Realized P&L
+$954
Unrealized P&L
-$1.27K
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
12,595
lifetime
Volume
$2.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$9.95K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
69% 0% $-589
Other
29% 80% +$1,543
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +7,641 $5,456 66¢ $5.0K $-451 06-25 19:12
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +9,849 $2,413 20¢ $1.9K $-492 06-25 01:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5,782 $1,195 16¢ $954 $-240 06-25 01:44
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -932 $-871 94¢ $-873 $-2 06-25 11:06
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +1,215 $368 30¢ $365 $-4 07-01 05:00
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +330 $298 90¢ $297 $-0 06-23 00:26
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +248 $199 87¢ $216 +$18 06-23 00:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +1,287 $226 15¢ $187 $-40 06-18 12:43
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +1,222 $146 $81 $-65 06-23 00:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -59 $-46 74¢ $-44 +$3 06-16 02:19
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 87¢ $-6 $-0 06-17 20:32