Sour-Astrakhan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,713

lifetime

Volume

$92.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$2

Politics

17% 67% $-1

Crypto

11% 100% +$3

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
afc u23 final china vs japan	1	$3.8K	3,786	0	+3,786	open	—	01-24 16:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	83	$3.1K	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	01-28 16:07
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	32	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	02-08 14:18
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	73	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	open	—	02-02 02:57
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$919	462	462	+0	open	—	01-09 14:33
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	39	$906	936	0	+936	open	—	03-15 16:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	30	$643	652	0	+652	open	—	03-18 16:52
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the first round by at least 6	27	$636	646	0	+646	open	—	02-01 16:53
will hamnet be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	17	$605	608	0	+608	open	—	01-20 11:11
highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 18corbelow	6	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	03-19 07:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 140 159	34	$530	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 14:32
will leonardo dicaprio be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	10	$511	513	0	+513	open	—	01-20 16:28
will one battle after another be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	01-22 07:56
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	46	$507	512	0	+512	open	—	01-23 02:07
will lus marques mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$505	508	0	+508	open	—	01-17 16:00
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 12 and 14 of votes in the first round	14	$467	473	0	+473	open	—	01-18 11:17
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	23	$457	465	0	+465	open	—	02-05 17:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 160 179	12	$455	457	0	+457	open	—	04-02 12:38
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	12	$450	453	0	+453	open	—	01-06 02:03
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	31	$439	252	232	+21	open	—	03-17 14:12
will andr ventura win less than 16 of votes in the first round	21	$436	444	0	+444	open	—	01-17 14:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	19	$420	424	0	+424	open	—	03-19 09:18
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	19	$363	366	0	+366	open	—	02-02 19:23
will the centrist reform alliance win 190 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	22	$362	369	0	+369	open	—	02-05 16:40
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$352	357	0	+357	open	—	01-18 16:36
highest temperature in wuhan on march 27 2026 24c	7	$340	346	0	+346	open	—	03-27 09:07
will odessa azion win best supporting actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	18	$332	337	0	+337	open	—	03-01 14:30
will teyana taylor be nominated for best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$330	332	0	+332	open	—	01-20 07:54
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	4	$320	321	0	+321	open	—	02-05 05:20
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	25	$320	323	0	+323	open	—	03-15 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:38:06	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 21	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3599dd…
07-21 06:36:37	will ethereum reach 2250 on july 21	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7bd2a1…
07-21 05:00:54	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 21	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde10ae…
07-21 03:54:13	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x295f0f…
07-21 03:04:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29868a…
07-21 02:11:49	will nvda reach 256 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bbcef…
07-21 02:03:55	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31a17b…
07-21 01:41:07	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c9032…
07-21 01:12:42	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d8b8a…
07-21 00:06:24	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 20	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ec135…
07-20 23:32:19	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60666…
07-20 21:41:18	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc44a80…
07-20 21:38:42	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd48647…
07-20 21:16:52	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0cf90e…
07-20 21:01:10	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x394495…
07-20 20:50:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x41e086…
07-20 20:32:40	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba0cbd…
07-20 20:19:27	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x06dc71…
07-20 19:45:22	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a8ebc…
07-20 19:17:51	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x995523…
07-20 19:12:03	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecf0f4…
07-20 18:55:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x206f14…
07-20 18:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98ac8c…
07-20 18:14:49	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe6283…
07-20 16:44:42	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x039890…
07-20 16:35:16	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x513fe5…
07-20 16:35:12	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x795c83…
07-20 16:08:21	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x60087c…
07-20 15:55:13	spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c2465…
07-20 15:49:19	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6dbf5…
07-20 15:45:12	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8dab99…
07-20 13:58:52	spy closes above 770 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01af85…
07-20 13:55:09	spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa7b573…
07-20 13:55:07	spy closes above 765 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd928b5…
07-20 13:50:09	spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x91bc2f…
07-20 13:50:09	spy closes above 770 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x326e41…
07-20 13:40:10	spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1129bc…
07-20 13:40:09	spy closes above 770 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8648fb…
07-20 13:03:42	spy closes above 720 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbac9ec…
07-20 11:58:24	bitcoin above 68k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x12004c…
07-20 11:39:36	bitcoin above 68k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb74d97…
07-20 05:02:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 20	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x774d7d…
07-20 03:28:06	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3cb7c…
07-20 02:51:40	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2ddf0…
07-20 02:32:04	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x856ca6…
07-20 02:15:45	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8218e…
07-20 02:01:09	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c3b86…
07-20 01:38:18	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bc20c…
07-20 01:11:00	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaf9e6d…
07-20 01:09:07	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1df853…
07-19 23:07:52	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9dc3d6…
07-19 22:21:36	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x516af3…
07-19 21:19:12	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0085c3…
07-19 20:38:12	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1432bb…
07-19 20:20:39	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe06728…
07-19 18:41:25	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30a714…
07-19 18:41:18	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd20608…
07-19 18:41:10	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c1cc3…
07-19 18:41:06	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 19	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x539855…
07-19 18:37:00	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 19	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x662115…
07-19 18:36:49	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xed3a22…
07-19 18:35:36	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc37341…
07-19 18:35:24	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 19	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x40ad6b…
07-19 18:30:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ea8d7…
07-19 05:37:55	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 19	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3a6d9…
07-19 05:08:21	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaccd6c…
07-19 05:08:09	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87bc19…
07-19 03:07:37	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x73d5f2…
07-18 23:34:34	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x625f31…
07-18 23:22:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2b7832…
07-18 23:18:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x471016…
07-18 23:04:25	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 18	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x493710…
07-18 22:57:57	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc0ceab…
07-18 19:48:25	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x319f87…
07-18 19:23:25	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x596e89…
07-18 17:27:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b869e…
07-18 16:34:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8be898…
07-18 06:05:58	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbf3a9…
07-18 06:05:33	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0e637b…
07-18 04:32:45	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 18	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf92cc…
07-18 04:32:25	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 18	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc36024…
07-17 19:29:01	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xaacfc5…
07-17 16:31:48	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 17	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd51070…
07-17 14:40:22	spy closes above 720 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x86395b…
07-17 14:38:36	spy closes above 720 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7af6fa…
07-17 14:38:21	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4db144…
07-17 13:46:39	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9addac…
07-17 13:46:15	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdaaea2…
07-17 13:15:28	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f7057…
07-17 13:14:22	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x86c9a2…
07-17 13:14:12	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6cb3f3…
07-17 13:14:01	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x63b3ba…
07-17 13:13:48	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xda36b2…
07-17 13:13:25	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf550ce…
07-17 13:13:15	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfcbadf…
07-17 13:12:45	spy closes above 770 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6b726f…
07-17 07:49:39	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 17	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x396e26…
07-17 03:06:39	will spider man brand new day score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026311	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1727de…
07-16 15:24:32	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x096f54…
07-16 13:52:05	will bitcoin reach 72k on july 16	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff45f9…