17 01:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +533 $386 68¢ $365 -$21 10-17 12:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +500 $380 72¢ $358 -$22 10-28 21:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $346 88¢ $354 +$8 10-19 17:51
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +400 $344 88¢ $350 +$6 10-17 17:59
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +340 $279 98¢ $334 +$55 10-19 08:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +627 $392 53¢ $332 -$60 10-27 20:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +400 $276 82¢ $327 +$51 09-30 18:53
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +400 $341 82¢ $326 -$15 10-17 03:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +300 $156 99¢ $298 +$142 10-06 02:17
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +300 $293 99¢ $297 +$4 10-19 15:28
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +300 $285 98¢ $295 +$10 10-19 19:13