Sour-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

9,372

lifetime

Volume

$102.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$2

Crypto

19% 100% +$3

Politics

15% 67% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
afc u23 final china vs japan	1	$3.8K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	01-24 16:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	83	$3.1K	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	01-28 16:07
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	32	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	02-08 14:18
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	73	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	open	—	02-02 02:57
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$919	462	462	+0	open	—	01-09 14:33
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	39	$906	936	0	+936	open	—	03-15 16:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	30	$643	652	0	+652	open	—	03-18 16:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	27	$636	646	0	+646	open	—	02-01 16:53
will hamnet be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$605	608	0	+608	open	—	01-20 11:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 18corbelow	6	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	03-19 07:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	34	$530	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 14:32
will leonardo dicaprio be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	10	$511	513	0	+513	open	—	01-20 16:28
will one battle after another be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	01-22 07:56
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	46	$507	512	0	+512	open	—	01-23 02:07
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$505	508	0	+508	open	—	01-17 16:00
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 12 and 14 of votes in the first round	14	$467	473	0	+473	open	—	01-18 11:17
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	23	$457	465	0	+465	open	—	02-05 17:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 160 179	12	$455	457	0	+457	open	—	04-02 12:38
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	12	$450	453	0	+453	open	—	01-06 02:03
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	31	$439	252	232	+21	open	—	03-17 14:12
will andr ventura win less than 16 of votes in the first round	21	$436	444	0	+444	open	—	01-17 14:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	19	$420	424	0	+424	open	—	03-19 09:18
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	19	$363	366	0	+366	open	—	02-02 19:23
will the centrist reform alliance win 190 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	22	$362	369	0	+369	open	—	02-05 16:40
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$352	357	0	+357	open	—	01-18 16:36
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	7	$340	346	0	+346	open	—	03-27 09:07
will odessa azion win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	18	$332	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 14:30
will teyana taylor be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$330	332	0	+332	open	—	01-20 07:54
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	4	$320	321	0	+321	open	—	02-05 05:20
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	25	$320	323	0	+323	open	—	03-15 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:25:58	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcdcb0a…
08-10 14:37:18	will bitcoin reach 72k on august 10	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x00c297…
08-10 13:55:22	spy closes above 800 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaa7941…
08-10 13:55:22	spy closes above 750 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x6fa071…
08-10 13:50:24	spy closes above 750 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x960977…
08-10 13:50:22	spy closes above 800 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x612780…
08-10 13:40:25	spy closes above 750 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e296c…
08-10 13:40:24	spy closes above 800 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf44d53…
08-10 12:13:33	will bitcoin reach 70k on august 10	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x22bd77…
08-10 10:47:49	spy closes above 760 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc5581a…
08-10 10:47:45	spy closes above 755 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9d0f4…
08-10 10:47:15	spy closes above 750 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa3a612…
08-10 03:17:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf14fa8…
08-10 03:12:24	will ethereum dip to 1900 on august 9	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1bb5fd…
08-10 02:22:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbbbd2f…
08-10 02:03:03	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x07b476…
08-10 01:49:58	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 9	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5bd804…
08-10 00:26:19	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7659ac…
08-10 00:01:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 9	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xf46ea1…
08-10 00:00:42	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 9	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x89cd07…
08-09 23:31:07	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a38db…
08-09 23:01:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x395efd…
08-09 22:58:01	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7f6e9…
08-09 22:56:42	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0351cf…
08-09 22:19:22	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 9	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb042f2…
08-09 20:30:52	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1c3d4…
08-09 20:11:57	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3573ef…
08-09 19:31:34	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb2213f…
08-09 07:35:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4d32ce…
08-09 01:03:16	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf1e468…
08-09 00:18:34	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 8	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb93e7e…
08-08 22:53:43	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a8735…
08-08 21:40:18	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 8	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2127f6…
08-08 20:34:00	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 8	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5cbbda…
08-08 20:33:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf6cd61…
08-08 19:35:49	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc015d…
08-08 19:12:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe90810…
08-08 19:12:36	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 8	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x23bb5b…
08-08 18:40:40	will bitcoin reach 73k on august 8	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xda06a0…
08-08 15:29:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1dbac6…
08-08 01:00:18	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 7	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x98d9a4…
08-08 00:00:34	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d1d53…
08-07 23:09:36	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57fe9b…
08-07 21:09:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9e2972…
08-07 19:50:27	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b7a34…
08-07 19:50:09	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d93a9…
08-07 19:50:00	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe66ec5…
08-07 16:38:30	spy closes above 745 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x28e022…
08-07 13:55:24	spy closes above 745 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x67d114…
08-07 13:55:22	spy closes above 795 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x706fff…
08-07 13:50:24	spy closes above 745 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf30e93…
08-07 13:50:22	spy closes above 795 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x1e0d87…
08-07 13:40:24	spy closes above 745 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3adf67…
08-07 13:40:22	spy closes above 795 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x629d5f…
08-07 13:34:34	spy closes above 745 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b43e2…
08-07 12:08:21	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdd6342…
08-07 10:33:18	spy closes above 755 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1575e…
08-07 09:43:48	will ethereum reach 2100 on august 7	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61517f…
08-07 09:07:09	will bitcoin reach 70k on august 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a729a…
08-07 09:07:03	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x733e97…
08-07 08:47:28	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa0b6a4…
08-07 08:44:25	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x342a19…
08-07 08:42:16	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd94643…
08-07 07:08:36	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x26b256…
08-07 06:10:01	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe68163…
08-07 06:09:06	will bitcoin reach 70k on august 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5a201b…
08-07 05:46:01	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf6db31…
08-07 05:02:21	will bitcoin reach 69k on august 7	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4cd8fa…
08-07 03:21:34	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb4006…
08-07 03:19:06	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb308f5…
08-07 02:41:48	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd48c11…
08-07 02:08:10	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc2a4fa…
08-07 02:02:39	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe48acb…
08-07 01:55:21	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb268b4…
08-07 01:49:28	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f2682…
08-06 23:56:51	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x500c74…
08-06 23:35:56	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb7c52a…
08-06 23:32:06	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4cf0b5…
08-06 23:31:48	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a6761…
08-06 23:31:15	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0bcc3…
08-06 23:19:08	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x654996…
08-06 23:04:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x89aa92…
08-06 19:03:11	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76a37d…
08-06 17:56:50	will bitcoin reach 70k on august 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x415f12…
08-06 16:11:42	spy closes above 745 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5b8c47…
08-06 13:55:17	spy closes above 745 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8eae76…
08-06 13:55:12	spy closes above 745 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf4de2f…
08-06 13:36:51	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xacf783…
08-06 13:36:42	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb5e81e…
08-06 13:36:39	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf78ad9…
08-06 13:03:36	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe87476…
08-06 12:41:36	ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x252d1e…
08-06 11:18:54	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc33ba0…
08-06 10:10:53	spy closes above 760 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4866f…
08-06 06:25:51	spy closes above 755 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe87eb8…
08-06 05:45:41	will bitcoin dip to 58k on august 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6971ad…
08-06 05:45:20	will bitcoin reach 72k on august 6	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7c4368…
08-06 04:30:45	will bitcoin reach 71k on august 6	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x666590…
08-06 04:30:24	will ethereum dip to 1600 on august 6	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9c8181…
08-06 02:07:03	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0c153…