Realized P&L (7d)
-$553
Unrealized P&L
+$142
Hit rate
2.0%
Resolved (7d)
176
Trades (7d)
82
6,602 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.94K
$171.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$9.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-01 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
78% 6% -$1,641
Politics
10% 8% -$274
Sports
6% 6% -$59
Tech
4% 10% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$50
Crypto
1% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +742 $707 97¢ $719 +$12 10-26 06:15
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? Yes +720 $695 99¢ $710 +$15 10-24 02:29
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +691 $647 97¢ $670 +$24 10-25 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +620 $575 97¢ $599 +$24 10-22 13:13
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +600 $577 98¢ $585 +$8 10-19 19:27
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +560 $531 98¢ $547 +$16 10-16 02:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +488 $452 93¢ $452 +$0 10-24 10:17
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +380 $359 98¢ $371 +$12 10-19 15:58
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +360 $341 98¢ $352 +$11 10-06 02:36
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +360 $347 96¢ $347 +$0 10-14 14:41
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +282 $264 97¢ $274 +$10 10-21 21:19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +287 $260 94¢ $271 +$11 10-16 05:06
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? Yes +260 $246 99¢ $258 +$11 10-08 22:10
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +250 $237 98¢ $244 +$8 10-20 15:27
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +276 $255 86¢ $238 -$16 10-08 15:43
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +240 $228 99¢ $238 +$10 10-26 01:36
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +240 $227 97¢ $232 +$5 10-07 15:57
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +237 $222 96¢ $228 +$6 10-12 08:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +240 $226 92¢ $222 -$4 10-21 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +240 $223 88¢ $212 -$11 09-22 05:58
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $224 88¢ $212 -$12 09-21 18:03
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +240 $224 88¢ $212 -$13 09-26 03:46
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +240 $221 86¢ $206 -$15 09-22 01:09
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +202 $190 95¢ $192 +$3 10-12 23:49
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +138 $126 94¢ $130 +$5 09-24 13:55
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +120 $110 99¢ $119 +$9 10-12 18:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +120 $114 99¢ $119 +$5 09-25 18:47
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +120 $114 98¢ $118 +$4 09-21 06:08
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +120 $113 98¢ $117 +$4 10-15 06:22
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +120 $115 97¢ $116 +$1 10-10 17:23