Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
2.6%
Resolved (30d)
711
Trades (30d)
2,733
6,605 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$68.0K
$171.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$8.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-02 04:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
78% 5% -$2,183
Politics
10% 9% -$347
Sports
6% 5% -$72
Tech
4% 10% -$59
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$50
Crypto
1% 0% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +742 $707 99¢ $731 +$24 10-26 06:15
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +691 $647 100¢ $691 +$44 10-25 01:52
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes +673 $625 96¢ $642 +$17 10-26 00:41
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +560 $36 94¢ $528 +$493 10-16 02:04
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? No +502 $480 96¢ $480 $0 10-03 03:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +488 $452 83¢ $407 -$45 10-24 10:17
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +372 $348 99¢ $367 +$19 10-16 03:51
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +360 $341 99¢ $355 +$14 10-06 02:36
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? No +318 $294 98¢ $311 +$17 10-19 13:41
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1? Yes +300 $287 97¢ $291 +$4 10-19 07:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +287 $260 96¢ $274 +$14 10-16 05:06
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +240 $224 99¢ $237 +$13 09-26 03:46
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +240 $20 99¢ $237 +$216 09-21 18:03
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $20 99¢ $237 +$217 09-22 05:58
will yulia navalnaya win the nobel peace prize in 2027 No +260 $243 90¢ $235 -$8 10-22 14:51
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +240 $232 97¢ $234 +$2 10-15 15:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +237 $222 96¢ $228 +$6 10-12 08:50
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +240 $221 86¢ $207 -$15 09-22 01:09
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +202 $190 99¢ $200 +$10 10-12 23:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +240 $226 82¢ $198 -$28 10-21 02:35
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? Yes +240 $230 82¢ $196 -$33 10-25 19:11
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +199 $187 92¢ $184 -$3 10-16 07:23
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary? No +180 $172 100¢ $179 +$7 10-19 19:46
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $166 96¢ $172 +$6 10-23 05:13
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? No +160 $146 96¢ $153 +$7 10-02 02:35
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +155 $141 96¢ $149 +$8 10-16 02:52
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +138 $126 97¢ $134 +$8 09-24 13:55
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? Yes +139 $129 90¢ $126 -$3 10-25 09:37
Will Delight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? No +120 $111 100¢ $120 +$8 09-23 03:17
Will AEK Athens finish top 8 in UCL league phase? No +120 $118 100¢ $120 +$2 09-30 02:27