Sour-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,077

lifetime

Volume

$84.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$2

Politics

19% 67% $-1

Crypto

4% 100% +$3

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 370 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes		+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	06-09 17:05
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No		+13	$10	76¢	$10	$-0	06-10 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
afc u23 final china vs japan	1	$3.8K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	01-24 16:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	83	$3.1K	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	01-28 16:07
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	32	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	02-08 14:18
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	73	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	open	—	02-02 02:57
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$919	462	462	+0	open	—	01-09 14:33
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	39	$906	936	0	+936	open	—	03-15 16:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	30	$643	652	0	+652	open	—	03-18 16:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	27	$636	646	0	+646	open	—	02-01 16:53
will hamnet be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$605	608	0	+608	open	—	01-20 11:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 18corbelow	6	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	03-19 07:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	34	$530	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 14:32
will leonardo dicaprio be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	10	$511	513	0	+513	open	—	01-20 16:28
will one battle after another be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	01-22 07:56
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	46	$507	512	0	+512	open	—	01-23 02:07
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$505	508	0	+508	open	—	01-17 16:00
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 12 and 14 of votes in the first round	14	$467	473	0	+473	open	—	01-18 11:17
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	23	$457	465	0	+465	open	—	02-05 17:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 160 179	12	$455	457	0	+457	open	—	04-02 12:38
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	12	$450	453	0	+453	open	—	01-06 02:03
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	31	$439	252	232	+21	open	—	03-17 14:12
will andr ventura win less than 16 of votes in the first round	21	$436	444	0	+444	open	—	01-17 14:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	19	$420	424	0	+424	open	—	03-19 09:18
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	19	$363	366	0	+366	open	—	02-02 19:23
will the centrist reform alliance win 190 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	22	$362	369	0	+369	open	—	02-05 16:40
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$352	357	0	+357	open	—	01-18 16:36
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	7	$340	346	0	+346	open	—	03-27 09:07
will odessa azion win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	18	$332	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 14:30
will teyana taylor be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$330	332	0	+332	open	—	01-20 07:54
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	4	$320	321	0	+321	open	—	02-05 05:20
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	25	$320	323	0	+323	open	—	03-15 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:17:52	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x757568…
06-09 17:05:15	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe96f3f…
06-09 17:05:13	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x76d1b1…
06-09 16:09:48	spy closes above 715 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8dd736…
06-09 16:04:07	spy closes above 765 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb17dfe…
06-09 16:03:57	spy closes above 765 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa7db06…
06-09 14:39:27	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 9	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x918f8d…
06-09 14:24:37	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe2dd37…
06-09 14:22:04	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 9	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdfe273…
06-09 14:10:03	spy closes above 720 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2fe452…
06-09 13:43:27	spy closes above 715 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x856ebe…
06-09 13:43:24	spy closes above 715 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9eeaa3…
06-09 13:40:07	spy closes above 765 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77fe5e…
06-09 11:47:42	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0a655d…
06-09 11:47:30	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe4abfd…
06-09 09:41:09	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x426a35…
06-09 00:56:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf49efd…
06-09 00:56:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb78ce2…
06-08 15:03:25	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd15aab…
06-08 15:03:25	spy closes above 765 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36aabe…
06-08 13:49:34	spy closes above 765 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xafe7ed…
06-08 13:39:55	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd6d55…
06-08 13:39:51	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3add4…
06-08 13:38:15	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf150d…
06-08 13:22:48	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f6323…
06-08 13:22:40	spy closes above 715 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1c96a…
06-07 08:11:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f0049…
06-06 16:10:51	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x37caeb…
06-06 14:24:03	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb8e7a2…
06-06 14:16:49	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde5fdf…
06-05 16:26:52	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8bf8…
06-05 16:26:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9bf0ae…
06-05 14:24:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe4662d…
06-05 14:04:40	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd35753…
06-05 14:00:42	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 5	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f7695…
06-05 13:58:51	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x971ca1…
06-05 13:58:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb7e63…
06-05 13:56:34	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x332489…
06-05 13:53:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff5b4b…
06-05 13:51:52	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda9b7d…
06-05 13:51:49	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0218e…
06-05 13:51:01	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89288f…
06-05 13:49:48	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ea699…
06-05 13:49:40	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7be65c…
06-05 13:49:33	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdfde2b…
06-05 13:49:27	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x83e2b3…
06-05 13:49:10	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4a68f8…
06-05 13:46:06	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x91ab28…
06-05 13:45:43	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb45f06…
06-05 13:45:33	spy closes above 780 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf88acb…
06-05 13:44:46	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e6a9c…
06-05 13:34:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x988b33…
06-05 13:34:30	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x689a6c…
06-05 13:27:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf7e24…
06-05 13:26:58	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35fa66…
06-05 13:24:19	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf0fe6f…
06-05 13:10:31	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f69f6…
06-05 13:05:31	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 5	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa12e0f…
06-05 12:58:48	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 5	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82fec1…
06-05 12:49:55	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xed06d0…
06-04 20:13:12	spy closes above 775 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29e383…
06-04 18:10:27	bitcoin above 76k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37fab7…
06-04 16:00:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bca5d…
06-04 15:24:34	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 4	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x447300…
06-04 14:44:45	spy closes above 735 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf18c2c…
06-04 14:36:42	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4ad94…
06-04 14:21:00	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 4	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b63c5…
06-04 14:16:25	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x818a48…
06-04 14:08:18	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf13b66…
06-04 14:02:04	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd8421c…
06-04 13:59:45	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa40554…
06-04 13:54:27	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69ac63…
06-04 13:53:54	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6983b…
06-04 13:53:49	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00fad7…
06-04 13:52:04	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef876e…
06-04 13:45:40	spy closes above 735 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf61c4…
06-04 13:37:09	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73c2e8…
06-04 13:36:13	spy closes above 770 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1dac6…
06-04 08:24:21	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0bf9ad…
06-04 06:14:18	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 4	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x79aa66…
06-04 06:14:03	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb96078…
06-04 06:12:21	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfdc43e…
06-04 03:56:40	spy closes above 735 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba6431…
06-03 14:07:34	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98d841…
06-03 14:07:32	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80a206…
06-03 14:01:41	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0981c9…
06-03 13:39:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54e913…
06-03 13:35:54	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18d56d…
06-03 13:31:01	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x991590…
06-03 13:29:22	spy closes above 785 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67662b…
06-03 13:26:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcb9d9e…
06-03 13:24:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6ba350…
06-03 13:23:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa3f763…
06-03 13:22:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0abf2…
06-03 13:22:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb661be…
06-03 13:16:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6c085…
06-03 13:08:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x730e06…
06-03 13:08:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x00026e…
06-03 13:01:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x005dbd…
06-02 14:27:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x86adab…