Sour-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,337

lifetime

Volume

$87.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$2

Politics

18% 67% $-1

Crypto

7% 100% +$3

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
afc u23 final china vs japan	1	$3.8K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	01-24 16:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	83	$3.1K	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	01-28 16:07
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	32	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	02-08 14:18
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	73	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	open	—	02-02 02:57
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$919	462	462	+0	open	—	01-09 14:33
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	39	$906	936	0	+936	open	—	03-15 16:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	30	$643	652	0	+652	open	—	03-18 16:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	27	$636	646	0	+646	open	—	02-01 16:53
will hamnet be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$605	608	0	+608	open	—	01-20 11:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 18corbelow	6	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	03-19 07:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	34	$530	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 14:32
will leonardo dicaprio be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	10	$511	513	0	+513	open	—	01-20 16:28
will one battle after another be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	01-22 07:56
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	46	$507	512	0	+512	open	—	01-23 02:07
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$505	508	0	+508	open	—	01-17 16:00
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 12 and 14 of votes in the first round	14	$467	473	0	+473	open	—	01-18 11:17
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	23	$457	465	0	+465	open	—	02-05 17:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 160 179	12	$455	457	0	+457	open	—	04-02 12:38
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	12	$450	453	0	+453	open	—	01-06 02:03
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	31	$439	252	232	+21	open	—	03-17 14:12
will andr ventura win less than 16 of votes in the first round	21	$436	444	0	+444	open	—	01-17 14:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	19	$420	424	0	+424	open	—	03-19 09:18
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	19	$363	366	0	+366	open	—	02-02 19:23
will the centrist reform alliance win 190 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	22	$362	369	0	+369	open	—	02-05 16:40
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$352	357	0	+357	open	—	01-18 16:36
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	7	$340	346	0	+346	open	—	03-27 09:07
will odessa azion win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	18	$332	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 14:30
will teyana taylor be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$330	332	0	+332	open	—	01-20 07:54
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	4	$320	321	0	+321	open	—	02-05 05:20
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	25	$320	323	0	+323	open	—	03-15 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:01:08	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbf376e…
06-30 13:56:29	spy closes above 715 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa22a53…
06-30 13:48:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x533914…
06-30 13:48:20	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x413bfb…
06-30 13:43:01	spy closes above 715 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacb5cf…
06-30 13:41:11	spy closes above 715 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b5516…
06-30 13:40:10	spy closes above 760 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf2b9d8…
06-30 13:40:08	spy closes above 765 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xacb19d…
06-30 13:38:19	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6947f2…
06-30 13:12:50	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x26b63d…
06-30 13:08:37	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1aad5b…
06-30 13:08:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc83b69…
06-30 13:08:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8565a7…
06-30 13:08:23	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x33e743…
06-30 12:17:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 30	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x508208…
06-30 06:48:22	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0d9e5…
06-29 17:35:20	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 29	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43e0ef…
06-29 17:12:46	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 29	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe91ee7…
06-29 17:12:41	will ethereum reach 1800 on june 29	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x59887a…
06-29 17:12:11	will ethereum reach 1900 on june 29	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x16f470…
06-29 15:53:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1d78f0…
06-29 15:41:20	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 29	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x07a419…
06-29 14:19:05	bitcoin above 54k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x95201d…
06-29 13:50:08	spy closes above 755 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x998189…
06-29 13:50:08	spy closes above 710 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41d873…
06-29 13:40:10	spy closes above 710 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf7f05a…
06-29 13:40:10	spy closes above 760 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xa1cdca…
06-29 11:40:19	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 29	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x92105b…
06-29 10:39:46	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 29	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9936e4…
06-29 09:07:20	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 29	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x683456…
06-29 07:52:02	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 29	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfa864a…
06-29 06:56:41	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x03139b…
06-29 03:11:02	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4bd222…
06-29 02:32:34	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 28	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1c8aa4…
06-29 02:27:35	will bitcoin reach 61k on june 28	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe58148…
06-29 02:25:14	will bitcoin reach 63k on june 28	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x95a7c0…
06-28 23:13:38	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 28	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xb1d5b7…
06-28 22:36:16	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfdf649…
06-28 20:53:16	will bitcoin reach 64k on june 28	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x57e05b…
06-28 20:06:40	will ethereum reach 1900 on june 28	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xdf1c0b…
06-28 17:36:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 28	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x67d7a0…
06-28 17:01:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 28	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe604a8…
06-28 17:01:04	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 28	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1bb3d…
06-27 22:27:25	bitcoin above 56k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xbee3b5…
06-27 21:40:11	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 27	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4ca5d…
06-27 18:54:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd70544…
06-27 08:25:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x810881…
06-27 05:53:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x28c5bc…
06-26 17:46:47	spy closes above 705 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x031d51…
06-26 14:23:29	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 26	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x67a2c7…
06-26 13:50:07	spy closes above 755 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbb98dc…
06-26 13:40:09	spy closes above 755 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x058d7d…
06-26 13:09:52	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 26	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c3bb5…
06-26 13:07:16	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 26	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x87911c…
06-26 12:40:38	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 26	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x014b03…
06-26 11:35:17	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 26	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5908a…
06-26 09:52:26	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 26	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9f0500…
06-25 16:57:07	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 25	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x74de16…
06-25 16:56:35	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 25	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x5b7d71…
06-25 16:14:49	spy closes above 715 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20be5d…
06-25 16:09:17	spy closes above 765 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa3638…
06-25 16:08:32	spy closes above 715 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5a2c20…
06-25 16:08:23	spy closes above 715 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9f471…
06-25 14:18:08	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 25	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3abbe0…
06-25 14:18:04	will ethereum dip to 1300 on june 25	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa90061…
06-25 14:11:46	will bitcoin dip to 53k on june 25	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6dd24b…
06-25 13:58:31	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 25	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe140b5…
06-25 13:58:19	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 25	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x2ef9d2…
06-25 13:56:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 25	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7a5df4…
06-25 13:55:50	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 25	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xae9d4a…
06-25 13:53:52	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 25	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x7c83ea…
06-25 13:53:35	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 25	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xf14fcd…
06-25 13:52:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 25	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xb2c3c6…
06-25 13:51:35	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 25	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x53ce41…
06-25 13:48:38	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x939aab…
06-25 13:48:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 25	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x68982c…
06-25 13:46:08	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 25	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x871308…
06-25 13:45:08	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 25	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb60ef8…
06-25 13:40:08	spy closes above 760 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ab371…
06-25 13:13:43	spy closes above 715 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x03200c…
06-25 13:02:07	spy closes above 765 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x258c70…
06-25 11:46:32	will ethereum reach 1950 on june 25	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf1aef4…
06-25 11:15:58	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 25	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f553f…
06-25 11:09:32	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 25	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf5dcea…
06-25 05:36:25	ethereum above 1800 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62bce7…
06-24 18:36:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 24	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x20bee2…
06-24 18:01:17	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x859149…
06-24 18:00:04	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 24	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1de839…
06-24 17:48:28	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb17067…
06-24 17:37:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 24	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x5e8454…
06-24 17:08:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 24	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6bc307…
06-24 16:03:23	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 24	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x44d768…
06-24 16:00:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x431366…
06-24 15:59:56	ethereum above 1500 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x040826…
06-24 15:56:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x87c521…
06-24 15:36:28	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 24	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5ba638…
06-24 15:03:28	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d3ce1…
06-24 14:05:05	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 24	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa3455…
06-24 13:57:17	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x070e10…
06-24 13:53:53	spy closes above 710 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd69107…