Realized P&L
+$954
Unrealized P&L
+$4.44K
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
12,769
lifetime
Volume
$2.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$11.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
69% 0% $-589
Other
29% 80% +$1,543
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +6,585 $4,738 66¢ $4.4K $-359 07-08 19:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +4,407 $-3,201 62¢ $2.7K +$5,934 07-13 20:01
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +6,516 $1,713 18¢ $1.2K $-540 07-06 03:48
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -1,220 $-1,141 96¢ $-1165 $-24 07-13 09:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5,782 $1,195 12¢ $723 $-472 06-25 01:44
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +330 $298 91¢ $300 +$2 06-23 00:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -335 $-257 78¢ $-263 $-7 07-13 19:01
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +248 $199 90¢ $223 +$24 06-23 00:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +1,303 $229 12¢ $163 $-66 07-06 17:46
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No -157 $-136 87¢ $-137 $-1 07-11 04:09
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes +1,222 $146 $92 $-54 06-23 00:21