Realized P&L
-$9.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.38K
Hit rate
41.2%
Resolved
5,308
Trades
28,118
lifetime
Volume
$334.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-30 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
61% 41% -$6,652
Politics
36% 33% -$2,291
Sports
2% 33% -$208
Tech
1% 33% -$199
Crypto
1% 33% -$145
Pop-Culture
0% 42% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 715 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,424 $469 97¢ $1.4K +$911 10-17 13:26
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,096 $733 72¢ $789 +$56 10-23 06:32
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +749 $602 89¢ $665 +$62 10-21 15:02
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +510 $451 93¢ $472 +$21 09-28 19:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +553 $463 83¢ $459 -$4 10-18 13:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +457 $398 84¢ $383 -$15 10-21 22:53
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +400 $340 84¢ $337 -$3 10-11 22:11
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +355 $277 91¢ $323 +$46 10-20 23:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +386 $328 82¢ $318 -$10 10-09 15:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,096 $360 28¢ $307 -$53 10-25 21:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +422 $314 71¢ $300 -$15 10-21 23:29
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +300 $242 99¢ $296 +$55 10-17 13:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +328 $283 88¢ $287 +$4 10-21 10:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +455 $328 62¢ $280 -$48 10-23 05:44
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +271 $58 99¢ $268 +$210 10-19 19:28
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +300 $270 89¢ $267 -$3 10-13 15:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +340 $235 78¢ $264 +$29 10-17 16:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +254 $207 100¢ $254 +$47 09-20 19:56
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +300 $246 82¢ $244 -$2 10-13 16:15
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +274 $214 88¢ $242 +$28 10-21 17:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +414 $247 58¢ $239 -$8 10-21 20:20
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +280 $225 85¢ $238 +$13 10-07 18:53
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +262 $205 86¢ $225 +$19 10-22 06:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +250 $207 83¢ $208 +$1 10-18 15:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $196 +$1 10-11 22:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +200 $176 94¢ $187 +$11 09-28 03:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +201 $161 90¢ $180 +$18 09-26 05:57
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +326 $174 55¢ $179 +$6 10-22 17:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +414 $210 42¢ $175 -$35 10-22 15:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +455 $133 38¢ $175 +$42 10-26 11:03