(anonymous) 0x3ef668…461091
whale cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$305
Hit rate
3.7%
Resolved
649
Trades
6,601
lifetime
Volume
$171.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$11.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-27 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
78% 6% -$1,266
Politics
10% 10% -$227
Sports
6% 0% -$49
Tech
4% 18% -$21
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$50
Crypto
1% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +803 $750 92¢ $741 -$9 10-21 17:31
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +742 $707 97¢ $716 +$9 10-26 06:15
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? Yes +720 $695 99¢ $714 +$19 10-24 02:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +719 $677 99¢ $709 +$32 10-26 02:35
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +691 $647 97¢ $671 +$24 10-25 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +620 $575 96¢ $594 +$19 10-22 13:13
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +600 $554 98¢ $590 +$36 10-02 10:10
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +600 $577 96¢ $579 +$1 10-19 19:27
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? Yes +583 $555 97¢ $566 +$11 10-15 21:40
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +560 $531 97¢ $544 +$12 10-16 02:04
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +468 $449 98¢ $458 +$8 09-30 12:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +480 $447 93¢ $446 -$1 10-21 14:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +488 $452 90¢ $439 -$13 10-24 10:17
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +380 $359 95¢ $363 +$3 10-19 15:58
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +360 $341 98¢ $353 +$12 10-06 02:36
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +360 $347 96¢ $346 -$1 10-14 14:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +287 $260 94¢ $271 +$10 10-16 05:06
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? Yes +260 $246 99¢ $257 +$10 10-08 22:10
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +240 $228 98¢ $235 +$7 10-26 01:36
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +240 $227 96¢ $231 +$4 10-07 15:57
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +237 $222 96¢ $229 +$7 10-12 08:50
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +230 $210 98¢ $226 +$16 10-16 02:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +240 $226 88¢ $211 -$14 10-21 02:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $224 86¢ $208 -$17 09-21 18:03
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +240 $223 86¢ $208 -$16 09-22 05:58
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +240 $221 86¢ $207 -$14 09-22 01:09
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +240 $224 83¢ $199 -$25 09-26 03:46
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +202 $190 96¢ $194 +$4 10-12 23:49
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +279 $29 69¢ $192 +$163 10-14 03:21
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +180 $172 98¢ $176 +$5 10-07 07:16