Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?
open
Total volume
$9,837
Trades
249
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$13,525
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-26 11:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.6¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 92% YES on $7.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $5.1K | $377 | +$4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $2.0K | $186 | +$1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $78 | $12 | +$66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $38 | $10 | +$29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $1.6K | $31 | +$1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $25 | $25 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1.9K | $148 | +$1.7K |
| Median | 7 | $12 | $18 | $7 |
| Below median | 11 | $2 | $58 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $118 | $11 | +$107 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $200 | $19 | +$181 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $3.4K | $275 | +$3.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silky-Geometry 0x032e…2a9e | Yes | +3,362 | $3,151 | $3,151 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +2,830 | $147 | $147 | 25 | 07-10 09:08 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +1,836 | $1,709 | $2,008 | 10 | 10-10 15:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +802 | $18 | $18 | 11 | 10-05 08:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +367 | $14 | $14 | 7 | 10-17 10:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +257 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 10-05 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | +208 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-07 08:08 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +200 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-15 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | Yes | +181 | $169 | $236 | 2 | 10-26 11:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +146 | $10 | $19 | 2 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | +120 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | +120 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | Yes | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Feisty-Type 0x593b…a941 | No | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 01:24 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 07-03 20:37 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +80 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-03 20:37 |
| Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | +68 | $13 | $16 | 6 | 10-17 10:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +60 | $2 | $6 | 4 | 10-05 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +60 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 03:49 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | +34 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 07:00 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-16 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d23…5366 | No | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-24 21:57 |
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-19 03:54 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | +22 | $21 | $22 | 2 | 10-06 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | No | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:56 |
| Tame-Rank 0x120b…ee03 | Yes | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-14 09:54 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | +9 | $0 | $1 | 6 | 10-08 10:05 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b71…c042 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-08 10:05 |
| Avaricious-Salt 0x19a6…1cec | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-07 08:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 11:27:41 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d0a08… |
| 10-26 11:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x7d0a08… |
| 10-26 11:27:41 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7d0a08… |
| 10-17 10:14:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeafba1… |
| 10-17 10:14:17 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeafba1… |
| 10-17 10:14:17 | Voluminous-Avocado-Hackwork 0x85cb…db4a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xeafba1… |
| 10-12 07:28:25 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x14c9d8… |
| 10-12 07:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x9811…a5f8 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x14c9d8… |
| 10-11 13:09:43 | Loud-Barley 0x9b7b…ec5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0d9d73… |
| 10-11 13:09:43 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0d9d73… |
| 10-10 15:55:01 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xbc41f4… |
| 10-10 15:55:01 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbc41f4… |
| 10-10 15:54:36 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x992e12… |
| 10-10 15:54:36 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 84 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x992e12… |
| 10-10 15:54:36 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x992e12… |
| 10-10 15:54:36 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x992e12… |
| 10-08 10:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54ad92… |
| 10-08 10:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x9b71…c042 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54ad92… |
| 10-07 13:04:10 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x1ef387… |
| 10-07 13:04:10 | (anonymous) 0xac7b…8c06 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x1ef387… |
| 10-07 13:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c6f3d… |
| 10-07 13:04:08 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x3c6f3d… |
| 10-07 08:08:29 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b8f7e… |
| 10-07 08:08:29 | Avaricious-Salt 0x19a6…1cec | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0b8f7e… |
| 10-07 00:55:56 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3317ab… |
| 10-07 00:55:56 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3317ab… |
| 10-06 12:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x136262… |
| 10-06 12:14:37 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x136262… |
| 10-05 14:18:44 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc002b6… |
| 10-05 14:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xf03d…21fb | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc002b6… |
| 10-05 14:18:44 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc002b6… |
| 10-05 14:18:44 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc002b6… |
| 10-05 08:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x5656…dc08 | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc84dbf… |
| 10-05 08:26:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc84dbf… |
| 10-05 07:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | No | SELL | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x23ac17… |
| 10-05 07:00:32 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x23ac17… |
| 10-05 06:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x5656…dc08 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x640268… |
| 10-05 06:56:02 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | No | SELL | 1,062 | 2¢ | $21 | 0x640268… |
| 10-05 06:56:02 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 1,042 | 98¢ | $1,021 | 0x640268… |
| 10-05 06:06:29 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf22d8d… |
| 10-05 06:06:29 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf22d8d… |
| 10-05 06:06:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf22d8d… |
| 10-05 03:34:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe02af1… |
| 10-05 03:34:01 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 179 | 98¢ | $175 | 0xe02af1… |
| 10-05 03:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x2099…c1bd | No | SELL | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xe02af1… |
| 10-05 01:58:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 108 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc07968… |
| 10-05 01:58:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 108 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc07968… |
| 10-05 00:59:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 333 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xfd3ff9… |
| 10-05 00:59:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 167 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xfd3ff9… |
| 10-05 00:59:37 | Leading-Yogurt 0xc954…6609 | No | SELL | 500 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xfd3ff9… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5b62a4… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0afd5d… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2f4cbb… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0afd5d… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2f4cbb… |
| 10-05 00:58:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5b62a4… |
| 10-05 00:56:44 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbf7f14… |
| 10-05 00:56:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbf7f14… |
| 10-05 00:56:37 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5642c0… |
| 10-05 00:56:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5642c0… |
| 10-05 00:56:32 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc0e636… |
| 10-05 00:56:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc0e636… |
| 10-05 00:56:31 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x50a34f… |
| 10-05 00:56:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x50a34f… |
| 10-05 00:56:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x016fac… |
| 10-05 00:56:31 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x016fac… |
| 10-05 00:56:28 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6e1826… |
| 10-05 00:56:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6e1826… |
| 10-05 00:56:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb4afa6… |
| 10-05 00:56:20 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb4afa6… |
| 10-05 00:56:13 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf523ca… |
| 10-05 00:56:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf523ca… |
| 10-05 00:56:10 | Incomparable-Zone-Birdbath 0x1e31…594b | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xffae37… |
| 10-05 00:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xffae37… |
| 10-05 00:56:08 | Cheerful-Cesspool 0x18c9…0079 | No | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a15ef… |
| 10-05 00:56:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4a15ef… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0xac7b…8c06 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xcdd48a… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1e44e1… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0xac7b…8c06 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7129c9… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcdd48a… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x308d…452a | No | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1e44e1… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1e44e1… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7129c9… |
| 10-05 00:56:01 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 98¢ | $31 | 0x1e44e1… |
| 10-05 00:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x0374…b542 | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x92cf0c… |
| 10-05 00:55:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x92cf0c… |
| 10-05 00:55:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6ca83e… |
| 10-05 00:55:56 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6ca83e… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x7b1f…1ea7 | Yes | BUY | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0xbaa59a… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x872a…d530 | No | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xba60cf… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x0d23…5366 | No | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 220 | 7¢ | $15 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | No | BUY | 229 | 6¢ | $15 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 87 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xba60cf… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x0374…b542 | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x6b23a9… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | No | BUY | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xbaa59a… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x4e90…e295 | No | BUY | 22 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9ab9d… |
| 10-05 00:55:55 | Silky-Geometry 0x032e…2a9e | Yes | BUY | 3,362 | 94¢ | $3,151 | 0xc9ab9d… |