Realized P&L (30d)
-$90
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
98.2%
Resolved (30d)
1,754
Trades (30d)
3,809
26,108 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$45.9K
$319.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.87K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$680
Crypto
15% 97% -$476
Politics
7% 95% +$167
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$135
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -715 -$700 98¢ $-702 -$2 11-02 02:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +239 $170 68¢ $161 -$9 11-07 02:53
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m? No +79 $78 100¢ $78 $0 11-07 20:19
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? No +78 $76 96¢ $75 -$1 11-07 20:30
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? No +70 $70 100¢ $70 +$0 11-07 20:19
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m? No +62 $62 100¢ $62 +$0 11-07 20:06
Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? No +62 $60 100¢ $61 +$1 11-07 17:17
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 11-07 17:20
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? No +60 $60 99¢ $60 $0 11-07 17:05
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m? No +61 $60 97¢ $59 -$1 11-07 20:17
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? No +32 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 11-07 14:29
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 11-07 17:45
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 $0 11-07 14:02
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 11-07 17:51
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 11-07 16:33
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $27 99¢ $30 +$3 11-06 17:00
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? No +31 $30 94¢ $29 -$1 11-07 15:58
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$0 11-07 15:17
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 11-06 17:13
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 18:43
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 09:29
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 17:08
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:51
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 04:01
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 12:01
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 00:01
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-25 06:56
Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 12:02
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 18:06
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:20