Realized P&L
+$148
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
12,356
Trades
24,243
lifetime
Volume
$306.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$465
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 02:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$610
Crypto
15% 97% -$480
Politics
6% 94% +$135
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$137
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +82 $80 98¢ $81 +$1 10-24 06:48
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 10-24 02:51
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-23 22:00
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 16:42
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-25 06:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 06:00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 10-24 00:00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 10-24 00:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16 $15 92¢ $15 $0 10-21 15:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-23 18:00
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-23 20:00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-28 01:56
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $0 10-23 20:00
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-21 06:15
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-28 02:06
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-20 22:37
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-28 02:00
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-20 21:38
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$0 10-23 20:39
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-26 00:28
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-21 16:39
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-21 16:23
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 10-24 04:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-21 00:17
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-20 13:35
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-23 20:01
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $10 77¢ $8 -$2 10-24 09:07
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-20 06:57